Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,592

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$167

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-09 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

24% 0% $-3

Sports

19% 67% +$3

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		-168	$-166	99¢	$-167	$-1	06-09 13:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$525	415	415	+0	open	—	03-26 20:52
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	18	$505	504	403	+102	open	—	03-08 03:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	103	$455	2,514	415	+2,098	open	—	03-08 19:26
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	6	$444	311	311	+0	open	—	04-12 16:38
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 10	10	$425	235	234	+0	open	—	03-10 16:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$419	558	231	+327	open	—	03-08 19:09
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	10	$365	225	225	+0	open	—	03-27 05:07
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	33	$357	510	554	-44	open	—	03-26 22:55
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	29	$348	444	444	+0	open	—	03-27 02:47
highest temperature in seattle on march 10 2026 44 45f	10	$321	366	80	+286	open	—	03-10 20:55
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	36	$320	361	152	+210	open	—	03-16 10:17
will khamenei tweet again on march 10 2026 973	9	$320	206	206	+0	open	—	03-10 17:27
will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	4	$313	201	201	+0	open	—	03-27 05:11
will the us invade iran by march 31	9	$287	165	165	+0	open	—	03-26 20:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$286	165	164	+0	open	—	03-26 21:22
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	10	$285	250	250	+0	open	—	03-28 12:03
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	13	$285	400	400	+0	open	—	03-27 16:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$272	183	168	+15	open	—	03-09 19:21
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	20	$263	184	183	+1	open	—	03-09 18:14
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	66	$260	3,779	5,135	-1,356	open	—	03-08 22:21
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	8	$259	145	145	+0	No	+$0	03-31 18:37
ukr1 pol kar 2026 03 13 kar	4	$255	140	140	+0	open	—	03-13 13:10
will trump visit china by march 31	15	$254	514	527	-12	open	—	03-27 06:31
will trump say transgender during miami address	19	$252	385	43	+341	open	—	03-09 21:30
cbb wbd det 2026 02 20	3	$240	381	280	+101	open	—	02-21 01:31
will trump say biden 7 times during ohio visit	12	$238	137	236	-100	open	—	03-12 04:41
will hillary say victim during her epstein testimony	5	$236	134	134	+0	open	—	03-04 20:22
nba nyk lal 2026 03 08 spread away 3pt5	6	$233	238	238	+0	open	—	03-08 18:28
will khamenei tweet again on march 15 2026 383	18	$229	242	182	+59	open	—	03-15 18:52
will bill clinton say plane during his epstein testimony	4	$227	134	134	+0	open	—	03-03 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:00:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0xd0efaf…
04-25 17:53:08	Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x58b94e…
04-12 16:38:05	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0xacb7c1…
04-12 03:03:45	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x5467d9…
04-12 01:57:07	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	287	85¢	$244	0x712ec2…
04-06 22:04:13	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	78¢	$64	0x4a7585…
04-02 18:56:41	will the seattle kraken make the nhl playoffs	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x777d55…
03-31 19:14:09	will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	66	38¢	$25	0x2ee08b…
03-31 18:37:33	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0x5fa401…
03-31 15:40:51	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x5dbaa3…
03-30 18:08:51	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x5762f3…
03-30 16:40:23	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x8746a3…
03-30 16:31:39	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x9d7ddc…
03-30 15:38:59	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xa6774a…
03-30 13:45:49	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xe7bdac…
03-30 13:40:03	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0x2ab52c…
03-30 07:47:26	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xdae92c…
03-30 07:02:58	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x0d74d6…
03-30 07:02:36	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe7b210…
03-30 07:02:36	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x924223…
03-30 07:01:42	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3feed0…
03-29 17:05:32	will trump say n word in march	Yes	SELL	88	3¢	$3	0x46bd14…
03-29 16:02:08	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	34	36¢	$12	0xadc0bc…
03-29 03:43:28	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	SELL	106	0¢	$1	0x3a2264…
03-29 02:04:12	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x63ca6a…
03-28 23:20:02	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x334c8e…
03-28 22:25:48	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x2f370f…
03-28 16:38:41	will trump meet with elon musk in march 2026 396	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x4dd90a…
03-28 16:07:31	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xbc3bba…
03-28 12:03:17	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	250	97¢	$243	0xb218a6…
03-28 06:05:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0xadfce8…
03-28 02:21:23	will trump meet with elon musk in march 2026 396	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x6cfe8d…
03-27 22:14:45	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x96455d…
03-27 20:38:21	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x7ba842…
03-27 16:48:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	385	10¢	$39	0xebe1ae…
03-27 16:00:13	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb0aad1…
03-27 16:00:09	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$1	0xaf3a26…
03-27 15:28:09	will trump say third term in march	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x6e9a64…
03-27 14:22:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x813c51…
03-27 11:14:55	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x6421f6…
03-27 10:42:05	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$0	0xce9571…
03-27 10:41:35	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$1	0x1b0884…
03-27 08:56:41	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x33f78b…
03-27 08:32:25	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x8426dd…
03-27 07:54:59	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa60703…
03-27 07:54:09	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x81018b…
03-27 07:53:29	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x87126e…
03-27 07:14:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x195566…
03-27 07:07:57	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0dd34f…
03-27 06:31:29	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	527	0¢	$2	0x4c1b7a…
03-27 06:29:01	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x44d29b…
03-27 06:27:49	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x4b4735…
03-27 06:27:37	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	353	10¢	$35	0x8482c8…
03-27 06:25:43	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x9f2d20…
03-27 06:16:19	will trump meet with xi jinping in march 2026 241	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0xad6768…
03-27 06:02:05	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x3ffaf9…
03-27 06:01:17	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x65f981…
03-27 05:22:55	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x0f82b9…
03-27 05:13:27	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x6ced59…
03-27 05:11:03	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	Yes	SELL	172	78¢	$134	0xb0f641…
03-27 05:09:59	will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	Yes	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0xcff116…
03-27 05:07:19	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0x174eb4…
03-27 04:51:21	will trump say third term in march	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x9081fc…
03-27 04:51:17	will trump say third term in march	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x6a7fc8…
03-27 04:38:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0xcc007f…
03-27 04:21:41	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x0736dc…
03-27 04:17:23	will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	287	1¢	$3	0xf41e0c…
03-27 02:47:25	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$5	0x1b42f3…
03-27 02:32:49	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$6	0xbbee0b…
03-27 02:27:37	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x364447…
03-27 02:09:05	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x7ac96e…
03-27 02:01:13	will the boston bruins make the nhl playoffs	No	SELL	73	42¢	$31	0x8b52b8…
03-27 01:38:47	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x1bb9f3…
03-27 01:04:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0xf74f29…
03-27 00:36:07	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x2f65e9…
03-26 23:29:47	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	SELL	757	1¢	$7	0xf9ea80…
03-26 23:09:31	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	SELL	2,875	3¢	$86	0x7dbab5…
03-26 22:55:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	122	92¢	$112	0x44ed8a…
03-26 21:49:19	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x45e84b…
03-26 21:42:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	432	10¢	$43	0x0cd962…
03-26 21:38:27	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	2,295	0¢	$2	0x71a222…
03-26 21:28:09	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd66709…
03-26 21:28:09	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x822a77…
03-26 21:27:03	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2fbbea…
03-26 21:25:45	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	29	46¢	$14	0xe031b2…
03-26 21:23:35	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	167	24¢	$40	0x33cf43…
03-26 21:23:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x861e98…
03-26 21:22:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0xc311be…
03-26 21:21:23	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	996	0¢	$1	0x97591d…
03-26 21:14:07	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x1f5dca…
03-26 21:10:39	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	SELL	167	10¢	$17	0x204bf7…
03-26 21:00:35	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xa20389…
03-26 20:59:41	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0xa91d94…
03-26 20:59:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	120	8¢	$10	0xef7348…
03-26 20:56:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	147	98¢	$145	0xadae8b…
03-26 20:56:29	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x280f4e…
03-26 20:56:03	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xffc1c9…
03-26 20:55:37	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xf28c3b…
03-26 20:55:37	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x00bc81…
03-26 20:54:53	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xce33fc…