Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

107

Trades

852

lifetime

Volume

$69.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$427

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-22 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

52% 52% -$4,766

Politics

34% 44% -$8,882

Tech

11% 75% -$233

Sports

2% 71% +$187

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-20,000	-$298	2¢	$-350	-$52	05-26 13:35
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-22,000	-$117	0¢	$-77	+$40	07-21 08:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$10	5¢	$0	-$10	05-31 10:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$7.9K	4,103	4,103	+0	No	+$50	02-16 07:23
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	20	$6.5K	6,311	2,000	+4,311	Yes	+$398	03-22 07:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$3.9K	2,600	2,600	+0	Yes	+$38	02-19 22:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$3.9K	7,731	6,030	+1,701	Yes	-$3,871	03-01 18:40
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	33	$3.8K	4,418	1,527	+2,890	No	-$3,175	03-25 01:16
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$3.0K	2,324	2,324	+0	Yes	-$289	02-26 23:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$3.0K	1,618	1,618	+0	Yes	+$8	04-15 21:30
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	30	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$203	02-28 10:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	6	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$46	03-21 22:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	4	$2.1K	1,340	1,340	+0	No	+$40	02-22 20:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.9K	1,542	1,542	+0	Yes	+$208	02-27 05:16
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	12	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,216	04-09 16:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$1.4K	3,906	3,906	+0	Yes	-$1,388	03-01 18:39
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	13	$1.1K	3,132	0	+3,132	No	-$1,130	02-13 09:52
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	8	$1.1K	2,400	254	+2,146	No	-$906	02-25 02:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.1K	613	613	+0	Yes	+$126	04-24 00:08
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	5	$1.0K	1,285	0	+1,285	No	+$279	03-18 20:41
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	15	$1.0K	1,231	1,231	+0	Yes	-$798	04-16 15:31
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	36	$953	1,128	0	+1,128	No	-$953	02-16 19:32
will russia enter rizdvianka by march 31 2026	2	$856	800	800	+0	Yes	+$360	03-01 14:58
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	6	$792	1,322	0	+1,322	No	+$531	03-21 13:40
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$715	662	662	+0	Yes	+$119	05-30 22:53
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	3	$629	768	768	+0	Yes	-$522	04-04 14:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$617	330	330	+0	Yes	+$10	01-31 04:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$545	500	500	+0	No	+$115	05-24 12:02
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	4	$536	0	555	-555	No	-$19	06-03 19:34
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	47	$532	1,400	0	+1,400	No	-$532	03-11 20:42
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$522	900	0	+900	No	-$522	02-20 08:36
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	4	$512	954	0	+954	Yes	-$512	03-01 18:18
cs2 eye tl1 2026 03 14	3	$499	1,342	0	+1,342	Liquid	-$499	03-14 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 14:13:52	Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner	Stray Team	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x6e7715…
09-22 14:13:04	Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner	Stray Team	BUY	533	62¢	$331	0x697569…
09-22 14:13:03	Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner	Stray Team	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x910b1b…
08-22 08:19:09	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	192	73¢	$140	0xb6ea5f…
08-22 07:32:39	dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x94f5aa…
08-22 06:43:46	dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x862cd9…
08-22 06:36:58	dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	120	74¢	$89	0xa9b482…
08-21 16:21:40	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0x2273ec…
08-19 19:44:57	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	118	73¢	$86	0x203492…
08-08 13:12:55	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	243	25¢	$61	0xb2fa8d…
07-21 09:00:27	Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel	Anastasia Abbagnato	BUY	945	5¢	$47	0xdcf08f…
07-21 08:59:37	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	22,000	1¢	$117	0xb2fd84…
06-21 19:01:22	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	21¢	$150	0xe76d8a…
06-03 19:34:30	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd6f2ed…
06-03 18:51:06	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	222	97¢	$214	0xf03654…
06-01 16:18:56	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	96¢	$119	0xd83355…
06-01 10:30:01	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0xd6ef06…
05-31 10:18:00	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,912	4¢	$86	0x622f16…
05-31 10:13:48	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd7079b…
05-31 10:00:18	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	444	4¢	$20	0x7382eb…
05-31 08:59:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	556	4¢	$25	0x55cb56…
05-31 07:56:14	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xcf3e57…
05-31 06:36:50	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x85a9c1…
05-31 06:24:12	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0x4f48ac…
05-31 06:03:44	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x17431c…
05-31 05:15:15	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xbd29a3…
05-31 04:50:47	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x638748…
05-31 04:38:22	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x8262a9…
05-31 04:33:42	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x85284b…
05-31 04:33:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0x6156e6…
05-31 04:19:28	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x3cee12…
05-31 04:16:45	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$3	0xb2709a…
05-31 04:13:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb04a4e…
05-31 04:12:07	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x2be4ef…
05-31 03:48:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$2	0xe5a9c7…
05-31 03:36:32	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x8c2e09…
05-31 03:28:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x04e30c…
05-31 03:26:17	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xe336a2…
05-31 03:20:01	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x84466f…
05-31 03:19:03	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$2	0xdd9589…
05-31 03:01:33	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	58	4¢	$3	0xcb1dac…
05-31 03:01:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$3	0xe06c25…
05-31 02:55:14	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$2	0x2c07c8…
05-31 02:20:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x5a3a1e…
05-31 02:01:34	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$4	0x52dbb2…
05-31 01:52:21	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$3	0x31ba3a…
05-31 01:47:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x903a14…
05-31 01:33:32	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$3	0xff4079…
05-31 01:31:10	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd14071…
05-31 00:57:22	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x20a4cc…
05-31 00:52:58	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xd8e467…
05-31 00:40:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	306	4¢	$14	0x1b2118…
05-30 22:53:31	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	662	63¢	$417	0x5776ef…
05-30 22:48:32	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0x7065c1…
05-30 22:27:09	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	531	5¢	$24	0x5220d4…
05-26 13:35:22	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20,000	1¢	$298	0x702643…
05-24 12:02:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	392	66¢	$259	0x309993…
05-24 11:58:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0x1ef6a8…
05-24 11:43:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x07ddc2…
05-24 11:38:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xd909bb…
05-24 11:35:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x8ccad0…
05-19 12:23:35	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	662	45¢	$298	0xcfbb9f…
05-16 23:28:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	493	9¢	$44	0xee2998…
05-16 20:37:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x4fc77e…
05-16 20:09:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xcdf450…
05-16 19:06:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe51e4a…
05-16 19:05:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0xdb869d…
05-16 19:05:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x48c579…
05-16 19:04:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x769d9f…
05-16 16:49:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x12319d…
05-16 15:19:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	92	9¢	$8	0xcdb4b4…
05-16 12:02:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xcfaf71…
05-16 06:30:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	96	9¢	$9	0x5f55c9…
05-12 11:49:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,100	4¢	$40	0x788252…
05-08 00:55:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	48¢	$106	0x8400a6…
05-07 01:15:26	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	494	97¢	$479	0xe3561c…
05-06 01:10:26	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	823	5¢	$39	0xdecc1b…
05-06 00:51:36	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,151	5¢	$195	0x4edc82…
05-05 23:00:24	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8a641b…
05-05 21:41:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf401d1…
05-04 15:26:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	38¢	$205	0xa20f0a…
05-02 10:33:52	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	459	63¢	$289	0x500809…
05-02 09:58:48	UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Junior Tafa	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0xb9cbff…
04-30 01:05:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x69e2b1…
04-25 16:54:28	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	320	80¢	$256	0x3f69e6…
04-25 16:52:42	UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)	Jafel Filho	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xb1d9cc…
04-24 19:31:02	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	461	55¢	$254	0x7a67d9…
04-24 18:23:28	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	438	34¢	$149	0x5f1163…
04-24 04:30:22	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	324	54¢	$175	0xc161bd…
04-24 03:14:40	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa03561…
04-24 02:54:16	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x693b19…
04-24 02:48:56	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8fc6b6…
04-24 02:24:44	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd18634…
04-24 02:03:14	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x13f407…
04-24 01:17:46	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xd2e340…
04-24 01:06:52	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe6010f…
04-24 00:37:34	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xceb06f…
04-24 00:36:44	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x254690…
04-24 00:30:10	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xc25876…
04-24 00:08:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	613	100¢	$613	0x1c4c0b…