Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$592

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$133

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-23 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

60% 56% -$60

Politics

40% 40% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+116	$18	43¢	$49	+$31	06-28 20:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+147	$25	24¢	$36	+$11	06-28 20:49
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	+29	$20	67¢	$19	-$1	06-28 20:44
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	+420	$26	3¢	$11	-$15	07-02 20:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+48	$20	15¢	$7	-$13	06-28 20:38
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+189	$10	2¢	$4	-$6	06-28 20:46
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	+87	$10	4¢	$3	-$7	06-28 20:45
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	+58	$10	6¢	$3	-$7	06-28 20:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+24	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	06-28 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 17:56:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	113	46¢	$52	0xab8394…
07-08 13:21:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	244	22¢	$54	0xd64da3…
07-02 20:19:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	178	9¢	$16	0x51ed3a…
07-02 20:18:46	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	5¢	$16	0xbb3d10…
06-29 18:37:50	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0x1b3b7d…
06-28 20:49:25	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	116	16¢	$18	0x145fc1…
06-28 20:49:04	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xa9c9a5…
06-28 20:46:40	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$10	0x06661d…
06-28 20:45:58	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0x3431e6…
06-28 20:45:40	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	Yes	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0x9d4a82…
06-28 20:44:56	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xa62e09…
06-28 20:44:17	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9ec38e…
06-28 20:43:35	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe2f0ed…
06-28 20:43:29	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6fdd11…
06-28 20:41:56	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x1b91f6…
06-28 20:40:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc5a56f…
06-28 20:38:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xceb841…
06-28 20:38:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xf0c2e6…
04-15 01:48:28	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	9¢	$14	0xa04438…
04-13 15:31:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x40b422…
04-13 15:27:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xa68abd…
04-13 15:26:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x02ad44…
04-13 15:26:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$9	0xc4d9e0…
04-11 15:25:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x5302f8…
04-11 15:22:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb4415c…
04-11 15:22:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6ad4b2…
04-11 15:22:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xefaae6…
04-11 15:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8e7718…
04-11 15:13:17	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xdc3a56…
04-11 15:12:59	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xdbefe6…
04-11 15:11:47	Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc6873c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	04-11 15:11
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	3	$90	244	244	+0	No	+$18	07-08 13:21
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	1	$52	113	0	+113	No	-$52	07-23 17:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$35	49	0	+49	Yes	+$14	04-11 15:25
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$26	420	0	+420	open	—	07-02 20:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	1	$25	147	0	+147	open	—	06-28 20:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	04-13 15:31
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	152	152	+0	No	+$4	04-15 01:48
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?	2	$21	37	37	+0	No	+$1	06-29 18:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	06-28 20:38
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	06-28 20:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	04-13 15:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$18	116	0	+116	open	—	06-28 20:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	-$2	04-13 15:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	-$2	04-13 15:27
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	06-28 20:43
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	189	0	+189	open	—	06-28 20:46
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	152	0	+152	No	-$10	04-11 15:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	06-28 20:40
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	1	$10	87	0	+87	open	—	06-28 20:45
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	1	$10	58	0	+58	open	—	06-28 20:41
epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	1	$10	151	0	+151	No	-$10	06-28 20:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	04-11 15:22