Real-Hardening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

170

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

68% 62% +$1,989

Crypto

25% 90% -$103

Sports

4% 83% +$61

Politics

3% 75% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 exact score 2 1	1	$1.1K	1,175	+1,175	No	+$94	03-31 16:34
fif usa bel 2026 03 28 total 1pt5	1	$1.0K	1,441	+1,441	Over	+$418	03-23 18:08
es2 gra hue 2026 03 28 spread home 2pt5	1	$927	1,090	+1,090	SD Huesca	+$164	03-26 01:18
es2 zar rrc 2026 03 29 total 1pt5	1	$909	1,228	+1,228	Over	+$319	03-24 16:41
per1 ccu cud 2026 03 21 ccu	1	$813	1,029	+1,029	No	+$216	03-17 01:15
es2 leg ceu 2026 03 21 ceu	1	$782	1,029	+1,029	No	+$247	03-16 01:02
pltr above 140 on march 31 2026	1	$748	813	+813	Yes	+$65	03-26 10:05
bun wer lei 2026 04 04 exact score 2 2	1	$671	746	+746	No	+$75	03-30 13:36
kor any seo 2026 04 05 spread home 1pt5	1	$637	741	+741	FC Seoul	+$104	04-03 00:28
elc bri she 2026 04 06 spread home 1pt5	1	$378	461	+461	Sheffield United FC	+$83	04-03 20:48
will turbotax file your tax return be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	2	$307	322	+322	No	+$14	02-09 09:27
the bondi parlay feb 20	1	$279	396	+396	No	+$116	02-17 00:00
nflx above 90 on february 13 2026	1	$265	273	+273	No	+$8	02-12 04:31
will the liberal democratic party win between 205 and 219 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	1	$255	265	+265	No	+$10	02-05 12:22
will the super bowl national anthem last between 80 and 90 seconds 659	1	$255	264	+264	No	+$10	02-05 05:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 11	1	$238	244	+244	No	+$6	02-07 13:15
will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in utrechts 2026 municipal election	1	$225	288	+288	No	+$63	03-07 04:42
mls nyc col 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	1	$225	296	+296	Under	+$71	03-09 07:29
will no doubt perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 739	1	$224	231	+231	No	+$7	02-05 16:07
solana above 60 on february 13	1	$213	219	+219	Yes	+$6	02-12 15:20
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 9 15 be between 15000000 and 15500000	1	$207	211	+211	No	+$4	02-12 12:19
will amzn close between 225 and 230 week february 6 2026	1	$207	230	+230	No	+$23	02-04 06:02
will the price of solana be less than 40 on february 15	1	$205	208	+208	No	+$2	02-12 16:40
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 9 15 be between 14500000 and 15000000	1	$193	201	+201	No	+$7	02-11 21:44
googl above 260 on january 30 2026	1	$192	197	+197	Yes	+$5	01-27 05:50
will amzn close between 220 and 225 week february 13 2026	1	$191	197	+197	No	+$6	02-12 18:25
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on march 6	1	$188	195	+195	No	+$7	03-02 09:11
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 31	1	$180	184	+184	Yes	-$180	01-26 23:17
xrp above 2pt3 on january 29	1	$178	180	+180	No	+$2	01-27 04:29
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 22	1	$177	179	+179	No	+$2	02-21 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:05:25	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 4?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x3acfc0…
11-04 15:04:07	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 5?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x0133c9…
11-04 14:50:07	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 6?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x135f63…
11-04 12:12:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9f3eb0…
11-03 17:15:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 6?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xc3e728…
11-01 16:24:09	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0xd8dee8…
10-30 17:48:18	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xafb319…
10-30 12:25:58	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x57260a…
10-30 05:49:39	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 31?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x3bf096…
10-30 05:49:37	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x04f533…
10-28 19:56:49	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x24a8aa…
10-21 15:45:35	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xae8e25…
10-21 15:30:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9fe1a7…
10-21 15:00:05	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbdb56d…
10-21 15:00:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd9ab4f…
10-21 05:41:47	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe1aee6…
10-14 15:55:51	ethereum above 2400 on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1659de…
10-14 02:32:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x4e5410…
10-11 02:57:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x23dce3…
10-11 02:36:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x2f0ef4…
10-11 02:26:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x98c3ea…
10-10 17:14:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbc1f14…
10-10 15:16:01	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6172c8…
10-09 23:16:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8408ef…
10-09 20:12:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1531b8…
10-09 17:20:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4f638a…
10-09 13:23:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xbdee5a…
10-09 12:59:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xff0f45…
10-08 20:05:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x86bccb…
10-08 17:06:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0xc2c59a…
10-08 10:22:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xcd2dd3…
10-08 05:22:01	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x8d39b9…
10-06 23:43:55	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 7?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc3a8bd…
10-06 17:29:54	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 7?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x52f5f2…
10-06 12:55:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xc8f05a…
10-06 12:16:18	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xab9825…
10-06 12:15:39	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x338791…
10-05 18:30:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x34015d…
10-05 15:30:02	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x907092…
10-05 15:30:02	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x07be4f…
10-05 15:00:34	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1c55b6…
10-05 12:42:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe3f638…
10-05 07:07:23	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x26fe31…
10-04 15:21:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xdd90e3…
10-03 13:39:02	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 3?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd383e7…
10-03 13:37:42	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 3?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x253fc1…
10-03 12:27:06	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 3?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d101d…
10-02 17:18:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 3?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xef5434…
10-02 08:20:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x0e4e6e…
10-02 01:53:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 3?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0xf085d5…
10-01 18:35:27	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 7?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x68a477…
10-01 10:44:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 2?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8d6552…
10-01 10:23:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 2?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x194865…
10-01 10:16:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 2?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x44c5aa…
10-01 07:20:27	solana above 110 on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x81d791…
09-30 16:11:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe7be48…
09-29 15:25:50	ethereum above 2400 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5cee68…
09-29 13:27:05	solana above 130 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x86fbbb…
09-29 13:25:02	solana above 130 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xdfa0bc…
09-29 01:38:47	solana above 105 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9fe2e…
09-29 01:33:38	solana above 105 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64868f…
09-28 18:06:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8e351a…
09-27 23:07:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd9481c…
09-27 13:30:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x33113b…
09-27 12:58:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xce27eb…
09-27 10:22:41	ethereum above 3200 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a431b…
09-27 07:58:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 29?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x5f0ec7…
09-26 08:16:59	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 26?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x68da7d…
09-26 04:35:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 26?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1f7ef8…
09-25 06:38:29	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9aa237…
09-25 03:19:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe2326a…
09-24 18:10:41	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on September 25?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb5020f…
09-24 16:25:32	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on September 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7dec97…
09-24 09:13:35	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x9827d8…
09-24 07:48:12	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe1a419…
09-23 13:40:22	ethereum above 2500 on september 23 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf9fbdc…
09-23 03:40:38	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on September 25?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xadb567…
09-22 23:30:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7eb2bb…
09-22 23:18:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb110dd…
09-22 22:34:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x020ba1…
09-22 10:29:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04885f…
09-21 08:47:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xeb9137…
09-19 22:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xea2ede…
09-18 15:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8078ec…
08-31 15:50:37	xrp above 1pt3 on august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x19b99f…
08-30 23:29:39	xrp above 1pt3 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x0dcb58…
08-30 23:29:36	xrp above 1pt3 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xda05ea…
08-15 11:30:42	Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe71ecc…
08-15 11:28:13	Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x08f72a…
08-12 09:41:19	Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4e73e5…
08-04 16:00:42	ethereum above 1600 on august 5 2026	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x746cc7…
08-04 01:05:18	ethereum above 1600 on august 5 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21bb6b…
08-04 00:58:30	ethereum above 1600 on august 5 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x788447…
08-03 05:11:27	ethereum above 1600 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x933f6b…
07-22 20:16:28	will amzn reach 260 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x6acbc0…
07-07 08:27:49	uel haj zil 2026 07 09 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xb0837b…
07-07 08:27:05	uel haj zil 2026 07 09 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x6c3f07…
06-30 13:01:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x179e30…
06-27 17:30:44	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6d6f13…
06-25 05:32:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x073b12…