Weird-Bond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$187

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-01 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 62% +$10

Other

10% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes		-18	$-6	24¢	$-4	+$2	06-01 16:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	05-06 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 01:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$13	88	88	+0	open	—	05-06 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-22 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-06 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-28 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-23 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-28 20:10
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	1	$6	0	18	-18	open	—	06-01 16:41
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-06 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-07 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-28 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	$-3	05-05 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:41:50	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$6	0x81b473…
05-28 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x764955…
05-28 21:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf3d60a…
05-28 21:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe87e8b…
05-28 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x800e16…
05-28 20:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfc9530…
05-23 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea3314…
05-23 07:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa63410…
05-22 16:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x654370…
05-22 16:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x337722…
05-22 15:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x70b9fc…
05-07 01:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9b6343…
05-07 01:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x37fd9a…
05-07 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3f0668…
05-07 01:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x244262…
05-07 01:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcce9d5…
05-06 22:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe43ff6…
05-06 22:32:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x34d8be…
05-06 22:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x1503a8…
05-06 22:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x43d535…
05-06 15:13:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	88	7¢	$6	0x94fbf9…
05-06 09:03:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x0835d1…
05-06 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x21832b…
05-06 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xc8f974…
05-05 23:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc3562f…
05-05 23:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x53da05…
05-05 23:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa6faa1…