Likely-Pool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

3,013

Trades

7,693

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-13 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$127

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	16	$47	40	35	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	15	$40	40	35	+5	Down	-$2	05-04 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	14	$40	35	35	+0	Up	-$4	06-03 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	10	$38	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	10	$38	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	12	$37	30	30	+0	Down	-$2	06-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$37	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	14	$37	30	30	+0	Down	-$5	05-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	9	$35	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-22 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	13	$35	30	30	+0	Up	-$2	05-26 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	11	$34	25	25	+0	Up	-$2	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	10	$34	25	25	+0	Up	-$1	05-07 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	8	$33	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	05-08 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	11	$31	25	25	+0	Up	-$3	05-26 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	10	$30	25	25	+0	Up	$0	05-29 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	13	$29	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	05-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	10	$28	25	25	+0	Up	-$2	05-10 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$28	20	16	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	11	$28	25	25	+0	Down	-$1	06-03 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-24 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Up	$0	05-16 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	6	$27	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$27	15	15	+0	Up	$0	05-28 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	10	$27	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	05-28 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$26	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 05:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdcee29…
06-13 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbdebeb…
06-13 01:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0ebc23…
06-13 00:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xff894b…
06-12 23:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x48f5e2…
06-12 04:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe3807a…
06-12 04:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x37edae…
06-12 01:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x05bc63…
06-11 10:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x67e88a…
06-11 09:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdf90aa…
06-11 09:39:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x521ce7…
06-11 09:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe06697…
06-11 08:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf6e3cb…
06-11 08:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcde9f9…
06-11 08:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x29b318…
06-09 04:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe43565…
06-09 03:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x37a2c0…
06-09 03:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9a50af…
06-08 12:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdea338…
06-08 09:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa38142…
06-08 00:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8cf78c…
06-08 00:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7666c2…
06-08 00:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x199746…
06-08 00:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4216d9…
06-08 00:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x12dab8…
06-08 00:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0534de…
06-07 23:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x114ee6…
06-07 23:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd94c3f…
06-07 23:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd31bcc…
06-07 23:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5ee0bc…
06-07 23:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x680a07…
06-07 23:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8d220b…
06-07 23:33:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x44078d…
06-07 23:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x648d70…
06-07 23:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1cad43…
06-07 23:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x45ce74…
06-07 23:09:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x318c6a…
06-07 23:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe4c4ae…
06-07 23:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xe56d82…
06-07 23:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f442b…
06-07 23:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x375a88…
06-07 22:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7e394d…
06-07 22:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd7034a…
06-07 22:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xd71345…
06-07 22:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x29ef82…
06-07 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x54ab8c…
06-07 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x750241…
06-07 22:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4df05c…
06-07 22:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd592e9…
06-07 22:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x64c68c…
06-07 22:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x50f773…
06-07 20:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaaf820…
06-07 20:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x41a3bc…
06-07 20:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x443b1a…
06-07 20:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x017ca4…
06-07 20:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x80341a…
06-07 20:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x8f3fac…
06-07 20:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x358e37…
06-07 20:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x80d012…
06-07 20:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4e255d…
06-07 20:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4639e2…
06-07 20:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x22969b…
06-07 17:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x90c99d…
06-07 17:33:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1b46bd…
06-07 17:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x32b213…
06-07 17:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7fe039…
06-07 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa43ed6…
06-07 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x66cbbd…
06-07 15:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x037f95…
06-07 15:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa4eb76…
06-07 15:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfe81a8…
06-07 14:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa9a5e…
06-07 14:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc792e6…
06-07 14:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7af68…
06-07 14:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x516114…
06-07 14:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x9098ae…
06-07 14:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf1ce9d…
06-07 13:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb87648…
06-07 13:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xaa536d…
06-07 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8a0cd8…
06-07 13:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe03029…
06-07 13:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa90a4f…
06-07 12:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x84077b…
06-07 12:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd0e786…
06-07 12:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa44b30…
06-07 12:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeba0e0…
06-07 11:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x35b176…
06-07 11:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x386a7b…
06-07 11:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9e183c…
06-07 09:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed3fe0…
06-07 09:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x06a4b8…
06-07 09:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcf18f0…
06-07 09:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf4bc5…
06-07 09:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeefa5b…
06-07 09:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcbea8a…
06-07 08:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdcbebc…
06-07 08:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfe0ef5…
06-07 08:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5a540e…
06-07 08:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x291740…
06-07 08:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x842964…