Likely-Pool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

897

Trades

7,422

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-13 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 433 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	16	$47	40	35	+5	open	—	05-04 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	15	$40	40	35	+5	open	—	05-04 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	14	$40	35	35	+0	open	—	06-03 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	10	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	10	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	12	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	06-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	14	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	9	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	13	$35	30	30	+0	open	—	05-26 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	11	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	10	$34	25	25	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	8	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Up	$-1	05-08 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	11	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	05-26 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	10	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	13	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	05-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	10	$28	25	25	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$28	20	16	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$28	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	10	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	11	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	7	$26	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:59:36	btc updown 5m 1781315700	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0ebc23…
06-13 00:14:49	btc updown 5m 1781309400	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xff894b…
06-12 23:00:49	btc updown 5m 1781305200	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x48f5e2…
06-12 04:56:58	btc updown 5m 1781240100	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe3807a…
06-12 04:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781238900	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x37edae…
06-12 01:54:31	btc updown 5m 1781229000	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x05bc63…
06-11 10:27:33	btc updown 5m 1781173500	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x67e88a…
06-11 09:43:49	btc updown 5m 1781170800	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdf90aa…
06-11 09:39:39	btc updown 5m 1781170500	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x521ce7…
06-11 09:19:31	btc updown 5m 1781169300	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe06697…
06-11 08:21:04	btc updown 5m 1781166000	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf6e3cb…
06-11 08:19:51	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcde9f9…
06-11 08:19:51	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x29b318…
06-09 04:15:52	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe43565…
06-09 03:49:57	btc updown 5m 1780976700	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x37a2c0…
06-09 03:11:49	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9a50af…
06-08 12:41:39	btc updown 5m 1780922400	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdea338…
06-08 09:27:42	btc updown 5m 1780910700	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa38142…
06-08 00:49:39	btc updown 5m 1780879500	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8cf78c…
06-08 00:49:15	btc updown 5m 1780879500	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7666c2…
06-08 00:49:15	btc updown 5m 1780879500	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x199746…
06-08 00:49:12	btc updown 5m 1780879500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4216d9…
06-08 00:19:00	btc updown 5m 1780877700	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x12dab8…
06-08 00:18:48	btc updown 5m 1780877700	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0534de…
06-07 23:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x114ee6…
06-07 23:39:40	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd94c3f…
06-07 23:39:01	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd31bcc…
06-07 23:38:28	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5ee0bc…
06-07 23:35:00	btc updown 5m 1780875000	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x680a07…
06-07 23:33:48	btc updown 5m 1780875000	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8d220b…
06-07 23:33:45	btc updown 5m 1780875000	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x44078d…
06-07 23:33:43	btc updown 5m 1780875000	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x648d70…
06-07 23:09:27	btc updown 5m 1780873500	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1cad43…
06-07 23:09:24	btc updown 5m 1780873500	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x45ce74…
06-07 23:09:22	btc updown 5m 1780873500	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x318c6a…
06-07 23:09:15	btc updown 5m 1780873500	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe4c4ae…
06-07 23:05:01	btc updown 5m 1780873200	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xe56d82…
06-07 23:04:16	btc updown 5m 1780873200	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f442b…
06-07 23:04:16	btc updown 5m 1780873200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x375a88…
06-07 22:50:01	btc updown 5m 1780872300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7e394d…
06-07 22:49:21	btc updown 5m 1780872300	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd7034a…
06-07 22:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780872300	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xd71345…
06-07 22:48:48	btc updown 5m 1780872300	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x29ef82…
06-07 22:28:48	btc updown 5m 1780871100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x50f773…
06-07 20:30:00	btc updown 5m 1780863900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaaf820…
06-07 20:29:03	btc updown 5m 1780863900	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x41a3bc…
06-07 20:19:30	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x443b1a…
06-07 20:19:27	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x017ca4…
06-07 20:19:13	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x80341a…
06-07 20:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x8f3fac…
06-07 20:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x358e37…
06-07 20:19:07	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x80d012…
06-07 20:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4e255d…
06-07 20:14:57	btc updown 5m 1780863000	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4639e2…
06-07 20:14:52	btc updown 5m 1780863000	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x22969b…
06-07 17:33:48	btc updown 5m 1780853400	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x90c99d…
06-07 17:33:45	btc updown 5m 1780853400	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1b46bd…
06-07 17:09:37	btc updown 5m 1780851900	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x32b213…
06-07 17:09:24	btc updown 5m 1780851900	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7fe039…
06-07 15:39:55	btc updown 5m 1780846500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x037f95…
06-07 15:33:57	btc updown 5m 1780846200	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa4eb76…
06-07 15:33:51	btc updown 5m 1780846200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfe81a8…
06-07 14:59:57	btc updown 5m 1780844100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa9a5e…
06-07 14:58:58	btc updown 5m 1780844100	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc792e6…
06-07 14:39:30	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7af68…
06-07 14:38:40	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x516114…
06-07 14:09:04	btc updown 5m 1780841100	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x9098ae…
06-07 14:09:03	btc updown 5m 1780841100	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf1ce9d…
06-07 13:35:00	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe03029…
06-07 13:34:09	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa90a4f…
06-07 12:29:09	btc updown 5m 1780835100	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x84077b…
06-07 12:29:06	btc updown 5m 1780835100	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd0e786…
06-07 12:04:15	btc updown 5m 1780833600	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa44b30…
06-07 12:04:12	btc updown 5m 1780833600	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeba0e0…
06-07 11:04:24	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x35b176…
06-07 11:03:55	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x386a7b…
06-07 11:03:54	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9e183c…
06-07 09:29:58	btc updown 5m 1780824300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xed3fe0…
06-07 09:29:21	btc updown 5m 1780824300	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x06a4b8…
06-07 09:15:00	btc updown 5m 1780823400	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcf18f0…
06-07 09:14:15	btc updown 5m 1780823400	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf4bc5…
06-07 08:54:51	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdcbebc…
06-07 08:54:24	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfe0ef5…
06-07 08:54:24	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5a540e…
06-07 08:53:48	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x291740…
06-07 08:19:10	btc updown 5m 1780820100	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x842964…
06-07 08:18:58	btc updown 5m 1780820100	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf05970…
06-07 08:09:15	btc updown 5m 1780819500	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xbec3ee…
06-07 08:08:49	btc updown 5m 1780819500	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1d48cc…
06-07 07:29:36	btc updown 5m 1780817100	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xbb5e0d…
06-07 07:29:21	btc updown 5m 1780817100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaffea1…
06-07 07:24:52	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x288f07…
06-07 07:23:51	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf972bb…
06-07 07:23:51	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe8e759…
06-07 06:24:55	btc updown 5m 1780813200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd89af…
06-07 06:24:04	btc updown 5m 1780813200	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x14552d…
06-07 05:55:01	btc updown 5m 1780811400	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa28b55…
06-07 05:09:33	btc updown 5m 1780808700	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x89323b…
06-07 05:09:15	btc updown 5m 1780808700	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x44fc86…
06-07 05:09:07	btc updown 5m 1780808700	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xa2e992…