Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,434

lifetime

Volume

$5.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 04-21 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

80% 50% +$35

Other

13% 100% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	66	$335	1,155	885	+270	open	—	03-01 02:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	24	$210	124	124	+0	open	—	04-21 17:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	32	$193	337	290	+47	open	—	04-08 01:41
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	17	$131	393	382	+11	open	—	02-28 02:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	27	$118	195	170	+25	open	—	02-28 08:07
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	29	$105	86	64	+22	open	—	03-04 01:54
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	14	$103	202	63	+140	open	—	03-01 12:06
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$97	113	106	+7	open	—	04-16 19:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	27	$95	270	268	+1	open	—	04-07 22:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	01-16 15:12
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	9	$91	98	93	+5	open	—	02-27 17:41
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	8	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	02-27 18:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	27	$78	113	77	+36	open	—	04-07 23:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	38	$70	160	105	+54	open	—	03-05 23:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	22	$70	136	121	+15	open	—	04-21 17:21
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	14	$68	43	33	+10	open	—	04-09 01:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	16	$64	40	72	-31	open	—	02-28 19:39
iran strike on us military by february 28	6	$62	41	25	+16	open	—	02-28 09:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	26	$62	140	140	+1	open	—	03-25 00:14
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$59	61	0	+61	open	—	03-01 08:18
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$53	45	45	+0	open	—	04-21 17:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$51	43	25	+18	open	—	04-08 00:10
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	14	$50	357	357	+0	open	—	04-12 16:31
btc updown 5m 1771777500	16	$49	1,530	0	+1,530	open	—	02-22 16:30
us strikes iraq by february 28	5	$48	72	64	+8	open	—	03-03 22:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	25	$47	132	104	+28	open	—	03-25 14:47
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	17	$46	182	166	+16	open	—	04-15 21:07
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	7	$46	50	6	+44	open	—	01-16 22:10
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	4	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	03-02 18:53
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	14	$45	73	30	+43	open	—	03-08 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 17:23:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x582afb…
04-21 17:23:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xfee20e…
04-21 17:23:02	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x3d38b1…
04-21 17:23:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x632644…
04-21 17:22:56	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7f9136…
04-21 17:22:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x52e3c4…
04-21 17:22:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae9089…
04-21 17:22:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x8836ed…
04-21 17:22:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x14f59d…
04-21 17:22:30	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x444f46…
04-21 17:22:10	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xcc47c0…
04-21 17:22:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x5347cb…
04-21 17:22:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xb3ad9b…
04-21 17:21:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x0e165a…
04-21 17:21:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x3cae16…
04-21 17:21:54	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x7fb32e…
04-21 17:21:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4cb92d…
04-21 17:21:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x59687a…
04-21 17:21:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x803740…
04-21 17:19:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x7e5520…
04-21 17:19:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe61774…
04-21 17:19:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4625cb…
04-21 17:18:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa4162b…
04-21 17:18:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x62a90b…
04-21 17:17:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc60c95…
04-21 17:17:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0x9d6d6f…
04-21 17:17:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x87e4ba…
04-21 17:16:46	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x73ed5a…
04-21 16:51:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x37f9ea…
04-21 16:26:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xedb898…
04-21 01:12:32	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x647a0c…
04-21 00:51:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x7b494c…
04-20 21:46:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x88adb6…
04-20 21:46:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x161656…
04-20 20:52:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9aa524…
04-20 20:51:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1b553a…
04-20 20:44:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x3b7f24…
04-20 18:11:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6eca6a…
04-20 18:10:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xdabc22…
04-19 20:04:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1ae128…
04-19 19:30:56	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf6bb74…
04-19 19:24:16	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa01c94…
04-19 17:49:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x3f5bf0…
04-19 17:45:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf668a6…
04-19 16:13:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xda40d5…
04-19 16:03:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4f648d…
04-19 15:16:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf24ba6…
04-17 20:51:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0157d4…
04-17 20:47:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x399ef6…
04-16 22:37:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5f4f93…
04-16 22:25:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa4221b…
04-16 19:54:56	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e2ab1…
04-16 19:53:08	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x70595c…
04-16 18:04:30	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc28008…
04-16 18:03:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x23d55e…
04-16 18:00:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0c6617…
04-16 16:18:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x398c85…
04-16 15:38:48	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x489b85…
04-16 15:38:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x14f720…
04-16 15:28:12	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x632666…
04-15 23:01:44	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x4905b2…
04-15 22:11:06	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xfe7dac…
04-15 21:08:20	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2ecedf…
04-15 21:08:18	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5c4592…
04-15 21:07:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x8bb62a…
04-15 19:07:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3848c9…
04-15 19:03:08	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x9a1b89…
04-15 18:34:44	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x4630fd…
04-15 17:42:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0xe24535…
04-15 14:45:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9b61d7…
04-15 14:02:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x2154b1…
04-15 14:01:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb7715f…
04-15 13:43:04	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xd8e22f…
04-15 13:37:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xb4b51c…
04-15 13:28:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x077575…
04-15 13:24:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xa2b3cf…
04-15 13:24:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2333af…
04-15 11:43:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	151	6¢	$9	0x6210e9…
04-15 07:58:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x5826d0…
04-15 07:47:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x0f967d…
04-15 07:32:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa7b7ea…
04-15 07:31:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4909fb…
04-15 07:04:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe5b58c…
04-15 06:38:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x044c25…
04-15 05:22:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x3c9ce3…
04-15 05:17:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x827aad…
04-15 04:04:54	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xa90ad7…
04-15 01:56:20	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7ba93f…
04-15 00:25:40	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x103cb3…
04-15 00:05:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x010045…
04-15 00:00:16	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf33cfc…
04-14 23:55:28	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x1704be…
04-14 23:14:10	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb03fbd…
04-14 23:09:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd25f9d…
04-14 23:06:48	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3a2ab4…
04-14 22:36:28	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0xcfba83…
04-14 22:22:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe17371…
04-14 19:19:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x44a5f7…
04-13 22:36:51	Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe298dd…
04-13 22:34:43	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x829ca0…