Corny-Hyphenation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.88K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.59K

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

192

Trades

5,089

lifetime

Volume

$251.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$7.49K

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 11-05 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

100% 68% +$3,885

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+5,372	$3,730	88¢	$4.8K	+$1,024	11-05 19:24
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	+5,565	$638	22¢	$1.2K	+$586	11-05 15:19
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	+1,496	$615	74¢	$1.1K	+$485	11-05 17:41
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026?	No	+270	$233	92¢	$250	+$17	11-05 15:29
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+1,409	$673	12¢	$162	-$511	11-05 17:42
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	+0	$11	0¢	$0	-$11	07-22 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	602	$28.7K	23,924	18,552	+5,372	open	—	11-05 19:24
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	65	$20.2K	12,162	12,147	+15	open	—	11-03 14:09
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	147	$20.0K	17,112	15,616	+1,496	open	—	11-05 17:41
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	165	$11.4K	27,339	21,773	+5,565	open	—	11-05 15:19
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	140	$10.6K	11,452	2,204	+9,248	Yes	+$1,992	08-11 07:08
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	284	$5.7K	9,674	8,265	+1,409	open	—	11-05 17:42
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?	54	$5.1K	5,248	174	+5,073	No	+$180	07-04 05:34
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	47	$4.8K	3,075	2,975	+100	No	+$126	09-29 12:28
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	45	$4.7K	4,304	1,218	+3,085	open	—	10-29 15:44
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	40	$4.1K	2,654	2,323	+331	No	+$257	11-01 03:25
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	67	$3.9K	2,311	1,886	+425	open	—	11-03 13:57
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	50	$3.8K	2,519	2,101	+418	No	+$823	06-10 10:41
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	27	$3.5K	2,892	2,262	+630	Yes	+$102	10-01 10:34
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	66	$3.3K	2,475	2,270	+205	Yes	-$22	08-11 04:42
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	78	$3.0K	3,354	2,760	+594	No	-$403	08-05 23:17
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?	58	$2.9K	2,844	2,693	+151	open	—	11-04 11:27
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	121	$2.8K	3,424	263	+3,160	Yes	+$408	08-11 14:50
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	97	$2.8K	2,644	979	+1,666	No	+$255	09-27 14:11
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	54	$2.6K	4,632	1,702	+2,930	No	+$35	08-11 04:45
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	11	$2.5K	2,292	1,918	+374	open	—	11-04 13:52
Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	42	$2.5K	6,137	4,860	+1,277	open	—	10-31 18:50
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	31	$2.5K	2,506	624	+1,882	No	+$559	07-07 06:52
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?	66	$2.4K	2,600	430	+2,171	Yes	+$125	09-29 15:00
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	28	$2.3K	1,356	1,263	+93	No	-$35	09-30 01:20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	29	$2.1K	1,101	1,101	-0	No	+$40	06-08 14:16
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in July 2026?	16	$2.1K	1,087	1,087	+0	No	+$53	07-16 15:34
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	13	$2.0K	1,139	1,139	+0	No	+$87	09-26 13:35
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	28	$1.9K	1,371	1,371	+0	No	-$64	10-25 14:36
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?	53	$1.9K	4,734	646	+4,088	Yes	-$1,626	09-28 10:04
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.7 ft or more?	24	$1.9K	1,117	1,117	-0	open	—	10-07 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:24:27	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0fbe01…
11-05 19:03:37	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xc7e37b…
11-05 17:42:18	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x56b24f…
11-05 17:41:12	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	238	74¢	$176	0x29f6cb…
11-05 16:39:04	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x020a0d…
11-05 15:29:49	Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026?	No	BUY	104	91¢	$94	0x5a53ae…
11-05 15:19:00	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	119	22¢	$26	0xa20135…
11-05 15:18:51	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	426	78¢	$332	0x6a290d…
11-05 14:42:13	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	260	20¢	$52	0x8f2968…
11-05 14:41:33	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xfb4baa…
11-05 14:41:21	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x1460a7…
11-05 14:35:52	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	557	74¢	$412	0x254687…
11-05 14:34:49	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x47eec4…
11-05 14:34:34	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	194	90¢	$174	0x06708f…
11-05 14:32:25	Will Seattle have between 5 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x016f10…
11-05 14:31:13	Will Hong Kong have between 5-10mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	140	92¢	$129	0xec9e89…
11-05 12:31:06	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x9db793…
11-05 12:30:54	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xc0e9d9…
11-05 08:54:48	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	328	24¢	$79	0x3ce4db…
11-05 04:25:54	Will Hong Kong have less than 5mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x681298…
11-05 04:23:25	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	428	21¢	$90	0x195b1c…
11-05 00:41:51	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	250	23¢	$58	0xc16ef4…
11-04 13:54:01	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 83 km/h or below in November?	No	BUY	93	89¢	$83	0xe6c841…
11-04 13:52:19	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	Yes	SELL	617	93¢	$574	0xf88c28…
11-04 13:52:19	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xde5b99…
11-04 13:49:42	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	Yes	BUY	680	89¢	$605	0x8ea3bb…
11-04 13:47:13	Will Hong Kong have between 5-10mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	184	91¢	$167	0xa2d8b2…
11-04 13:46:15	Will Hong Kong have between 60-95mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	185	84¢	$155	0x02bca5…
11-04 13:41:46	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xa07134…
11-04 13:41:01	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0xdfc8aa…
11-04 13:38:15	Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 125 mph?	No	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0x51bf42…
11-04 11:29:12	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	258	22¢	$57	0x903aca…
11-04 11:27:22	Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?	Yes	SELL	124	76¢	$94	0x8424bf…
11-04 09:49:34	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	421	98¢	$412	0xe6afb2…
11-04 06:59:19	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0xe1c07d…
11-04 05:38:58	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	SELL	90	30¢	$27	0xd72261…
11-04 04:05:03	Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in November 2026?	No	BUY	166	83¢	$138	0x245926…
11-04 04:04:45	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xfcb94d…
11-04 04:03:25	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x098dba…
11-04 04:03:06	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x8dd08d…
11-04 03:59:43	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x1c2926…
11-04 03:59:33	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x31b3e9…
11-04 03:59:22	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xd4346e…
11-04 03:58:57	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	150	21¢	$32	0x83b639…
11-04 03:57:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x1808f8…
11-03 19:19:16	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	Yes	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x77088c…
11-03 17:42:16	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	427	21¢	$91	0x31659d…
11-03 17:40:15	Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?	Yes	BUY	244	76¢	$184	0xd0ab70…
11-03 16:35:24	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	435	21¢	$92	0xb2d052…
11-03 16:10:57	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd20e0f…
11-03 16:10:13	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xcb1f5d…
11-03 14:10:27	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	219	98¢	$214	0xa24246…
11-03 14:09:28	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	SELL	545	90¢	$493	0x63265c…
11-03 14:05:21	Will Seoul have between 30-45mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x65b9e2…
11-03 13:57:51	Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	Yes	BUY	423	96¢	$407	0x1c833d…
11-03 13:52:15	Will NYC have between 4.25 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x571fb5…
11-03 13:48:31	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5fec7a…
11-03 13:48:09	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa7e978…
11-03 13:45:48	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	150	21¢	$32	0x3bc7ee…
11-03 13:45:31	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd9ccb8…
11-03 13:45:25	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	270	19¢	$52	0xf0e106…
11-03 13:43:09	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	644	22¢	$141	0xc66deb…
11-03 03:10:19	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xcee0b2…
11-02 18:34:19	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	165	22¢	$36	0x524b66…
11-02 18:34:09	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	350	75¢	$264	0xf988bf…
11-02 15:27:09	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	952	71¢	$672	0xdaa218…
11-02 15:26:57	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	682	23¢	$159	0xa32d81…
11-02 15:22:36	Will Seattle have between 3 and 4.5 inches of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0a8407…
11-02 15:22:07	Will NYC have between 4.25 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x10ca14…
11-02 15:07:52	Will Hong Kong have between 25-35mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x4b9bab…
11-02 15:06:12	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.54ºC in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	28¢	$14	0x72508f…
11-02 15:02:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x14b4b1…
11-02 15:01:52	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x7fbb16…
11-02 14:59:07	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	29	53¢	$16	0xb52eb9…
11-02 14:54:48	Will November 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x4f85da…
11-02 09:16:27	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	91¢	$229	0x0e80d0…
11-02 09:16:09	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	91¢	$267	0x682ffc…
11-02 09:15:28	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,411	94¢	$1,321	0x1e5787…
11-01 18:41:10	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x7e9f07…
11-01 17:57:58	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0xfb5427…
11-01 15:30:21	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	94¢	$311	0xe1283c…
11-01 15:28:55	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	139	89¢	$123	0x8be4eb…
11-01 15:27:31	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	Yes	SELL	70	8¢	$6	0x6239de…
11-01 15:26:42	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x139535…
11-01 15:26:27	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0xca85a1…
11-01 15:19:52	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	87¢	$699	0xf7a15d…
11-01 15:18:52	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x20c660…
11-01 15:17:48	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	926	72¢	$669	0x3b9f79…
11-01 15:12:19	Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xb873d2…
11-01 14:16:52	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	501	23¢	$116	0x7bd1d9…
11-01 14:09:34	Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026?	No	BUY	155	82¢	$127	0x06ab42…
11-01 14:04:54	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfaba3d…
11-01 14:04:54	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x45dc57…
11-01 14:04:52	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	944	22¢	$203	0x518399…
11-01 07:48:36	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	191	21¢	$40	0xecd179…
11-01 07:46:19	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe6e07e…
11-01 07:45:55	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	557	21¢	$114	0x05cee3…
11-01 07:35:15	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x850313…
11-01 05:08:30	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x68ada2…
11-01 05:07:51	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x922d59…