Quixotic-Gynaecology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

163

Trades

984

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 06-18 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 48% -$102

Other

13% 61% -$36

Politics

8% 89% +$6

Sports

3% 10% -$29

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$74	25	50	-25	No	+$0	05-30 20:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	28	$50	25	25	-0	No	+$0	06-18 18:20
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	05-28 20:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	15	$49	62	0	+62	Down	-$49	05-15 13:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$44	20	25	-5	No	+$1	05-21 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	22	$43	84	28	+56	Down	-$23	05-16 09:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	16	$40	64	0	+64	Up	-$40	05-16 05:15
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	10	$38	35	35	+0	No	+$1	05-16 21:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	11	$37	45	0	+45	Down	+$8	05-16 05:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	13	$36	65	0	+65	Down	+$29	05-16 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	10	$35	50	0	+50	Up	+$14	05-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	17	$35	85	0	+85	Down	-$35	05-16 05:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	14	$35	56	0	+56	Down	-$35	05-16 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	11	$35	50	0	+50	Down	+$15	05-16 04:28
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$34	10	25	-15	No	+$0	05-21 07:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	15	$34	75	0	+75	Down	+$41	05-16 04:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$34	10	25	-15	No	+$1	05-30 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	11	$33	50	0	+50	Up	-$33	05-16 05:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	16	$32	76	0	+76	Up	-$32	05-16 04:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	17	$32	75	0	+75	Up	+$43	05-16 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	13	$32	58	0	+58	Down	+$26	05-16 07:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	25	$31	101	0	+101	Down	-$31	05-16 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	13	$30	60	0	+60	Down	-$30	05-15 17:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	19	$30	80	0	+80	Up	-$30	05-16 02:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	8	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	05-16 04:41
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$30	5	25	-20	No	+$0	05-21 15:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	11	$30	45	0	+45	Up	+$16	05-15 18:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	8	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$6	05-15 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	13	$29	61	0	+61	Up	-$29	05-15 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$29	40	0	+40	Up	-$29	05-15 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 18:20:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdfecf1…
06-18 17:26:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9436ba…
06-18 17:17:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x971839…
06-18 17:11:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x62ace9…
06-18 17:05:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xca1989…
06-18 16:47:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xab1a5a…
06-18 16:29:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6313f0…
06-18 16:28:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4ee24c…
06-18 15:55:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2dcf55…
06-18 15:15:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe286fd…
06-18 15:10:13	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcc02fc…
06-18 14:13:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x825317…
06-18 13:20:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf2d4d9…
06-18 12:01:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xadaae8…
06-18 11:23:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x13fa85…
06-18 11:21:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeb0e18…
06-18 11:19:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x726380…
06-18 11:18:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1313bd…
06-18 11:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1c0dda…
06-18 00:09:11	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x145f35…
06-14 11:05:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd9f6bf…
06-14 10:55:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbf7006…
06-14 10:19:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x05d632…
06-14 10:18:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaf16dc…
06-14 10:15:06	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x85cc29…
06-14 10:14:54	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62935f…
06-10 09:39:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b6851…
06-10 09:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x162d05…
06-10 09:39:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4e306…
06-04 00:27:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x478af0…
06-03 20:32:10	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cce91…
06-03 20:31:03	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 completed match	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x914f1d…
06-02 16:06:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xec5b5b…
06-02 15:25:47	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeb0b4d…
06-02 11:28:08	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x125301…
06-02 10:36:41	Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikata	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3751ab…
06-02 10:35:45	Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikata	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x44ff6a…
06-01 15:40:42	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x95b2df…
06-01 15:40:40	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x61cb52…
05-31 00:06:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3f7553…
05-30 20:05:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xefa1b1…
05-30 11:52:52	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe12b5a…
05-30 11:52:52	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6131f9…
05-30 11:48:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf91947…
05-29 18:53:54	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x99e3f1…
05-29 18:52:51	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5932ef…
05-28 20:44:40	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb0537c…
05-28 18:30:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x183820…
05-28 17:09:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x92bb48…
05-28 17:09:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05ed6c…
05-28 16:29:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdee75f…
05-28 16:13:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb113b3…
05-28 15:51:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x801077…
05-28 15:51:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b95fd…
05-28 14:52:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e69ca…
05-28 13:40:28	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8bd2b…
05-28 13:39:56	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf61e32…
05-28 13:39:47	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcedf0f…
05-28 11:38:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea2bee…
05-27 07:45:41	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x62523b…
05-26 17:27:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x77b5b5…
05-25 17:39:50	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f3dae…
05-25 17:37:59	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcda465…
05-25 17:05:19	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	450	2¢	$10	0x346428…
05-25 13:56:21	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino	Ugo Humbert	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd254a…
05-24 15:10:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xe46036…
05-24 10:33:01	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3cb763…
05-23 17:15:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x14b1b0…
05-23 16:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x241cae…
05-23 16:13:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd63b2a…
05-21 17:14:44	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd5622…
05-21 17:14:14	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbcecfe…
05-21 16:27:40	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78ff3d…
05-21 15:56:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb1e435…
05-21 14:59:03	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2945f1…
05-21 14:34:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf890d2…
05-21 14:08:32	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7233dd…
05-21 14:03:07	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe13fee…
05-21 13:46:59	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x28cf61…
05-21 13:09:51	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x30e0ec…
05-21 08:31:12	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb8f655…
05-21 07:38:12	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9f2f71…
05-20 21:59:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x9d942f…
05-20 21:44:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f0f9b…
05-20 21:12:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x980275…
05-20 20:55:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x27c9e6…
05-20 20:52:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9db22…
05-20 20:45:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf6f24b…
05-20 20:45:16	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc33645…
05-19 04:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x26ee62…
05-19 02:55:38	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xae6146…
05-19 02:55:38	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ef81f…
05-18 22:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x93fb3b…
05-18 22:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4df1c3…
05-18 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa1db24…
05-18 19:03:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x73761c…
05-18 16:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xeafd8e…
05-18 16:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa45658…
05-18 16:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf9c1b8…
05-18 16:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x932494…