Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

11.7%

Resolved

113

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-10 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

48% 13% -$78

Politics

31% 7% -$28

Crypto

13% 6% -$2

Tech

4% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

4% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-29 17:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	-20	-$15	70¢	$-14	+$2	06-19 13:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+12	$7	42¢	$5	-$2	11-10 15:43
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	-17	-$10	20¢	$-3	+$7	06-16 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 04:00 UTC	10	$299	250	150	+100	Down	$0	08-11 07:58
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	9	$118	100	80	+20	No	$0	08-12 19:50
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	6	$101	150	100	+50	Yes	-$1	07-03 20:19
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	4	$99	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-10 15:12
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-21 18:32
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505805	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 20:35
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	9	$80	100	80	+20	No	$0	08-12 20:08
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	8	$77	75	75	+0	No	$0	08-12 04:35
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	6	$77	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-12 06:28
will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	5	$75	50	30	+20	Yes	-$19	07-12 13:43
will delta air lines say cargo during earnings call 20260709172400996	4	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	07-10 14:30
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-21 04:47
will the announcers say nasty during cory sandhagen vs mario bautista 20260708171831752	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	-$48	07-12 17:07
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	7	$42	80	60	+20	No	-$1	08-12 20:08
gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-12 02:29
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	7	$39	60	40	+20	No	$0	08-12 19:56
D4v41 to have the most kills	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-21 16:25
will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-11 10:04
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-11 12:35
will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-13 02:15
will krakens valuation hit high 15 by july 31 20260629184742670	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-11 05:17
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?	3	$39	40	20	+20	No	-$1	08-12 06:21
will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by july 31 20260629222029478	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-10 10:03
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-27 09:37
ng up or down on july 10 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Down	$0	07-10 15:29
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-21 09:16
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 07:25
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-13 10:14
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-28 19:55
grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 15:43:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xb6c047…
11-02 09:09:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x2c1507…
10-29 17:49:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf901b5…
10-29 14:16:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x15e50e…
09-28 19:55:39	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x3f3808…
09-28 05:34:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x17edfe…
09-27 18:33:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x043b50…
09-27 18:32:36	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xac3479…
09-27 18:32:27	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa09e01…
09-27 14:10:57	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x964cfa…
09-27 14:09:32	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x472b85…
09-27 09:37:17	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xecbc4b…
09-27 09:35:15	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0ab098…
09-27 05:55:30	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf067af…
09-27 05:16:02	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xcf03a3…
09-27 05:12:41	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67def0…
09-27 04:58:00	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe233c2…
09-27 04:56:29	where will it rain on september 26 2026 dallas tx	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x24868e…
09-27 04:23:18	where will it rain on september 26 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x22c658…
08-14 11:27:51	Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x99b719…
08-14 10:33:49	Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x61cede…
08-13 14:11:48	Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x7b8134…
08-13 10:14:04	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x8ea2dc…
08-12 20:08:34	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8cbca3…
08-12 20:08:18	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x90d3ba…
08-12 19:56:42	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd34102…
08-12 19:56:10	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5f22e6…
08-12 19:50:39	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfd0527…
08-12 19:50:07	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xffbcfc…
08-12 18:41:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbd8131…
08-12 17:03:27	will rklb dip to 74 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc60897…
08-12 17:02:49	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x39abba…
08-12 16:43:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x00234c…
08-12 16:37:22	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdd9501…
08-12 16:37:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9af5eb…
08-12 16:36:43	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc28c62…
08-12 16:11:03	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5e0715…
08-12 15:52:10	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xaefece…
08-12 15:48:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x481baf…
08-12 15:40:15	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6e277c…
08-12 15:39:36	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xfc34e4…
08-12 10:40:18	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xc95dcf…
08-12 10:40:03	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc659c0…
08-12 10:39:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe7d631…
08-12 10:35:04	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9d3305…
08-12 09:59:07	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf1d2ee…
08-12 09:49:46	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd7723e…
08-12 09:43:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2b495a…
08-12 09:35:04	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xddb3e9…
08-12 09:24:49	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9e1036…
08-12 09:21:37	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc4cf0d…
08-12 08:57:21	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x68e6e9…
08-12 08:54:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6883f6…
08-12 08:32:31	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x20233e…
08-12 08:31:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa256f8…
08-12 08:31:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6335a0…
08-12 08:30:57	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e39b8…
08-12 06:28:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0282ac…
08-12 06:27:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0c0e33…
08-12 06:27:40	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0c0e33…
08-12 06:21:42	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3501bf…
08-12 06:21:13	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb81641…
08-12 06:21:13	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa268d9…
08-12 06:21:13	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7d5315…
08-12 06:21:13	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x14b5b5…
08-12 06:09:12	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x695498…
08-12 04:35:49	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6808cb…
08-12 04:32:07	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb54d22…
08-12 04:25:39	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0b9bdf…
08-12 04:25:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbd1da2…
08-12 04:25:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a3fdb…
08-12 04:25:06	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcea1d4…
08-12 04:23:21	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xa0eb12…
08-12 04:22:43	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdf560b…
08-12 04:11:54	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb96c8a…
08-12 04:11:43	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xbbf4a6…
08-12 04:11:03	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x32c9e2…
08-12 03:57:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4fe812…
08-12 03:56:54	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x83d077…
08-12 03:35:49	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb101d7…
08-12 03:35:21	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xed739d…
08-12 03:35:10	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x462e43…
08-12 03:34:58	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe3fc55…
08-12 03:34:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1980f4…
08-12 03:33:58	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa20397…
08-12 03:32:00	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0bd838…
08-12 03:29:34	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xed074d…
08-12 03:29:33	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2d8dbf…
08-12 03:28:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x63a03d…
08-12 03:28:24	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8db614…
08-12 03:26:07	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf22be7…
08-12 03:25:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd1885a…
08-12 03:24:54	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x192d4c…
08-12 03:24:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfb0225…
08-12 03:24:42	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfe9227…
08-12 02:29:55	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2334e1…
08-12 02:29:39	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x64c0ec…
08-12 02:22:36	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb7b045…
08-11 23:27:43	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x68da0c…
08-11 11:57:34	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5868fa…