Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
222
lifetime
Volume
$7.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$501
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-30 03:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
60% 43% +$20
Other
28%
Sports
7%
Tech
4%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +153 $115 82¢ $127 +$12 06-15 12:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +114 $100 88¢ $101 +$1 06-15 18:29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -75 $-62 90¢ $-68 $-6 05-28 10:58
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +70 $56 75¢ $52 $-4 06-23 15:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +58 $50 90¢ $52 +$2 06-03 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +110 $52 36¢ $40 $-12 06-23 15:34
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -37 $-30 92¢ $-34 $-4 05-28 10:42
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +33 $20 64¢ $21 +$2 06-23 15:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -6 $-5 48¢ $-3 +$2 06-15 18:19
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-11 03:52
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +7 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-03 17:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 29¢ $1 $-0 06-15 04:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -35 $2 $-0 $-2 06-30 03:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -36 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-23 16:00