Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$87
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
256
lifetime
Volume
$7.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$432
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-21 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
59% 43% +$20
Other
29%
Sports
7%
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +114 $100 90¢ $103 +$3 06-15 18:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +153 $115 52¢ $79 $-36 06-15 12:57
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -75 $-62 94¢ $-70 $-9 05-28 10:58
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +70 $56 90¢ $63 +$7 06-23 15:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +58 $50 92¢ $54 +$4 06-03 06:16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -37 $-30 92¢ $-34 $-4 05-28 10:42
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +33 $20 68¢ $22 +$3 06-23 15:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -6 $-5 42¢ $-3 +$2 06-15 18:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +128 $57 $1 $-56 07-03 19:08
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-11 03:52
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +7 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 17:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 22¢ $0 $-0 06-15 04:02