Realized P&L
-$263
Unrealized P&L
-$136
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
149
Trades
285
lifetime
Volume
$7.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$523
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 08-29 09:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
57% 56% -$14
Other
32% 50% -$298
Sports
7% 38% +$25
Tech
4% 100% +$13
Crypto
1% 44% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +254 $220 94¢ $240 +$20 06-15 18:29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -75 -$62 96¢ $-72 -$10 05-28 10:58
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +70 $56 96¢ $66 +$11 06-23 15:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +58 $50 97¢ $56 +$6 06-03 06:16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -37 -$30 95¢ $-35 -$5 05-28 10:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +172 $127 12¢ $20 -$107 08-29 09:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +60 $50 22¢ $13 -$37 06-03 17:09
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +33 $20 27¢ $9 -$11 06-23 15:17
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$2 06-15 18:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -6 -$5 45¢ $-3 +$2 06-15 18:19
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +12 $5 14¢ $2 -$3 07-09 16:07
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 Yes +9 $3 15¢ $1 -$2 07-09 16:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 06-15 04:02
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-03 19:23