Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$143

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-28 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

60% 75% -$7

Other

40% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-8	-$4	38¢	$-3	+$1	05-27 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$25	36	0	+36	Yes	-$25	06-12 06:29
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	06-16 01:29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$3	05-28 05:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 05:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:21
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$13	19	19	+0	Yes	+$5	04-11 12:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$13	22	0	+22	No	+$10	05-28 05:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	11	11	+0	No	+$3	05-24 13:38
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-18 11:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	1	$4	0	8	-8	open	—	05-27 08:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	05-24 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$3	18	0	+18	No	-$3	06-16 08:19
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	04-09 03:05
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	03-19 03:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$1	38	0	+38	No	-$1	05-09 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:47:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x7fff67…
10-10 06:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x12124c…
06-16 08:19:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x1db305…
06-16 01:29:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x03d0ae…
06-12 06:29:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x9c9ff2…
06-08 11:12:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xeef0ff…
05-28 05:31:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x745701…
05-28 05:27:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7a1d70…
05-27 08:39:09	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x657ddb…
05-27 07:24:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd2c087…
05-26 01:19:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x42fc69…
05-24 13:54:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x9079f9…
05-24 13:38:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x96ca83…
05-09 01:52:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x315e0e…
04-13 06:06:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6771c4…
04-11 12:55:15	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x6a77dd…
04-09 03:05:25	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x712547…
04-09 01:28:57	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x0d2c0d…
04-01 06:46:15	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x4becf9…
04-01 06:21:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xae50b5…
03-30 08:23:58	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0c7f7c…
03-19 03:21:59	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x45c80c…
03-18 11:39:15	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a21ed…