Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.29K

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$185.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$655

Open exposure

$48.1K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

100% 60% -$1,620

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	+30,642	$29,013	96¢	$29.5K	+$495	10-14 13:17
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+13,231	$11,580	92¢	$12.2K	+$659	09-24 13:14
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	+4,802	$4,274	92¢	$4.4K	+$144	10-19 07:05
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+2,000	$1,974	98¢	$2.0K	-$4	09-28 10:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$39.4K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$564	05-27 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$32.3K	37,275	0	+37,275	No	+$5,014	04-29 09:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	17	$29.0K	30,642	0	+30,642	open	—	10-14 13:17
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	46	$20.1K	20,471	0	+20,471	No	+$346	02-15 14:54
US recession by end of 2026?	16	$11.6K	13,231	0	+13,231	open	—	09-24 13:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	28	$5.9K	7,650	0	+7,650	No	+$1,782	04-17 06:01
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$5.4K	5,969	0	+5,969	No	+$555	03-17 02:03
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	8	$5.4K	5,573	0	+5,573	No	+$212	06-03 09:16
will the us national debt hit 39 trillion in 2025	1	$5.0K	4,981	0	+4,981	No	+$10	01-03 07:07
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	29	$4.7K	3,054	6,003	-2,949	No	-$2,190	02-11 03:47
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	12	$4.3K	4,802	0	+4,802	open	—	10-19 07:05
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	14	$3.0K	5,100	7,240	-2,140	Yes	-$5,685	02-11 14:29
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	5	$2.4K	1,850	2,050	-200	Yes	+$444	01-02 21:17
will greenland 2 migration make 25 million or more domestically by january 31	18	$2.3K	3,022	0	+3,022	No	-$2,314	01-09 18:09
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	09-28 10:49
will greenland 2 migration opening weekend box office be less than 9m	2	$1.8K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$1,750	01-09 15:06
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$280	04-07 22:39
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	29	$1.7K	3,214	1,842	+1,372	No	-$455	01-10 16:06
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	5	$1.5K	2,935	0	+2,935	No	+$1,390	01-07 17:24
1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	11	$1.5K	1,566	0	+1,566	No	+$62	04-09 11:24
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?	1	$825	869	0	+869	open	—	09-22 05:17
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	9	$762	1,785	1,785	+0	No	+$150	02-10 02:50
will the us collect more than 2t in revenue in 2025	1	$722	0	724	-724	No	-$1	02-10 03:04
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	1	$700	726	0	+726	open	—	09-22 05:23
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	1	$642	748	0	+748	open	—	09-22 05:24
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	2	$248	259	0	+259	open	—	10-21 09:51
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	2	$244	246	0	+246	open	—	09-22 04:52
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	1	$196	270	0	+270	open	—	09-22 04:53
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	1	$158	0	179	-179	Yes	-$22	01-01 08:48
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	1	$11	1,153	0	+1,153	No	-$11	01-04 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:51:18	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x72c8a8…
10-19 07:05:29	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe4117c…
10-19 06:33:36	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$38	0x0c2fac…
10-18 06:37:05	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x9766fd…
10-18 06:37:00	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0xda778a…
10-18 06:33:51	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf8e449…
10-18 06:33:39	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x26b760…
10-18 06:33:33	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x70506d…
10-18 06:33:32	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x57ea53…
10-18 06:33:30	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xdfa863…
10-18 06:33:17	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	2,126	89¢	$1,892	0xb29092…
10-18 06:33:17	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	103	89¢	$92	0xa12617…
10-14 13:17:09	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xbf44e8…
10-14 09:56:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6820c6…
10-14 09:27:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x732236…
10-14 09:27:10	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x330ce8…
10-14 09:27:07	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe0e537…
10-14 09:27:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x505257…
10-14 09:25:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xaa9c12…
10-14 09:25:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$143	0x647459…
10-14 09:25:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	403	96¢	$386	0x2d0ca0…
10-14 09:25:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0x20d5e7…
10-14 09:25:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	527	96¢	$503	0x793eef…
10-10 19:55:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x82d5c2…
10-10 19:53:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xb369d1…
10-10 19:47:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x3f5c9a…
10-10 15:55:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	3,097	96¢	$2,967	0x655d43…
09-28 10:49:32	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1,632	99¢	$1,611	0xfad376…
09-27 17:38:47	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x570439…
09-25 02:09:48	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	1,700	89¢	$1,513	0x55050c…
09-25 00:45:26	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x1b6a6d…
09-24 13:14:57	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0xefa2ab…
09-24 13:14:56	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x41a67a…
09-24 13:14:50	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x86ed10…
09-24 07:44:56	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x002ad9…
09-24 07:44:54	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5e97ba…
09-24 07:44:50	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	251	90¢	$226	0xbef36b…
09-24 07:44:50	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8acf41…
09-24 07:44:48	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,696	90¢	$1,527	0x9a1e08…
09-24 07:38:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	6,000	94¢	$5,670	0x01467a…
09-23 18:55:26	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$208	0xa5b546…
09-22 07:35:34	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	91¢	$1,093	0xce18d3…
09-22 07:31:00	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x99912f…
09-22 07:31:00	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,086	91¢	$988	0x60be91…
09-22 05:24:10	OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	Meta	BUY	748	86¢	$642	0x5348f8…
09-22 05:23:10	New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	726	96¢	$700	0xbc4f5e…
09-22 05:19:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	20,000	94¢	$18,900	0x9868ae…
09-22 05:18:28	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,932	92¢	$1,778	0xae2db7…
09-22 05:17:15	Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?	No	BUY	869	95¢	$825	0x057d64…
09-22 04:53:30	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	270	72¢	$196	0x7c7d92…
09-22 04:52:58	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$164	0x7e948f…
09-22 04:52:37	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x15248a…
09-15 20:45:24	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	975	77¢	$751	0x88dea4…
09-15 20:01:25	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x41e857…
09-15 20:01:22	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa1e4c1…
09-15 20:01:22	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	77¢	$1,540	0x53c087…
09-12 08:54:57	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	257	96¢	$246	0xa13f2c…
06-03 09:16:55	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xcdb0e4…
06-03 09:16:48	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	653	97¢	$633	0xffaaee…
05-29 15:58:05	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xeb4b33…
05-29 15:58:03	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x1d863c…
05-29 15:58:02	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf83dda…
05-29 15:58:02	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$70	0x5c6ce0…
05-29 15:58:00	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	2,786	96¢	$2,669	0x94a197…
05-28 07:27:30	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1,809	97¢	$1,747	0x38b667…
05-27 06:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	40,000	99¢	$39,436	0xee1a04…
04-29 09:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,599	100¢	$2,589	0x67508e…
04-29 09:55:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0xfcd997…
04-27 01:49:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	17,000	100¢	$16,932	0xb75fdc…
04-19 16:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7,279	68¢	$4,950	0x3a3dbd…
04-17 06:01:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	99	75¢	$75	0x2d8686…
04-17 02:24:42	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	2,285	75¢	$1,714	0xddd088…
04-16 07:57:16	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	210	75¢	$157	0x5da5ae…
04-16 04:19:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x85067e…
04-15 14:36:48	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	1,872	71¢	$1,329	0x3b75e4…
04-12 05:44:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,327	82¢	$1,908	0x774d99…
04-12 05:43:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xce4596…
04-12 05:43:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xe5acef…
04-12 05:43:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,412	82¢	$1,158	0x674e47…
04-11 20:58:13	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0xe835ba…
04-11 20:56:29	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0x2d2f56…
04-11 20:48:07	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	112	71¢	$80	0x37cee1…
04-11 19:26:13	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	285	80¢	$228	0x6dd46e…
04-11 19:22:25	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xf73053…
04-11 19:17:27	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x6fbcc8…
04-11 19:16:27	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x922bc2…
04-11 17:42:21	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x7916ca…
04-11 17:35:57	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$23	0x278689…
04-11 13:10:31	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	624	80¢	$499	0x44d84c…
04-10 09:21:07	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	44	71¢	$31	0xf7e552…
04-09 19:27:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0x3eae99…
04-09 11:24:15	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x481cd8…
04-07 22:39:07	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	1,421	86¢	$1,222	0xf0b253…
04-07 03:27:35	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	266	87¢	$231	0xa38881…
04-06 04:04:17	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x9a0818…
04-06 02:40:53	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x784f49…
04-06 00:32:35	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xc141b9…
04-06 00:31:29	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xbfa978…
04-06 00:30:43	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x7ab4e5…
04-06 00:26:19	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xc5334c…