Good-Continent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$400

Unrealized P&L

-$282

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$728

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-19 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 69% +$51

Other

35% 59% -$420

Politics

13% 18% -$1

Sports

7% 38% -$30

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-442	-$244	93¢	$-413	-$169	06-11 08:40
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		-150	-$139	96¢	$-144	-$4	06-10 07:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+200	$112	29¢	$57	-$55	07-05 08:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No		+80	$44	48¢	$39	-$5	10-15 15:21
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		-40	-$19	94¢	$-38	-$18	06-06 23:08
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No		+65	$43	23¢	$15	-$28	07-22 10:37
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		-15	-$14	100¢	$-15	$0	07-10 07:34
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		+14	$9	46¢	$7	-$3	06-13 11:14
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	—	+1	$0	93¢	$1	+$0	08-02 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$566	286	286	+0	No	+$3	03-18 14:11
ethereum above 2700 on january 8	1	$559	560	0	+560	Yes	+$1	01-08 11:38
will ethereum dip to 2500 december 29 january 4	1	$556	557	0	+557	No	+$1	01-03 11:33
ethereum above 2700 on january 6	1	$555	556	0	+556	Yes	+$1	01-06 10:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$507	300	300	+0	open	—	08-02 07:46
nflx above 50 on january 9 2026	1	$492	492	0	+492	Yes	+$0	01-09 16:51
will nflx reach 455 in march	3	$490	248	248	+0	No	+$5	03-27 18:58
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$489	349	349	+0	No	+$56	03-15 07:56
will ethereum dip to 2900 january 12 18	1	$427	428	0	+428	No	+$0	01-18 20:04
nvda above 165 on january 16 2026	1	$427	428	0	+428	Yes	+$0	01-16 12:11
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 5 11	1	$425	425	0	+425	No	+$0	01-11 10:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$415	220	220	+0	Yes	+$1	03-22 17:52
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	4	$406	247	247	+0	open	—	06-01 06:47
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 13	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	01-13 17:01
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$392	200	200	+0	No	+$8	05-03 18:43
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$384	200	200	+0	No	+$1	02-12 13:33
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	7	$377	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 08:28
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	6	$357	228	228	+0	open	—	06-30 10:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$352	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-08 08:44
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	3	$324	400	400	+0	No	-$12	08-22 00:08
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$320	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 06:23
nvda above 210 on february 6 2026	1	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	02-06 09:47
tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	01-29 18:15
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 12:36
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$296	150	150	+0	No	+$2	03-10 06:27
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$278	253	253	+0	No	-$10	06-22 15:05
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$270	159	159	+0	open	—	08-31 13:21
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$256	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-11 09:10
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$250	200	200	+0	No	-$2	06-27 19:19
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$244	0	442	-442	open	—	06-11 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 14:14:51	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x3b5b69…
10-15 15:21:26	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x7f8b7d…
10-15 14:36:40	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x289e39…
10-15 14:32:26	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	29	74¢	$22	0x4fbab4…
10-01 10:35:33	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0x20d1e7…
10-01 10:33:20	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0x2f68d4…
09-29 11:26:33	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x61dd3e…
09-25 10:27:08	Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x2de91b…
09-22 07:07:01	MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0xd799ec…
09-19 15:59:36	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x6e865d…
09-19 15:37:33	Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xb0e43c…
09-19 15:35:12	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xa84c44…
09-16 07:05:13	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x8390d8…
09-16 06:40:45	Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x8452ce…
09-14 10:47:24	Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x964371…
09-14 10:42:33	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xe3a5ae…
09-14 10:40:13	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xd9f678…
09-09 10:19:18	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x33bdfa…
09-09 08:54:48	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by september 30 2026	No	SELL	73	84¢	$61	0xe52693…
09-09 08:25:46	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xa00508…
09-09 07:22:18	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	SELL	74	53¢	$39	0xfcd396…
09-09 07:22:07	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	SELL	126	53¢	$67	0xd1bdf8…
09-09 06:37:34	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	101	88¢	$89	0xb92ef8…
09-09 05:42:45	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by september 30 2026	No	BUY	73	84¢	$61	0x881d95…
09-09 05:35:22	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by september 30 2026	No	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0x156ff2…
09-09 05:34:58	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x6f89f1…
09-09 05:33:33	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by september 30 2026	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x91e0e3…
09-09 05:24:34	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x848227…
09-07 10:21:21	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x0b7b7c…
09-07 08:09:40	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	95	83¢	$79	0xb8eaf0…
08-31 13:38:55	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	88	77¢	$68	0xd25062…
08-31 13:25:09	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf6b2ef…
08-31 13:21:40	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xfdd658…
08-31 13:18:18	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0xf57073…
08-31 13:17:06	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0xf3c4b7…
08-30 09:30:33	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	101	84¢	$85	0x26d317…
08-30 09:26:22	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x196eea…
08-30 09:23:19	SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x615113…
08-30 08:41:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	132	12¢	$16	0xecf9ac…
08-30 08:33:31	Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xa73d6a…
08-23 06:00:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe75ca7…
08-23 06:00:18	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	96	23¢	$22	0xe15f9b…
08-22 00:08:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	400	39¢	$156	0xfc2dcc…
08-21 01:47:43	Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	No	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x5860f7…
08-20 23:14:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x0f477d…
08-20 22:10:36	Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xe87549…
08-20 13:25:55	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	90	74¢	$66	0xcfe390…
08-20 09:59:15	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x501eb5…
08-20 05:16:57	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xb80c9c…
08-19 16:00:10	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x329080…
08-19 15:05:30	Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x8d68f4…
08-19 12:38:13	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x404665…
08-19 11:51:18	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xa80d03…
08-19 08:48:09	Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xab7a7d…
08-19 08:39:52	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 31	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x591d0a…
08-19 07:16:33	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8c279a…
08-19 06:54:30	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7a824f…
08-19 06:42:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x18e692…
08-19 06:31:33	Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xb237d7…
08-14 10:53:34	Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x85e849…
08-12 19:05:39	Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xeb2692…
08-11 08:31:46	Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	No	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x057ce7…
08-09 11:52:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x6ced78…
08-09 11:46:31	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0xd7f493…
08-09 11:46:30	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x01428a…
08-08 15:15:48	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0xa87fd1…
08-02 09:07:57	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xddf612…
08-02 08:35:12	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x4a652a…
08-02 08:12:32	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x596e04…
08-02 07:46:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0x3de975…
08-01 13:41:17	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x0763d2…
08-01 08:46:33	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x4a6ebf…
08-01 08:43:05	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x929448…
08-01 08:41:30	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0c4658…
08-01 07:52:23	Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x3d34e7…
08-01 07:25:14	Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xfaec09…
08-01 07:25:14	Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x3ed3f5…
08-01 07:25:12	Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xdc23dc…
08-01 07:17:00	Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb3a249…
08-01 07:02:36	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x91c5b3…
08-01 07:02:30	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xda3f3d…
07-26 19:32:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0xdef6ca…
07-26 12:24:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x6e3e75…
07-26 11:15:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x992f51…
07-26 10:38:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x718e39…
07-26 10:22:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x97a039…
07-26 10:13:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x63b883…
07-25 16:25:48	QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x766f4f…
07-22 10:43:10	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0x7b5bde…
07-22 10:37:01	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xe60b44…
07-19 06:23:21	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0xb34cbe…
07-19 06:23:18	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	94	82¢	$77	0x15f7c8…
07-18 01:22:27	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0xda647f…
07-15 13:00:35	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x03ac53…
07-14 10:50:56	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x092a1e…
07-14 07:24:46	Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x28f54f…
07-14 00:50:34	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xf1e29e…
07-13 12:45:32	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xf037d3…
07-13 09:47:04	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x5d4946…
07-13 06:22:52	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x6b4377…