Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

169

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$229

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-03

last 11-05 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

87% 58% +$14

Politics

11% 50% -$7

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$2	94¢	$3	+$1	08-18 17:40
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	39¢	$2	+$1	11-05 06:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	22¢	$0	-$1	11-05 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 13:03
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 09:38
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:13
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 22:07
spx up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-06 06:57
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 01:40
will mu reach 1020 by august 10 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-14 11:37
spy up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-05 22:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-12 17:39
spy closes above 770 on august 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-11 05:01
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-13 19:17
will trump say through the roof during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421455	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 06:20
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-11 13:02
will xagusd dip to 64 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-17 15:47
will amzn reach 272 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-17 05:32
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-24 00:08
will warsh say 2008 or financial crisis during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-21 15:50
spx up or down on august 31 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	08-30 23:00
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-14 03:17
will open dip to 3 50 by august 3 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-03 22:19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-02 15:03
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 23:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-24 08:32
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-01 18:26
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-26 18:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-03 14:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-23 08:50
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-12 01:37
will spy reach 790 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 05:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-04 22:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:48:40	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x623838…
11-05 06:48:16	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdf32fb…
11-02 21:08:57	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3c79b7…
10-30 09:52:31	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4a6fb6…
10-29 13:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5c9528…
10-29 05:18:23	Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0a52af…
10-21 05:59:00	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2d808d…
10-15 19:10:55	Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x06cd00…
10-15 10:25:50	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6ef73e…
10-14 14:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xc45827…
10-14 06:01:56	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x747b0b…
10-12 22:00:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5402cf…
10-10 13:05:54	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc9ec1d…
10-10 04:01:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcd2a80…
10-09 19:17:25	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7881a0…
10-09 11:14:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb5c72c…
10-09 03:14:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x57fce6…
10-08 19:13:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9d3989…
10-08 10:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x60abe1…
10-08 02:40:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd550a2…
10-07 14:32:28	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd32714…
10-07 13:57:01	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa48c8b…
10-06 15:39:09	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x131662…
10-06 12:02:54	Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa5afb4…
10-06 11:28:04	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9e6c0b…
10-06 07:36:15	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x725e2f…
10-05 12:56:28	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x42fbfa…
10-04 19:49:02	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8b534d…
10-04 18:11:31	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x26dc61…
10-04 16:20:31	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0e2e57…
10-04 07:34:56	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x144b38…
10-04 07:34:55	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x392c6a…
10-04 07:03:19	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8ebcc7…
10-04 06:23:56	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xddb4e1…
10-04 06:23:53	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad4040…
10-04 05:40:49	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1cb2ba…
10-04 05:40:46	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x02a245…
10-04 05:05:55	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcf63c1…
10-03 14:47:05	CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x481e12…
10-03 12:50:27	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdc7332…
10-03 11:11:42	Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd6d50d…
10-03 04:11:54	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x22dc18…
10-03 03:43:51	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4a7b43…
10-03 03:07:59	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x19cfc9…
10-03 02:37:08	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x01c847…
10-02 20:41:09	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3af944…
10-02 18:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x880a24…
10-02 14:17:53	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbf5126…
10-02 11:30:39	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x25fdb8…
10-02 06:54:06	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe01fb7…
10-02 06:54:03	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4195ba…
10-02 05:10:48	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x702809…
10-02 04:22:47	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6e2c83…
10-01 21:45:05	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xef273c…
10-01 11:29:57	Will Wydad Sportif Témara win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa259d0…
10-01 09:54:59	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb26133…
10-01 09:25:00	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd26425…
10-01 05:40:29	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3576ec…
09-30 13:26:14	Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3a193d…
09-30 11:11:33	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x49bd4e…
09-30 07:29:32	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa12ae3…
09-30 07:09:12	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x585c56…
09-30 06:27:41	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd08161…
09-30 05:05:06	Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4b8074…
09-30 04:41:05	Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8bd43b…
09-30 03:02:27	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2ca728…
09-30 00:17:27	uslc rho iel 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x131fdd…
09-29 19:11:32	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6af849…
09-29 17:09:02	Seychelles vs. Sri Lanka: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe7f43d…
09-29 14:52:09	Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x204799…
09-29 04:38:35	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x36fa72…
09-28 04:58:27	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcc04b1…
09-28 04:35:48	San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x006ced…
09-27 13:57:17	Will Club Almagro win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x513425…
09-27 04:37:24	Will Montevideo Wanderers win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x53288a…
09-27 04:16:30	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xba95d8…
09-26 17:25:21	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7f1764…
09-26 14:09:05	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xddcd1b…
09-26 13:36:15	Birmingham City WFC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x07ddf3…
09-26 12:35:08	Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8d6e31…
09-26 11:33:48	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd48ea0…
09-26 05:18:48	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1e1f57…
09-20 02:46:34	Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x28bfc7…
09-17 11:07:33	Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe85a11…
09-15 12:34:00	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66a7c6…
09-15 12:33:54	RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x465e44…
09-15 08:27:00	Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd5fbc2…
09-15 05:33:21	Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe59e18…
09-15 04:38:49	Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x33530a…
09-14 23:40:33	RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x06672a…
09-14 21:50:34	IFK Varnamo vs. Osters IF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb37f43…
09-14 18:04:36	Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1d3466…
09-14 16:24:10	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d55cf…
09-14 10:02:43	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe4aab8…
09-14 06:22:39	Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)	Instituto AC Córdoba	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b3bf8…
09-14 04:43:15	Djurgardens IF vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4a3757…
09-14 04:43:12	Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ed22f…
09-14 02:50:28	Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5cd4b3…
09-14 00:53:24	CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52aa16…
09-13 21:44:30	CA Independiente vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5dc3eb…