Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$164

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 09-27 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

53% 62% +$28

Politics

44% 0% -$41

Sports

3% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+25	$20	86¢	$22	+$2	09-27 11:50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+31	$10	44¢	$14	+$4	07-10 03:29
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+19	$3	10¢	$2	-$1	09-01 15:30
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	+25	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	07-06 04:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+17	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	06-21 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$26	37	0	+37	Yes	+$10	07-05 05:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$1	07-05 05:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	09-27 11:50
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	1	$12	92	0	+92	Yes	-$12	07-10 03:53
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$11	18	0	+18	Yes	+$7	07-07 03:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	07-10 03:29
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 18	1	$9	32	0	+32	Yes	-$9	09-05 07:54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$7	19	0	+19	Yes	-$7	09-05 07:58
will donald trump dance on june 24 2026 20260602150034347	1	$7	14	0	+14	Yes	-$7	06-21 14:15
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	1	$6	13	0	+13	No	+$7	06-21 14:07
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	1	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	07-10 03:44
will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	1	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$8	06-21 14:21
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	09-01 15:30
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$3	48	0	+48	Yes	-$3	06-21 14:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	06-21 13:52
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	07-06 04:00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	07-11 08:49
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	07-08 04:00
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 19 2026 20260630182730897	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	07-08 04:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$1	40	0	+40	No	-$1	06-23 17:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	09-15 16:21
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	07-08 04:01
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	+$9	07-08 03:45
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	1	$1	11	0	+11	Yes	-$1	07-08 03:59
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	1	$1	14	0	+14	Yes	-$1	07-08 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 11:50:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x125c86…
09-15 16:21:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3b29e6…
09-05 07:58:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x7f78c0…
09-05 07:54:15	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 18	No	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0x71d420…
09-01 15:30:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9e8f0b…
07-11 08:49:32	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe43dbb…
07-10 03:53:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	No	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x5433ba…
07-10 03:44:10	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0xdee860…
07-10 03:29:01	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x076add…
07-08 04:01:11	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5827b2…
07-08 04:00:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 19 2026 20260630182730897	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4bd042…
07-08 04:00:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8c7178…
07-08 03:59:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe9a5e6…
07-08 03:56:29	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb70bf5…
07-08 03:45:20	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7707fe…
07-07 03:45:11	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x1f436f…
07-06 04:00:52	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf07f81…
07-05 05:35:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	37	72¢	$26	0xd9114a…
07-05 05:27:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3b1861…
06-23 17:35:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x48dd79…
06-21 14:56:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x5eb996…
06-21 14:21:40	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x285abf…
06-21 14:15:58	will donald trump dance on june 24 2026 20260602150034347	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xa32e6a…
06-21 14:07:29	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x3142e3…
06-21 13:52:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xd287fa…
06-21 13:48:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x8a2aa8…