Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$739

Open exposure

$290

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-27 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$1

Other

39% 100% +$9

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No		+291	$289	100¢	$290	+$1	06-24 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$1.2K	1,187	+1,187	open	—	06-19 20:47
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	1	$1.2K	1,186	+1,186	open	—	06-17 23:08
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$1.2K	1,175	+1,175	open	—	06-05 17:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,172	+1,172	open	—	06-02 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.2K	1,162	+1,162	open	—	06-01 19:28
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	1	$1.2K	1,161	+1,161	open	—	05-23 20:09
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.2K	1,157	+1,157	open	—	05-20 21:52
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$1.1K	1,140	+1,140	open	—	05-16 22:22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,138	+1,138	open	—	05-15 03:47
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1.1K	1,131	+1,131	No	+$1	05-06 22:15
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$1.1K	1,130	+1,130	Yes	+$9	05-02 05:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$1.1K	1,121	+1,121	open	—	04-21 14:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$1.1K	1,113	+1,113	open	—	04-17 15:54
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$1.1K	1,112	+1,112	open	—	04-15 06:39
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$1.1K	1,095	+1,095	open	—	04-13 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.1K	1,088	+1,088	open	—	04-09 04:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.1K	1,086	+1,086	open	—	04-07 09:11
trump out as president by march 31	1	$1.1K	1,081	+1,081	open	—	03-20 18:53
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.1K	1,076	+1,076	open	—	03-14 05:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1.1K	1,071	+1,071	open	—	03-12 17:35
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$1.1K	1,070	+1,070	open	—	03-08 07:17
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$1.1K	1,068	+1,068	open	—	03-05 10:25
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.1K	1,066	+1,066	open	—	02-02 05:38
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$1.0K	1,050	+1,050	open	—	01-29 22:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$900	902	+902	open	—	06-27 16:14
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	1	$898	900	+900	open	—	06-24 19:44
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	1	$289	291	+291	open	—	06-24 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 16:14:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	902	100¢	$900	0x48fa02…
06-24 19:46:11	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	291	99¢	$289	0x1266c4…
06-24 19:44:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0x601ebd…
06-19 20:47:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3d41f8…
06-19 20:30:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,098	0x6972ec…
06-17 23:08:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,186	100¢	$1,184	0xb2b67f…
06-05 17:35:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,175	100¢	$1,173	0x4b80e9…
06-02 19:23:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,172	99¢	$1,162	0x8cd42f…
06-01 19:28:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,162	100¢	$1,161	0xd5f83b…
05-23 20:09:27	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,161	100¢	$1,158	0x4457b9…
05-20 21:52:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	827	100¢	$823	0xb25faf…
05-20 21:51:13	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x975e98…
05-20 21:50:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x2e7419…
05-16 22:22:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,140	100¢	$1,138	0xa3dabc…
05-15 03:47:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	100¢	$404	0x7b24a8…
05-15 03:10:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6abfe9…
05-15 03:10:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	710	100¢	$709	0xdf9874…
05-06 22:15:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	1,131	100¢	$1,130	0x0bc6b0…
05-02 05:51:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,121	0x24725d…
04-21 14:19:12	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1,121	99¢	$1,113	0xe12f2f…
04-17 15:54:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,112	0x02e5dc…
04-15 06:39:30	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	912	98¢	$898	0xa7311b…
04-15 06:34:02	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xa9e9f1…
04-13 21:59:21	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	1,092	99¢	$1,084	0xb09067…
04-13 21:59:05	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x11f4f3…
04-09 04:38:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,088	100¢	$1,086	0xcec377…
04-07 09:11:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xdc5b35…
04-07 09:11:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	685	100¢	$682	0xde9fb5…
03-20 18:53:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,076	0x610ac6…
03-14 05:58:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,071	0xbd39c3…
03-12 17:35:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0xda2af2…
03-08 07:17:55	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x38c74e…
03-05 10:25:11	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	365	100¢	$364	0xa2eaa2…
03-05 10:24:57	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x32e26c…
03-05 10:09:51	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x7e25be…
03-05 10:05:51	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1bf5e7…
03-05 09:59:49	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9598e5…
02-02 05:38:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,066	98¢	$1,050	0xcde007…
01-29 22:20:18	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,046	0x20dc1b…