Realized P&L (30d)
+$36
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
99.4%
Resolved (30d)
53
Trades (30d)
193
193 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.23K
$3.23K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$530
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-11 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$4
Other
25% 93% +$30
Sports
10% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +179 $174 98¢ $175 +$1 11-09 15:43
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +118 $109 95¢ $112 +$3 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +56 $54 99¢ $55 +$2 11-04 01:22
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 $0 11-09 15:52
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? No +54 $20 52¢ $28 +$8 10-30 03:17
Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026? No +25 $23 97¢ $25 +$2 11-01 18:06
Will Geese win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +24 $24 98¢ $24 $0 10-30 07:32
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? No +27 $19 88¢ $24 +$4 10-30 05:34
Will Duke win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +18 $15 84¢ $15 +$0 11-03 02:47
Will Cuba take third place in Miss Universe 2026? No +14 $14 94¢ $14 $0 11-03 18:54
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +9 $8 83¢ $8 $0 11-04 00:00
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division? No +8 $7 76¢ $6 -$1 10-30 06:37
Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2026? No +5 $5 80¢ $4 $0 11-05 08:32
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +27 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 01:38