Exhausted-Transformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

157

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$583

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-20 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 34% -$8

Other

15% 10% -$12

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 23:30 UTC	3	$33	108	60	+48	Up	+$75	04-01 23:34
will usdai launch a token by march 31	6	$28	111	111	+0	No	-$2	04-01 03:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$22	27	27	-0	Yes	+$2	05-20 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC	2	$18	33	31	+2	Up	+$16	04-02 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	04-17 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$14	21	20	+1	No	-$1	04-07 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 20:30 UTC	3	$12	10	9	+1	Up	+$7	04-01 20:35
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-31 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 00:10 UTC	3	$10	27	13	+14	Up	+$0	04-02 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 02:20 UTC	3	$10	24	14	+10	Down	+$2	04-02 02:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	4	$9	37	8	+29	Up	-$1	04-02 13:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	-$2	04-07 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:40 UTC	3	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	04-01 19:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:15 UTC	3	$8	26	18	+8	Down	-$2	04-02 15:22
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-13 20:12
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	3	$7	59	59	+0	Yes	-$3	04-01 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 02:55 UTC	3	$7	10	9	+1	Down	+$3	04-02 03:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 04:20 UTC	3	$6	32	3	+29	Down	-$1	04-02 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 02:05 UTC	2	$6	10	9	+1	Down	+$3	04-02 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-02 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:00 UTC	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-02 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:00 UTC	3	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	04-02 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 21:50 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	04-01 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 04:40 UTC	1	$6	9	0	+9	Up	-$6	04-02 04:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC	4	$6	12	4	+8	Up	+$0	04-06 17:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 12:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:40 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 04:15 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 04:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 20:45 UTC	2	$5	4	3	+0	Up	+$2	04-01 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:55 UTC	2	$5	29	27	+2	Up	+$1	04-02 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 13:19:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	45¢	$12	0x85a973…
05-13 20:12:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xee0478…
05-05 12:36:38	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x1eeb9e…
05-05 12:30:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4a78f4…
04-17 18:09:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xa6ad3d…
04-17 14:41:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x8e18b7…
04-15 12:11:52	will wti dip to 90 by april 13 2026	No	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xb1f3cc…
04-15 01:16:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x891eb1…
04-08 19:30:19	wti up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xade54b…
04-08 15:27:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xfaf13d…
04-07 23:47:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x22e9c8…
04-07 23:01:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xbba5ce…
04-07 22:20:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc28ffd…
04-07 22:20:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x1dd0ff…
04-07 16:13:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xebd278…
04-07 16:12:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x8b57ce…
04-07 15:02:13	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x68a2a9…
04-07 15:01:21	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x08b273…
04-07 14:31:23	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x1b1ab2…
04-07 14:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x253074…
04-07 13:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x8e4140…
04-07 01:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb316ca…
04-06 23:48:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5acddb…
04-06 23:34:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf210c2…
04-06 23:27:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x175b84…
04-06 23:26:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x81da55…
04-06 23:24:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdff8e3…
04-06 23:12:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8b16de…
04-06 23:12:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0xcb53db…
04-06 23:09:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xac5fe3…
04-06 22:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe4dfc9…
04-06 22:21:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xb5afef…
04-06 22:16:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3fe4e9…
04-06 22:12:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x1d2b4c…
04-06 22:01:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x050839…
04-06 19:04:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x89f2be…
04-06 19:02:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9c0c08…
04-06 18:55:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x462679…
04-06 18:45:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5c3fa9…
04-06 18:36:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xac3844…
04-06 18:21:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x259873…
04-06 18:15:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x30e184…
04-06 18:11:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xceccaf…
04-06 18:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x6b5dbb…
04-06 18:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7813fe…
04-06 18:04:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x2133fd…
04-06 18:00:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x404a64…
04-06 17:52:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x984d47…
04-06 17:50:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x5ea6ca…
04-06 17:50:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x330fd8…
04-06 17:46:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfe34ce…
04-06 17:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x91fceb…
04-06 17:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1a5fc5…
04-02 17:51:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb259c3…
04-02 17:48:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6ab9f0…
04-02 17:46:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7823ae…
04-02 17:35:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb9a484…
04-02 17:27:29	will bitcoin reach 69k on april 2	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x48ac93…
04-02 17:20:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7acad8…
04-02 17:10:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	13¢	$1	0x51cac3…
04-02 17:03:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x6d5cb0…
04-02 16:58:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbfd31b…
04-02 16:46:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7983b7…
04-02 15:52:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-02 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x8dd302…
04-02 15:51:33	will bitcoin reach 68k on april 2	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x85d20e…
04-02 15:38:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x569e59…
04-02 15:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xde7cd1…
04-02 15:22:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x890886…
04-02 15:21:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x62b915…
04-02 15:20:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x7d8818…
04-02 15:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x8a2a62…
04-02 15:04:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x67ecbe…
04-02 15:03:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb4c5cc…
04-02 14:56:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x57174c…
04-02 14:47:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x776aa6…
04-02 14:46:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x273b0a…
04-02 14:39:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x759ac4…
04-02 14:35:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3d477a…
04-02 14:12:23	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xc63c1e…
04-02 14:12:13	will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x05cc71…
04-02 14:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x128747…
04-02 13:47:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x1e77e2…
04-02 13:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x32660c…
04-02 13:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x108fd8…
04-02 13:33:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1fdc0c…
04-02 13:32:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4c2c85…
04-02 13:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x19fa41…
04-02 13:27:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xde5365…
04-02 13:25:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x566695…
04-02 13:23:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf42433…
04-02 13:23:43	will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 2	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0xbe6514…
04-02 13:19:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x13d44f…
04-02 13:07:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x27a984…
04-02 13:06:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x8c31fe…
04-02 13:05:29	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x941961…
04-02 13:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x58ed64…
04-02 13:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x68b91b…
04-02 12:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x404f53…
04-02 12:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4b86dc…
04-02 12:55:37	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4a5c6f…