Ancient-Storytelling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

3,415

Trades

29,585

lifetime

Volume

$182.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 09-14 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 39% +$3,026

Sports

1% 25% -$359

Other

0% 19% -$187

Politics

0% 36% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+125	$55	16¢	$21	-$34	05-14 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	28	$2.9K	1,547	2,719	-1,172	Up	+$1,080	05-12 01:26
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$109	06-04 04:07
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 3am et	63	$972	713	739	-27	Down	+$295	04-12 08:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	5	$931	1,104	454	+650	Yes	-$24	06-02 13:24
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 3	4	$653	337	337	+0	No	+$20	06-04 04:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:00 UTC	39	$647	308	479	-171	Down	+$130	04-10 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	18	$533	539	264	+275	Up	-$11	05-09 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:35 UTC	13	$500	774	0	+774	Up	+$6	06-06 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	38	$500	1,283	0	+1,283	Up	-$4	06-06 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	21	$499	509	0	+509	Down	+$10	05-25 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:20 UTC	21	$499	726	0	+726	Down	+$5	04-10 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:00 UTC	7	$499	505	0	+505	Up	+$7	04-23 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:05 UTC	18	$499	702	0	+702	Down	+$3	04-20 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	9	$498	802	0	+802	Down	+$4	05-23 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	12	$493	552	0	+552	Up	+$8	05-17 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:30 UTC	4	$493	506	0	+506	Up	+$12	04-16 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:10 UTC	4	$492	519	427	+93	Up	+$384	04-19 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	11	$492	596	0	+596	Down	+$4	04-27 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 07:10 UTC	48	$482	3,690	0	+3,690	Up	-$26	04-15 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	26	$481	531	268	+263	Up	+$43	05-16 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	100	$478	1,719	0	+1,719	Down	-$8	05-18 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	47	$477	1,999	0	+1,999	Up	-$1	06-02 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 06:30 UTC	37	$476	326	329	-3	Down	+$57	04-11 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	50	$475	1,932	0	+1,932	Up	-$9	05-19 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$474	479	0	+479	Up	+$5	06-03 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:15 UTC	14	$465	470	0	+470	Up	+$5	06-07 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:15 UTC	8	$454	656	0	+656	Up	+$3	04-20 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	23	$452	922	0	+922	Down	+$12	05-15 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:50 UTC	6	$449	454	0	+454	Down	+$5	04-18 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:15 UTC	42	$442	1,015	0	+1,015	Down	+$21	04-11 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 00:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x19ddd1…
09-14 00:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x06d483…
09-14 00:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xeb513f…
09-13 23:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x173cec…
09-13 23:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc14837…
09-13 23:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1ded3d…
09-13 23:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x383e38…
09-08 21:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x0fec6c…
09-06 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xa33d96…
09-06 10:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x40416d…
09-06 10:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x40732e…
09-06 10:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x350520…
09-06 10:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xcbd7a6…
09-06 10:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xa9da4c…
09-06 10:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x88a5f6…
09-06 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x96e0dd…
09-06 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x48ae20…
09-06 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc192e1…
09-06 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x7cf091…
09-06 10:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x84124e…
09-06 10:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0x5c8665…
09-06 10:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x60068c…
09-06 10:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2d46c7…
09-06 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xb4d629…
09-06 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x01fc5b…
09-06 10:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	95	8¢	$7	0x8a26c0…
09-06 10:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x75806e…
09-06 10:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xdc6fc4…
09-06 10:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4813d0…
09-06 10:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe9c12a…
09-06 10:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xb8be97…
09-06 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xce2712…
09-06 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x9e60e6…
09-06 10:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x78cc9b…
09-06 10:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x606b9b…
08-24 05:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd0be70…
08-22 00:29:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x337e14…
08-21 01:57:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5ed059…
08-21 01:57:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd6e3f5…
08-21 01:51:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x44215b…
08-21 01:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xda3721…
08-21 01:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x4040ca…
08-21 01:49:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x4c698b…
08-21 01:20:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x11a148…
08-21 01:20:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x9e10ee…
08-13 06:24:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcd2104…
08-13 06:23:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa8a258…
08-12 12:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x59857b…
08-12 11:09:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xeb5602…
08-12 11:09:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3bb016…
08-12 11:09:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x073e0f…
08-12 11:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xa7e9a4…
08-12 11:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x530370…
08-12 11:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb718e4…
08-12 11:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x00153f…
08-12 11:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x3c2594…
08-11 12:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xfa5cf8…
08-11 12:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x524e44…
08-11 12:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc25b02…
08-11 12:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x2e00a0…
08-11 12:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xc39225…
08-11 12:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7b7ff1…
08-11 12:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9a65ac…
08-11 12:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x2ce504…
08-11 12:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd3bb51…
08-11 12:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x545dc8…
08-11 12:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x063a7b…
08-11 12:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x57afe2…
08-11 12:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x5f5eff…
08-11 12:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x98e7bf…
08-11 12:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x8f3335…
08-11 12:17:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xc49377…
08-11 12:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xe35a5b…
08-11 12:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x82d53b…
08-11 12:13:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x7dd6fa…
08-11 12:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xad4628…
08-11 04:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe46849…
08-11 04:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xdd1a34…
08-11 04:28:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x902859…
08-11 04:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0f080a…
08-11 04:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0x40b250…
07-10 09:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x576d78…
07-10 09:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2c5ccc…
07-10 09:22:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x314403…
07-06 04:28:47	Will Rui Hachimura play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6b507…
07-06 00:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1d2260…
07-05 10:19:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8b7fd4…
07-05 10:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x24c285…
07-05 10:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3bbdd6…
07-05 08:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xbd006e…
07-05 06:30:14	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6f6920…
07-05 05:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xb33948…
07-04 14:26:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbb9fe1…
07-04 13:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	367	8¢	$30	0xf6ff2f…
07-04 13:58:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4f8061…
07-04 12:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x287cf2…
07-04 12:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1df1aa…
07-04 12:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x318ac2…
07-04 12:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x47ae43…
07-04 11:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x8e0650…