Apprehensive-Oldie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

180

Trades

1,377

lifetime

Volume

$4.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-04 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 84% +$26

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes		+38	$5	6¢	$2	$-2	06-01 07:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+2	$1	38¢	$1	$-0	06-01 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770376500	4	$51	65	0	+65	open	—	02-06 11:28
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$45	47	0	+47	open	—	05-28 10:39
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	7	$41	47	0	+47	Up	$-19	05-08 16:34
btc updown 5m 1775979600	8	$41	60	0	+60	open	—	04-12 07:44
btc updown 5m 1775979900	5	$40	60	0	+60	open	—	04-12 07:49
btc updown 5m 1776059100	4	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	04-13 05:48
btc updown 5m 1776013200	7	$35	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 17:03
btc updown 5m 1775631300	4	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	04-08 06:59
btc updown 5m 1775714100	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-09 05:59
btc updown 5m 1775802000	3	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	04-10 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	04-30 06:59
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-28 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776445500	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-17 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 06:54
btc updown 15m 1770552000	4	$29	62	0	+62	open	—	02-08 12:04
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$26	32	0	+32	Up	+$6	05-08 06:34
btc updown 5m 1774779900	6	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	03-29 10:29
btc updown 5m 1775560500	2	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	04-07 11:19
btc updown 5m 1776448500	5	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	05-01 04:54
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	05-21 07:19
btc updown 15m 1770553800	4	$25	38	10	+28	open	—	02-08 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$24	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 06:39
bitcoin up or down february 4 7pm et	3	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	02-05 01:37
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$22	68	0	+68	open	—	02-08 17:42
btc updown 5m 1775980800	3	$21	1,017	0	+1,017	open	—	04-12 08:05
btc updown 5m 1775980200	4	$21	32	0	+32	open	—	04-12 07:53
btc updown 5m 1776446100	5	$21	32	0	+32	open	—	04-17 17:18
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	04-30 06:39
bitcoin up or down february 4 11pm et	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-05 05:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 08:21:54	eth updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0ec9be…
06-04 08:21:31	xrp updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0dc921…
06-04 08:21:21	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdb5bb3…
06-04 08:21:06	doge updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4e0ee6…
06-04 08:20:52	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdbea1a…
06-04 07:07:25	doge updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x265858…
06-04 07:07:15	sol updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x931be0…
06-04 07:07:09	sol updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x08b34e…
06-04 07:07:01	eth updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd3e8b0…
06-04 07:06:37	btc updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x02a971…
06-04 07:06:22	doge updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x83d60d…
06-04 07:06:12	xrp updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x93bbd7…
06-04 07:06:01	sol updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc077ac…
06-04 07:05:52	eth updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeb76d2…
06-04 07:05:39	btc updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x86b104…
06-04 06:57:15	doge updown 5m 1780556100	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfcbf18…
06-04 06:56:54	sol updown 5m 1780556100	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x880e39…
06-04 06:56:45	eth updown 5m 1780556100	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x381d64…
06-04 06:56:42	btc updown 5m 1780556100	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb783de…
06-03 10:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3265c3…
06-03 10:49:19	doge updown 5m 1780483500	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf443c9…
06-03 10:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa3fd16…
06-03 10:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x95ff1a…
06-03 10:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe06f5f…
06-03 09:50:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x67f5ad…
06-03 09:50:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45ccb9…
06-03 09:50:26	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x36e97d…
06-03 09:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7a9710…
06-03 09:50:14	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x866dbe…
06-03 09:48:57	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x64f0b0…
06-03 09:35:53	doge updown 5m 1780479300	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8a718a…
06-03 09:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb28099…
06-03 09:35:39	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xee7a55…
06-03 09:35:34	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5064a2…
06-03 09:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3872dc…
06-02 05:43:42	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x8eb362…
06-02 05:43:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf0e073…
06-02 05:43:21	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd4f2f7…
06-02 05:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5a7576…
06-02 05:25:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd6581e…
06-02 05:25:44	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb0fc5c…
06-02 05:25:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf2983e…
06-02 05:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe4c54c…
06-02 05:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x002a52…
06-01 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x767d14…
06-01 09:45:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd650c1…
06-01 09:45:49	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x67b435…
06-01 09:45:44	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf867c7…
06-01 09:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xef2d2b…
06-01 07:26:16	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3f7c85…
06-01 07:25:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x891e8b…
06-01 06:16:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x61dec8…
06-01 06:16:31	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5489ab…
06-01 06:16:24	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x892619…
06-01 06:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x87a716…
06-01 06:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe797eb…
06-01 06:06:31	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d7992…
06-01 06:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbc72cc…
06-01 06:06:07	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6f30ee…
06-01 06:06:00	doge updown 5m 1780293900	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb23af0…
06-01 06:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd835eb…
05-30 03:07:21	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6cb767…
05-30 03:07:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0636d1…
05-30 03:06:33	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x091f4e…
05-30 03:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3b95c4…
05-30 03:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4df152…
05-29 11:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2e0b3b…
05-29 10:52:15	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x66caad…
05-29 10:52:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0ba699…
05-29 10:51:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0f83c6…
05-29 10:51:55	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbbb86f…
05-29 10:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x93084d…
05-29 09:49:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xaa65b2…
05-29 09:49:01	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf011cc…
05-29 09:16:00	doge updown 5m 1780046100	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6538fc…
05-29 09:15:56	xrp updown 5m 1780046100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6adf67…
05-29 09:15:51	sol updown 5m 1780046100	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc04a6f…
05-29 09:15:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x30adf6…
05-29 09:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33c0b1…
05-29 09:01:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3dc1e5…
05-29 09:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6913bb…
05-29 08:08:23	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb3b0d3…
05-29 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x57c411…
05-29 08:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4433e5…
05-29 08:07:13	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7cc2a8…
05-29 08:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc0bf5a…
05-29 08:06:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x332097…
05-29 08:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xde012f…
05-28 10:39:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfbaae2…
05-28 10:39:17	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xea9b7a…
05-28 10:38:54	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xebaa66…
05-28 10:38:35	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4cc017…
05-28 10:38:26	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x32ccfa…
05-28 10:38:19	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xca97aa…
05-28 10:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x566737…
05-28 10:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe324f2…
05-28 10:25:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20a490…
05-28 10:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbeb265…
05-28 06:41:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d2ed8…
05-28 06:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xacd922…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	629	$557	2,052	06-02 05:28
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	576	$129.9K	42,759	06-04 08:24
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	565	$241.7K	16,708	06-02 05:42
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	547	$66.4K	4,461	06-04 08:24
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	522	$33.0K	4,480	06-04 08:25
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	500	$233.5K	49,098	06-04 08:25
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	497	$56.6K	8,143	06-04 07:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	467	$276.4K	9,152	06-04 08:26