Apprehensive-Oldie — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,827 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.60K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-21 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 73% +$11

Other

2% 50% +$0

Politics

1% 67% +$22

Sports

0% 75% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:00 UTC	2	$110	117	0	+117	Down	+$7	06-12 05:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 11:15 UTC	4	$51	65	0	+65	Up	+$0	02-06 11:28
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$45	47	0	+47	Up	+$2	05-28 10:39
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	7	$41	47	0	+47	Up	-$19	05-08 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:40 UTC	8	$41	60	0	+60	Up	+$19	04-12 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:45 UTC	5	$40	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	04-12 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:45 UTC	4	$38	39	0	+39	Up	+$1	04-13 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:00 UTC	7	$35	50	0	+50	Up	+$15	04-12 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:55 UTC	4	$35	36	0	+36	Down	+$1	04-08 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:20 UTC	4	$31	39	0	+39	Up	-$31	07-08 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:55 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	04-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$30	67	0	+67	Down	-$30	07-15 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:20 UTC	3	$30	51	0	+51	Down	+$21	04-10 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$30	66	0	+66	Down	+$8	04-30 06:59
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	04-28 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:05 UTC	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	04-17 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	04-30 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:00 UTC	4	$29	62	0	+62	Down	-$16	02-08 12:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:20 UTC	3	$26	31	0	+31	Up	-$26	07-08 06:23
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$26	32	0	+32	Up	+$6	05-08 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:25 UTC	6	$25	45	0	+45	Up	+$20	03-29 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 11:15 UTC	2	$25	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	04-07 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$25	31	0	+31	Up	+$6	07-16 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:55 UTC	5	$25	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	04-17 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$25	34	0	+34	Down	-$25	05-01 04:54
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$25	31	0	+31	Down	+$6	05-21 07:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:30 UTC	4	$25	38	10	+28	Down	-$15	02-08 12:38
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:20 UTC	2	$24	50	0	+50	Down	-$24	07-14 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$24	29	0	+29	Down	+$5	04-30 06:39
bitcoin up or down february 4 7pm et	3	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	02-05 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 04:32:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x876db3…
09-21 04:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c09a6…
09-17 07:59:24	Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xf83032…
09-17 07:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf8997f…
09-17 07:58:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9756a8…
09-17 07:57:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf6a20a…
09-16 10:53:09	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3e0c26…
09-16 10:52:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0e42df…
09-16 10:52:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbd80ce…
09-16 10:39:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfcb0c3…
09-16 10:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7fb938…
09-16 10:06:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf8f70…
09-16 10:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x60b369…
09-14 09:08:24	XRP Up or Down - September 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x81d8fd…
09-14 09:08:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcd7a47…
09-14 09:08:06	Solana Up or Down - September 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x35f1e9…
09-14 09:07:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x786ae5…
09-14 09:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x387d7f…
09-14 08:58:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x91fb5a…
09-14 08:43:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x607e2c…
09-14 08:43:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x675bb8…
09-14 06:37:46	XRP Up or Down - September 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x297469…
09-14 06:37:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x50c4a1…
09-14 06:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x773b71…
09-14 06:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf87120…
09-14 06:23:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x589fcd…
09-14 06:03:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbc3941…
09-14 06:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7be1ee…
09-14 06:02:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x67d0e4…
09-14 06:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x782c52…
09-10 08:37:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8ad9b6…
09-10 08:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xad0fe0…
09-10 08:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaf7271…
09-10 06:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf62f77…
09-10 06:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xddd6f9…
09-09 10:48:37	XRP Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x364d93…
09-09 10:48:04	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe35d0d…
09-09 10:42:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9fd17e…
09-09 09:48:24	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x76625c…
09-09 09:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7261e2…
09-09 07:02:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xecb66e…
09-09 07:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa8de11…
09-09 06:52:51	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe30201…
09-09 06:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdcb44d…
09-08 09:42:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x66d31b…
09-08 09:41:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9ab891…
09-08 09:41:51	XRP Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x434ed7…
09-08 09:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5584ad…
09-08 08:24:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x330256…
09-08 08:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xba734c…
09-08 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f3f61…
09-07 07:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe86f0b…
09-07 07:56:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x418753…
09-07 07:56:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb168da…
09-07 07:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xced64d…
09-07 06:48:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0cd553…
09-07 06:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x231479…
09-07 06:47:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc8cec9…
09-07 06:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8e068f…
09-04 08:09:34	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x69356a…
09-04 08:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb55070…
09-04 08:07:30	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdf98a7…
09-04 08:07:25	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee365c…
09-03 08:07:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xad3b37…
09-03 08:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d0ed7…
09-03 08:02:25	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6c36b7…
09-03 08:02:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xed194c…
09-03 08:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x20bd96…
09-03 08:01:58	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeaea09…
09-03 07:31:51	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5f9472…
09-03 07:30:45	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xed6bbc…
09-03 07:30:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfe4c4a…
09-03 07:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8e844e…
09-02 10:46:45	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x88a58a…
09-02 10:46:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8266aa…
09-02 10:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xded847…
09-02 09:31:30	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x390dec…
09-02 09:31:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7f6092…
09-02 09:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x08a56f…
09-01 07:52:48	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x24de93…
09-01 07:51:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3e230b…
09-01 07:51:40	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2da8b0…
09-01 07:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ccc06…
09-01 07:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb66f4d…
09-01 07:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8b6411…
09-01 07:48:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7900d7…
09-01 07:48:42	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe33371…
08-31 11:11:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdc0751…
08-31 11:10:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6ca174…
08-31 11:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x42a20a…
08-28 09:58:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe1fa70…
08-28 09:57:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa94cad…
08-28 09:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc65e41…
08-28 09:41:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcec477…
08-28 09:41:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xff38dd…
08-28 09:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc73fe1…
08-27 07:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe0ef2c…
08-27 07:18:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x221f56…
08-27 07:18:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xde0fc1…
08-27 07:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x145221…