Grown-Congressman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$545

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-14 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$51

Crypto

26% — —

Other

25% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump praise allah again by april 15	2	$76	71	71	+0	open	—	04-11 14:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$60	56	56	+0	Yes	+$51	05-09 05:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$41	462	445	+17	open	—	04-27 03:54
btc updown 5m 1772172900	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	02-27 06:19
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$22	501	135	+366	open	—	03-07 10:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	3	$20	312	0	+312	open	—	05-14 00:59
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	3	$17	67	31	+36	open	—	03-06 12:19
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$16	403	403	+0	open	—	04-25 08:27
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	03-06 11:58
btc updown 5m 1772278200	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	02-28 11:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?	2	$12	62	60	+2	open	—	04-25 10:33
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	3	$12	543	0	+543	open	—	05-14 09:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	2	$11	406	377	+29	open	—	04-25 10:33
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$10	28	28	+0	open	—	03-03 15:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	1	$10	317	0	+317	open	—	04-03 13:55
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	2	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	05-14 09:26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$10	556	516	+40	open	—	04-23 02:19
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$9	201	201	+0	open	—	04-25 08:27
btc updown 5m 1772327100	3	$8	125	0	+125	open	—	03-01 01:09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	3	$7	125	125	+0	No	$-3	04-22 15:11
btc updown 5m 1772347500	1	$7	41	0	+41	open	—	03-01 06:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$6	198	184	+14	open	—	04-25 10:33
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	2	$6	83	83	+0	open	—	04-15 02:14
btc updown 5m 1772265300	2	$6	32	0	+32	open	—	02-28 07:58
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$6	83	83	+0	open	—	04-29 05:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$6	139	139	+0	open	—	04-29 12:35
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$6	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 05:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-06 15:35
will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 12:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	1	$5	209	0	+209	open	—	03-05 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 09:26:28	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x20cd6c…
05-14 09:24:46	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x9efd64…
05-14 01:06:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x87c83a…
05-14 01:06:00	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xd6cd93…
05-14 00:59:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	187	5¢	$10	0xd2bd40…
05-09 05:04:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x177c41…
05-06 15:35:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd50794…
05-05 12:53:06	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa02e2f…
05-04 13:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	266	0¢	$0	0xed18bd…
05-04 13:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	266	0¢	$1	0x7b746b…
05-03 06:38:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc6a14c…
05-01 11:45:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x80660c…
05-01 03:24:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x288c3a…
04-30 12:41:42	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc0c441…
04-30 12:41:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	228	0¢	$1	0xc54b51…
04-30 12:35:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x40d12f…
04-29 12:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd7e4f3…
04-29 12:35:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0x9d266d…
04-29 12:34:24	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x971bdb…
04-29 12:33:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xd1388e…
04-29 12:16:16	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1710b1…
04-29 05:23:48	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x0f33ca…
04-29 05:23:38	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6077be…
04-29 05:21:42	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x25e4a2…
04-27 03:54:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	445	1¢	$6	0x64b7d9…
04-25 10:33:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	Yes	SELL	377	0¢	$1	0x12ebb9…
04-25 10:33:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$1	0x0739b9…
04-25 10:33:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xc332b6…
04-25 08:27:18	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$4	0x6a3a23…
04-25 08:27:08	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	403	2¢	$8	0x073488…
04-24 13:50:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2d8a75…
04-23 02:19:36	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	516	1¢	$5	0x9aebb6…
04-22 15:11:34	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x51e884…
04-22 15:11:26	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xb0a5f1…
04-22 01:01:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$5	0x6a44f7…
04-22 00:59:26	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x61c9bd…
04-21 14:57:58	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$5	0x1e06d5…
04-18 13:08:40	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2b79a3…
04-18 12:56:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xc60804…
04-18 12:56:30	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5a096b…
04-18 12:23:46	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x46b7e2…
04-18 12:23:40	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xbfb548…
04-18 12:23:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7224f6…
04-18 00:49:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x718383…
04-15 02:14:34	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xd8617a…
04-12 02:02:37	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x877965…
04-11 14:48:33	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x2ba08f…
04-09 13:02:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3e2d88…
04-09 12:55:27	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbffbc3…
04-09 04:03:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd72ec5…
04-08 03:37:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x244be7…
04-07 01:07:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	198	3¢	$5	0xbe93b3…
04-07 01:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdb04b9…
04-07 01:05:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	Yes	BUY	406	2¢	$10	0xab69a5…
04-06 14:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x46d815…
04-06 12:51:43	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa3a70e…
04-03 13:58:03	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x664b59…
04-03 13:55:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	317	3¢	$10	0x0f5b14…
03-08 15:47:11	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	454	1¢	$4	0x0f8249…
03-07 10:01:33	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0x73f4f9…
03-06 12:19:07	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbab37a…
03-06 11:58:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x4f2bb9…
03-05 00:45:35	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	226	2¢	$5	0xd06dfe…
03-05 00:41:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xc6b46c…
03-05 00:38:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0xeabcd6…
03-05 00:38:01	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	31	21¢	$7	0xeedbc6…
03-04 13:07:41	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x1e7da5…
03-04 12:57:35	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd3ecea…
03-04 12:53:03	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x95351d…
03-04 12:03:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0532c6…
03-03 15:02:37	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	135	6¢	$9	0x36f18e…
03-03 15:02:19	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$5	0x6c1136…
03-02 04:25:59	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x100261…
03-02 04:25:43	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x522b4a…
03-01 06:46:45	btc updown 5m 1772347500	Up	BUY	41	16¢	$7	0x5f06eb…
03-01 06:40:25	btc updown 15m 1772346600	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xf9e414…
03-01 01:12:57	btc updown 5m 1772327400	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaff8c7…
03-01 01:09:27	btc updown 5m 1772327100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9bffb0…
03-01 01:09:21	btc updown 5m 1772327100	Up	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0xfe8056…
03-01 01:09:05	btc updown 5m 1772327100	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xead747…
03-01 01:04:13	btc updown 5m 1772326800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11bb6d…
02-28 11:44:49	btc updown 5m 1772278800	Up	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x531831…
02-28 11:34:21	btc updown 5m 1772278200	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xace943…
02-28 11:30:13	btc updown 5m 1772278200	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4c773a…
02-28 11:28:55	btc updown 5m 1772277900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xedb950…
02-28 11:19:45	btc updown 5m 1772277300	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x25b167…
02-28 11:04:03	btc updown 5m 1772276400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x420c2f…
02-28 08:34:31	btc updown 5m 1772267400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0edeb…
02-28 08:29:31	btc updown 5m 1772267100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc98a2f…
02-28 08:28:49	btc updown 5m 1772267100	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x72cc17…
02-28 08:18:53	btc updown 5m 1772266500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x06f9d5…
02-28 08:17:59	btc updown 5m 1772266500	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x755294…
02-28 07:58:51	btc updown 5m 1772265300	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x8af2f0…
02-28 07:56:43	btc updown 5m 1772265300	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe4221d…
02-28 07:14:35	will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x18dd14…
02-28 07:04:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x62a205…
02-28 06:44:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x30d5e7…
02-27 06:19:38	btc updown 5m 1772172900	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x0665e2…
02-27 06:16:06	btc updown 5m 1772172900	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xde5b75…
02-27 05:54:46	btc updown 5m 1772171400	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb4b414…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	39	$8.68M	13,823	06-01 06:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	39	$467.9K	7,941	05-30 10:34
Outstanding-Change 0xc03f…249d	39	$131.4K	2,100	05-22 05:37
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	38	$63.1K	623	05-29 21:26
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	35	$183.4K	11,481	05-25 23:51
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	35	$177.5K	13,083	05-02 16:55
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	34	$14.9K	5,960	04-26 14:40
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	31	$28.4K	5,537	05-06 11:45