Last-Variety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 05:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:55
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:10
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc7e939…
10-31 15:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95b19f…
10-30 14:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebdb40…
10-29 17:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9526c0…
10-29 09:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x605a0d…
10-28 07:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6bc7a9…
10-27 09:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x571353…
10-26 09:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1f800d…
10-24 11:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75e305…
10-22 10:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe29c0c…
10-20 07:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5bf76…
10-19 09:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f46bb…
10-18 10:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4422b8…
10-17 15:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf250fa…
10-16 10:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51aa46…
10-15 09:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcaab4…
10-14 09:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf45f9…
10-13 09:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5280dd…
10-12 09:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb56bf3…
10-11 09:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dea2f…
10-08 12:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94855c…
10-07 15:28:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9adc8c…
10-06 15:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb43eaa…
10-05 06:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e2c84…
10-03 08:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63c1a8…
10-02 13:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6770f7…
10-01 08:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x663aca…
09-30 02:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3ca05…
09-28 09:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20439a…
09-27 08:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2228d5…
09-25 16:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0c467…
09-24 08:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x436a84…
09-23 08:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3961e9…
09-22 08:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x582073…
09-21 09:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02b120…
09-20 05:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e2b58…
09-19 08:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a2d08…
09-18 07:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7894a0…
09-17 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d1766…
09-16 08:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcd983…
09-15 10:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b5229…
09-14 09:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1bc26…
09-13 02:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7791c0…
09-11 07:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84f3a…
09-10 08:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3ac72…
09-09 12:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb5fb4e…
09-08 15:47:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93d15…
09-08 06:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42de36…
09-07 08:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee71ac…
09-06 16:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a8736…
09-06 10:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93ddb6…
09-05 01:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2a4ab…
09-03 17:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6edaac…
09-02 07:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf08deb…
08-30 09:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6b484…
08-29 09:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f8c45…
08-28 08:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fd530…
08-27 09:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7fa19…
08-26 08:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc8986…
08-25 09:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfa765…
08-24 13:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7edfea…
08-23 15:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa713f9…
08-22 09:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2456d…
08-21 07:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17cc7b…
08-20 09:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc0b6b…
08-18 08:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0c2d5…
08-17 08:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa32528…
08-16 14:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf676c7…
08-15 10:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x967d7b…
08-14 06:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49abee…
08-13 08:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c397c…
08-12 08:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbce0fd…
08-11 07:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcae4fe…
08-10 08:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f2d01…
08-09 06:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34dc20…
08-08 07:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf6375…
08-07 07:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd502db…
08-06 06:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cdf2b…
08-05 08:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60e938…
08-04 08:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0f123…
08-03 07:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe57f3b…
08-02 06:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61f921…
08-01 07:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50815c…
07-31 13:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x709ec4…
07-30 07:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd71e9e…
07-29 07:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x794151…
07-28 07:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b97d3…
07-27 08:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d2e50…
07-26 07:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79fde…
07-25 08:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d7395…
07-24 13:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc0673…
07-23 08:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8ef16…
07-22 02:08:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc8067…
07-21 09:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x847a41…
07-21 00:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29e227…
07-20 08:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x026a1f…
07-18 23:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7aaf1…
07-18 00:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1594a8…
07-17 07:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4e0de…
07-15 22:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a26fa…