All-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

26 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$131

$131 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-06 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up		+5	$5	64¢	$3	$-2	05-06 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6015d2…
05-06 06:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa660f4…
05-06 06:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb8477…
05-06 06:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b446e…
05-06 05:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xea13ef…
05-06 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8de622…
05-06 05:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe75a17…
05-06 04:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdccf8…
05-06 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53dae9…
05-06 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa16d2b…
05-06 03:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3047fa…
05-06 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48bdb5…
05-06 02:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7bfe1f…
05-06 01:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xcde2e2…
05-06 00:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x718315…
05-06 00:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b2680…
05-06 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa39e2e…
05-05 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x21b4b1…
05-05 21:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda1cba…
05-05 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86d4b0…
05-05 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3c2b9…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9fdcb7…
05-04 22:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x700488…
05-04 21:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7994c…
05-04 21:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe48137…
05-04 20:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x573a46…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$6.55K	195	05-06 06:50
Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4	21	$862	79	05-06 06:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$18.5K	67	05-06 06:45
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	20	$1.12K	215	05-06 06:45
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	18	$1.07K	32	05-06 06:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$815	75	05-06 06:35
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$639	52	05-06 06:49
Staid-Hope 0x23ca…63e7	18	$517	29	05-06 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 00:34