Good-Natured-Aftershave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$446

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

13,291

Trades

49,325

lifetime

Volume

$536.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$225

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 294 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 87% +$1,410

Other

5% 97% -$964

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	No	+220	$200	98¢	$215	+$15	10-15 15:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 13?	Yes	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-13 06:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 13?	Yes	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	11-13 09:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 09:30 UTC	3	$4.9K	4,923	0	+4,923	Up	+$6	01-31 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:15 UTC	5	$4.9K	5,022	0	+5,022	Down	+$108	02-01 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 04:45 UTC	4	$4.9K	5,022	0	+5,022	Down	+$112	02-02 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:30 UTC	4	$4.9K	5,022	0	+5,022	Up	+$141	02-02 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:00 UTC	2	$4.0K	4,076	0	+4,076	Up	+$42	01-31 05:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:00 UTC	3	$4.0K	4,022	0	+4,022	Down	+$49	02-01 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:45 UTC	3	$4.0K	4,022	0	+4,022	Up	+$60	02-01 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:45 UTC	6	$3.7K	5,022	0	+5,022	Up	-$1,151	02-02 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:30 UTC	7	$3.2K	3,239	0	+3,239	Down	+$33	01-31 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 07:00 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,022	0	+3,022	Down	+$34	02-01 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:30 UTC	12	$3.0K	3,011	0	+3,011	Up	+$31	02-01 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:00 UTC	32	$3.0K	3,011	0	+3,011	Down	+$31	01-31 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 16:00 UTC	6	$3.0K	3,011	0	+3,011	Down	+$50	01-31 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 14:45 UTC	4	$2.9K	3,022	0	+3,022	Up	+$104	02-01 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 14:30 UTC	1	$2.8K	2,810	0	+2,810	Up	+$28	01-14 14:43
highest temperature in london on january 19 10c	33	$2.2K	1,595	1,595	+0	No	-$874	01-19 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 04:15 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,022	0	+2,022	Up	+$22	02-02 04:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:15 UTC	9	$1.9K	1,910	0	+1,910	Down	+$25	01-31 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:00 UTC	2	$1.8K	2,022	0	+2,022	Down	+$209	02-01 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 14:45 UTC	11	$1.4K	1,360	1,000	+360	Up	+$54	01-14 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:15 UTC	31	$1.2K	1,177	0	+1,177	Down	+$14	02-02 03:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 16:15 UTC	5	$992	1,011	0	+1,011	Up	+$19	01-31 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:15 UTC	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$10	01-31 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 04:00 UTC	58	$525	1,145	0	+1,145	Up	-$13	01-13 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:45 UTC	3	$496	501	0	+501	Up	+$5	01-19 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:15 UTC	5	$495	522	0	+522	Down	+$27	02-02 05:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 13:30 UTC	3	$480	500	0	+500	Down	+$20	01-15 13:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 03:30 UTC	147	$463	858	0	+858	Down	-$80	01-15 03:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 03:45 UTC	59	$448	1,358	0	+1,358	Up	+$230	01-13 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:30 UTC	12	$397	401	0	+401	Up	+$4	01-19 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 09:56:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2a3e06…
11-13 09:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa7cf6…
11-13 09:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xca0e91…
11-13 06:49:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0825e8…
11-13 05:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x91d82a…
11-13 05:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x243107…
11-13 05:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb2a49…
11-12 10:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x35cee0…
11-12 08:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7ae7c3…
11-12 07:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecdd49…
11-12 06:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa3efdb…
11-12 04:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa0e519…
11-11 08:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x23de74…
11-11 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdc385a…
11-11 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13a79a…
11-11 05:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xde5744…
11-11 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6be2a2…
11-09 06:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1b68e7…
11-09 04:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7dd3f3…
11-09 01:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21ffcd…
11-08 07:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc9e1f5…
11-08 01:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f04e5…
11-08 00:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b3ea6…
11-07 07:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x79d2fa…
11-07 06:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72ec81…
11-07 05:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0ab739…
11-06 08:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a325b…
11-06 07:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x112381…
11-06 05:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb7f620…
11-06 05:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x019285…
11-05 08:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb2b97b…
11-05 07:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x320537…
11-05 07:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d3a91…
11-04 08:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xad7ae8…
11-04 07:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5e613…
11-04 04:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b1cb7…
11-03 09:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed049c…
11-03 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6cf09c…
11-03 07:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x58193c…
11-03 07:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x591702…
11-03 06:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3972f7…
11-03 05:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b04f0…
11-02 07:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b6ce9…
11-02 07:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x159807…
11-01 09:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf1a82…
11-01 06:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd434dd…
11-01 04:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb679db…
10-31 07:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37348b…
10-31 05:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x063b5c…
10-30 08:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3082b7…
10-30 08:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4e956…
10-30 08:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x752818…
10-30 07:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8cbf4f…
10-29 09:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bacd3…
10-29 08:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf1b19d…
10-29 08:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x150223…
10-29 08:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x232892…
10-29 05:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf18c21…
10-28 08:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe487fe…
10-28 08:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb7982a…
10-28 07:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ddeac…
10-28 07:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95a424…
10-28 06:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2166d3…
10-28 06:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f1290…
10-28 06:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf3c87a…
10-28 05:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1bd3ca…
10-27 08:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0852d…
10-27 08:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15b014…
10-27 06:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd9c6c1…
10-27 05:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce9c55…
10-27 04:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x845e67…
10-27 03:04:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5c21cc…
10-27 01:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x939fc8…
10-26 08:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d5fc0…
10-26 07:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x149bf0…
10-26 07:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbcf72…
10-25 07:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x751b5f…
10-25 07:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf15c09…
10-25 06:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf050cf…
10-25 04:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ba1ca…
10-24 09:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf52558…
10-24 08:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x896b28…
10-24 06:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e73a4…
10-24 06:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf6515a…
10-23 08:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf34dd…
10-23 08:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62c99b…
10-23 07:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xece6f1…
10-23 07:15:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf8f942…
10-23 04:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb914d7…
10-22 09:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x177ea6…
10-22 09:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1954be…
10-22 08:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7551d6…
10-22 08:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe82dbb…
10-22 06:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18272e…
10-21 09:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdae830…
10-21 08:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83ae48…
10-21 08:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd9e21c…
10-21 07:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a17fe…
10-21 07:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6512a0…
10-21 05:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ea92e…