Terrific-Chap — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

119 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.06K

$49.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$416

Open exposure

$1.06K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-08 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$66

Other

34% 100% +$97

Politics

22% 100% +$111

Sports

4% 100% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+844	$829	98¢	$831	+$1	11-08 14:05
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+235	$228	98¢	$230	+$2	11-05 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	4	$4.4K	2,275	2,200	+75	No	+$23	09-21 13:33
will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	6	$3.6K	1,806	1,806	+0	No	+$8	07-08 07:33
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,249	0	+2,249	No	+$15	08-25 18:46
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	3	$2.2K	2,225	0	+2,225	No	+$67	07-30 09:04
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2.1K	2,154	0	+2,154	No	+$47	07-08 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,070	0	+2,070	No	+$4	06-04 14:49
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,052	0	+2,052	No	+$26	05-19 17:34
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,026	0	+2,026	No	+$2	05-07 13:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	1	$2.0K	2,014	0	+2,014	No	+$16	04-24 12:17
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?	2	$1.9K	937	937	+0	No	+$3	08-25 18:45
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.8K	913	913	+0	No	+$11	06-26 11:06
Will Perpl launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,752	0	+1,752	No	+$4	09-27 11:26
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$1.4K	1,397	0	+1,397	Yes	+$11	05-04 11:38
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	2	$1.4K	1,367	0	+1,367	No	+$11	10-23 08:46
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	11	$1.1K	1,085	77	+1,008	No	+$12	06-26 11:07
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	No	+$3	05-24 09:34
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$986	988	0	+988	No	+$2	05-22 15:43
starmer out by june 15 2026	1	$945	948	0	+948	No	+$3	06-11 07:23
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$846	424	424	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:27
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$829	844	0	+844	open	—	11-08 14:05
will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	2	$771	387	387	+0	No	+$2	07-30 09:03
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in july 2026	2	$767	384	384	+0	No	+$1	07-25 13:29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	1	$746	764	0	+764	No	+$18	10-23 08:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$723	728	0	+728	No	+$5	06-19 19:35
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$688	689	0	+689	No	+$1	06-16 11:11
will ethereum reach 1850 on june 8	1	$681	682	0	+682	No	+$1	06-08 20:25
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$672	673	0	+673	No	+$1	05-31 07:57
will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	3	$633	318	318	+0	No	+$1	07-08 07:29
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$626	627	0	+627	Yes	+$1	05-04 11:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?	2	$574	290	290	+0	No	+$6	08-25 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 14:05:48	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	452	98¢	$445	0xe78069…
11-08 14:05:43	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	391	98¢	$384	0xa125cd…
11-05 18:16:12	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0xc54f7c…
11-05 18:16:04	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$112	0x44edc8…
10-23 08:47:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x86a76b…
10-23 08:46:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	BUY	914	99¢	$906	0x86ccd2…
10-23 08:46:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	BUY	453	99¢	$449	0x63db7d…
10-23 08:46:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9297da…
10-23 08:43:26	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	764	98¢	$746	0x04eb61…
09-27 11:26:59	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x3ba283…
09-27 11:26:32	Will Perpl launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,752	100¢	$1,749	0xcee257…
09-21 13:33:14	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,200	100¢	$2,198	0xf912ff…
09-06 09:01:40	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x284bed…
09-04 15:33:01	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x8bfc91…
09-04 08:46:37	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,187	0x9ee0cf…
09-04 08:38:00	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x080232…
08-25 18:46:10	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,225	0x71faae…
08-25 18:45:33	Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?	No	SELL	937	100¢	$936	0xbc0976…
08-25 18:45:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0x4d5b11…
08-12 12:47:37	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	937	100¢	$933	0xd66b79…
08-07 08:16:28	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	456	100¢	$456	0xb1c9b6…
08-07 08:16:01	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	477	100¢	$476	0x31e308…
08-07 08:15:33	will ethereum dip to 1300 in august 2026	No	BUY	290	98¢	$284	0xc81f8d…
08-07 08:13:33	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,019	99¢	$1,009	0x6c60d9…
07-30 09:04:02	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0xf16d41…
07-30 09:03:32	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	SELL	387	100¢	$387	0x233f56…
07-25 13:29:51	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	387	99¢	$385	0x197609…
07-25 13:29:19	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	384	100¢	$384	0xeb0608…
07-25 13:28:15	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	433	98¢	$423	0xdace1c…
07-25 13:27:45	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	424	100¢	$423	0x5b3b42…
07-22 20:09:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x605c5c…
07-20 19:22:22	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$320	0x182d6f…
07-20 19:21:58	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd6baa8…
07-15 11:31:01	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa08c8a…
07-15 11:30:29	Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xb33aa6…
07-15 11:30:20	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x71a378…
07-15 11:30:11	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xe1b488…
07-15 10:38:04	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	384	100¢	$383	0x85ee9b…
07-15 10:37:13	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	1,405	96¢	$1,349	0x1c7cbf…
07-08 07:33:49	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,154	98¢	$2,106	0x7c3273…
07-08 07:33:01	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	SELL	257	99¢	$255	0xcbff17…
07-08 07:32:17	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	SELL	472	99¢	$468	0xd6962e…
07-08 07:30:41	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,077	99¢	$1,069	0x904fd0…
07-08 07:29:44	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0x0c99ae…
07-03 07:59:29	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,499	99¢	$1,481	0xbd2944…
07-03 07:58:55	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xb471f5…
07-03 07:58:47	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0x165690…
07-03 07:58:40	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x899dc9…
07-03 07:57:38	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x3284e4…
06-28 17:13:14	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0xf69c83…
06-26 11:08:17	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x22fd39…
06-26 11:07:34	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x532390…
06-26 11:07:01	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x1ad112…
06-26 11:06:31	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0e2836…
06-25 09:31:59	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc4ef50…
06-25 05:42:32	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0c65ab…
06-25 05:39:58	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e0415…
06-25 02:56:14	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a8ccf…
06-22 15:15:22	will relay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xe40465…
06-22 04:37:44	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0xd8d964…
06-21 20:54:41	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xb3d639…
06-21 20:54:02	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x92d2d7…
06-21 20:53:46	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x8df31d…
06-21 20:53:41	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xbedcd3…
06-19 19:35:25	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x753a7f…
06-17 11:44:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	428	99¢	$425	0x842279…
06-17 11:39:02	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	227	99¢	$226	0x26eba2…
06-17 11:38:22	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x99ff00…
06-16 11:11:36	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	689	100¢	$688	0x9794db…
06-16 11:11:10	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x158179…
06-16 11:10:04	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x1a4d03…
06-11 07:23:01	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	948	100¢	$945	0x0dc7ae…
06-09 14:09:58	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	472	99¢	$467	0xf97c85…
06-09 14:09:30	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	322	99¢	$318	0x3739f5…
06-09 14:09:27	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xefb4a1…
06-08 20:28:13	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xc0903b…
06-08 20:27:58	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd2ab97…
06-08 20:27:49	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xf1928f…
06-08 20:26:22	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xabbf0f…
06-08 20:25:28	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 8	No	BUY	682	100¢	$681	0x446ca4…
06-08 20:24:46	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x55ac53…
06-08 15:35:24	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x907df5…
06-08 15:12:03	will relay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0xad65bb…
06-05 19:34:27	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x2d145c…
06-05 19:34:04	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x0d34c8…
06-05 19:33:57	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x2f77f8…
06-05 18:34:55	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$104	0x5abcc9…
06-04 14:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2,070	100¢	$2,066	0x663a68…
05-31 07:57:34	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	637	100¢	$636	0x0ead08…
05-31 07:57:11	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xbe9d54…
05-28 01:19:17	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0xe44ae2…
05-27 22:17:45	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	601	98¢	$590	0x432e14…
05-25 09:22:29	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xb74b46…
05-24 09:34:41	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,108	0xd2173c…
05-24 09:29:19	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xc7c111…
05-22 15:43:10	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x152170…
05-22 15:42:53	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	100¢	$390	0xb018e4…
05-22 15:25:24	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	572	100¢	$570	0xae4b8d…
05-22 15:25:17	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3bac3…
05-22 15:24:41	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x52bb2f…