Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$585

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

1,564

Trades

2,543

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-06

last 10-27 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 45% +$681

Other

39% 51% +$29

Sports

13% 52% -$88

Politics

7% 53% -$35

Tech

1% 58% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	+0	-$1	70¢	$0	+$1	09-26 21:13
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+0	$0	57¢	$0	$0	09-27 10:46
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	$0	08-17 13:34
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	10-10 12:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+0	-$1	57¢	$0	+$1	10-10 12:28
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+0	-$1	12¢	$0	+$1	10-12 23:05
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+0	$2	20¢	$0	-$2	09-15 22:28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+0	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	10-10 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$306	292	292	+0	Down	+$166	10-02 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	2	$296	241	241	+0	Up	+$186	09-22 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3PM ET	2	$214	144	144	+0	Up	+$74	10-06 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET	2	$213	209	158	+51	Up	+$134	10-06 23:58
bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 7am et	2	$206	141	141	+0	Up	+$76	09-29 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$178	215	118	+97	Up	+$155	10-01 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 3AM ET	2	$165	145	104	+41	Up	+$76	09-24 07:45
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 5pm et	2	$165	105	105	+0	Up	+$45	09-26 22:00
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	3	$147	233	170	+63	No	+$9	09-10 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	2	$84	167	167	+0	Down	-$46	10-07 01:26
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 12pm et	2	$80	120	15	+105	Down	+$55	09-26 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$80	381	0	+381	Up	-$80	10-03 11:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET	1	$80	254	0	+254	Up	-$80	10-03 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$75	341	0	+341	Up	-$75	10-03 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	1	$75	131	0	+131	Down	-$75	10-02 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8AM ET	1	$75	197	0	+197	Up	-$75	10-03 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3PM ET	1	$75	218	0	+218	Up	+$143	10-02 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?	2	$72	63	63	+0	Yes	+$52	10-08 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6PM ET	1	$70	126	0	+126	Down	-$70	10-06 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$70	389	0	+389	Down	-$70	10-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET	1	$70	191	0	+191	Down	-$70	10-06 21:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	1	$70	235	0	+235	Down	-$70	10-03 21:17
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 12pm et	1	$70	180	0	+180	Up	-$70	10-04 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10AM ET	1	$70	219	0	+219	Down	+$149	10-02 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	1	$70	125	0	+125	Down	-$70	10-06 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5PM ET	1	$70	173	0	+173	Down	-$70	10-03 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?	3	$66	64	64	+0	Yes	+$36	10-10 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9AM ET	1	$65	231	0	+231	Up	+$166	10-06 13:19
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 7pm et	1	$65	159	0	+159	Up	+$94	09-27 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$65	400	0	+400	Down	-$65	10-06 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x05c2f4…
10-27 09:13:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x499c68…
10-27 09:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb1a8a0…
10-27 08:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x644874…
10-27 08:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94406c…
10-27 08:13:42	lowest temperature in madrid on october 29 2026 5c	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x422861…
10-27 08:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x516dc9…
10-27 08:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdf0862…
10-27 08:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xab7797…
10-27 08:13:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa9b22b…
10-27 08:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x72b421…
10-27 07:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x638750…
10-27 07:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xebdcd5…
10-27 07:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x43e755…
10-27 07:35:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xee5529…
10-27 07:35:42	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5d316a…
10-27 07:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1e3859…
10-27 07:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9f597e…
10-27 07:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xde9da0…
10-27 05:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0b6a21…
10-27 03:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x722dba…
10-27 02:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8739a4…
10-27 02:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf96be5…
10-27 01:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x71eb83…
10-27 01:13:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xca61ed…
10-27 01:13:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x55e8d8…
10-27 00:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbba8e3…
10-27 00:15:08	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd702ad…
10-27 00:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd0f09b…
10-26 23:14:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x86a7eb…
10-26 22:20:42	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x151dc3…
10-26 22:16:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x139166…
10-26 22:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x19b12a…
10-26 22:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x715b40…
10-26 22:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc51577…
10-26 22:14:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1db108…
10-26 22:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7c10f8…
10-26 21:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0xf22ab6…
10-26 21:12:29	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x81fb5d…
10-26 21:12:24	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xecada4…
10-26 21:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x134252…
10-26 21:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8e667e…
10-26 21:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc9c284…
10-26 21:12:14	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf8e6f9…
10-26 21:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3d9846…
10-26 21:12:08	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x09b5be…
10-26 21:12:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeebbac…
10-26 21:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x67cea3…
10-26 19:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4574cd…
10-26 18:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa527c7…
10-26 18:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9fcb18…
10-26 18:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1afd01…
10-26 18:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe99bac…
10-26 18:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xab2bea…
10-26 18:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x794632…
10-26 18:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x646b14…
10-26 17:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0x94274d…
10-26 17:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x25c04b…
10-26 16:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x206403…
10-26 16:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2bb2dd…
10-26 16:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8d31d8…
10-26 16:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc4b7b3…
10-26 16:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc5e871…
10-26 15:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x414fa9…
10-26 15:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc97540…
10-26 15:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7d8a78…
10-26 15:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x31bd3f…
10-26 15:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7bb04f…
10-26 14:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x663c90…
10-26 13:52:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x367932…
10-26 13:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf2a898…
10-26 13:52:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x159f4f…
10-26 13:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa3ed67…
10-26 13:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6abd3e…
10-26 12:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x12c0d4…
10-26 12:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x701887…
10-26 11:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x4b5a68…
10-26 11:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa4a3f8…
10-26 11:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8b9f4c…
10-26 11:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5ba8ba…
10-26 10:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcb2ceb…
10-26 09:17:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x6f1c6a…
10-26 09:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x20223a…
10-26 09:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x022328…
10-26 09:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd5dc16…
10-26 09:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x59eb5f…
10-26 08:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2c65e6…
10-26 08:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa2030a…
10-26 08:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x14e284…
10-26 08:12:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x493645…
10-26 08:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xef5b69…
10-26 07:50:54	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x767052…
10-26 07:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdcac6d…
10-26 07:50:48	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf2cdc5…
10-26 07:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x72aeee…
10-26 07:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x112868…
10-26 07:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x60ef17…
10-26 07:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe1534c…
10-26 07:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5b7bef…
10-26 07:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x12f444…