Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

32.3%

Resolved

108

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-04 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

67% 22% +$22

Crypto

21% 0% -$2

Politics

7% 40% +$2

Sports

3% 12% -$3

Tech

2% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		-20	-$13	72¢	$-14	-$2	05-12 01:14
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	No		-12	-$9	88¢	$-10	-$1	05-31 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7?	8	$108	150	150	+0	No	-$3	06-07 07:57
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$100	150	50	+100	Up	$0	09-05 11:58
HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	5	$99	120	50	+70	Up	$0	08-21 15:56
BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	3	$99	100	50	+50	Up	$0	08-21 15:58
will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	-$1	07-16 05:14
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	2	$49	100	0	+100	No	+$1	06-24 22:00
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	4	$48	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	06-24 18:01
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	9	$42	107	107	+0	Yes	-$1	06-07 08:08
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-24 06:12
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 11:52
laso finance fdv above 50m one day after launch	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-24 06:12
laso finance fdv above 30m one day after launch	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-24 06:12
will bank of america say synergy during earnings call 20260710144833033	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-14 13:33
will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 22:52
will conagra brands say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260703161814712	3	$37	40	20	+20	Yes	$0	07-15 13:38
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:29
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	02-24 07:17
will the us add less than 25k jobs in february	3	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 19:53
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	01-08 20:07
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-17 00:54
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$26	20	20	-0	Yes	$0	03-23 12:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$26	0	27	-27	No	-$1	01-01 13:50
Nothing Ever Happens: March	3	$24	20	20	+0	Nothing	+$1	05-15 03:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$22	30	0	+30	Yes	+$8	01-28 12:33
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$21	0	22	-22	Yes	-$1	01-10 11:38
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	02-04 15:56
will golden kpop demon hunters win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	03-15 19:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	1	$14	17	0	+17	No	+$3	03-10 12:53
will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	02-23 09:40
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	03-10 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 21:29:59	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x567253…
09-06 00:00:03	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb48bf7…
09-06 00:00:00	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7347e8…
09-05 15:59:57	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe00d60…
09-05 15:59:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xae78d6…
09-05 15:57:25	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6800f5…
09-05 15:56:45	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x29f3de…
09-05 15:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x442fa1…
09-05 15:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd4788c…
09-05 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe0f72b…
09-05 11:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa7cde2…
09-05 11:59:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x92f607…
09-05 11:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x49e4f7…
09-05 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x67250a…
09-05 11:58:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x716501…
09-05 11:57:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x0de71c…
09-05 11:54:00	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x668b53…
09-05 11:52:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8ecd45…
09-05 11:48:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb9f775…
09-05 11:42:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa2b894…
09-05 11:40:09	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4d7255…
09-05 11:39:52	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf8989d…
09-05 11:37:52	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf23288…
09-05 11:37:40	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaf8577…
09-05 11:37:28	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xce200a…
09-05 11:37:16	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x427708…
09-05 11:37:04	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf824d3…
09-05 11:36:55	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x26ae30…
09-05 11:36:43	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xea7635…
09-05 11:36:33	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1a071f…
09-05 11:36:22	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x50d528…
09-05 11:36:12	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcee67a…
09-05 11:32:04	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7419ed…
09-05 11:31:54	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x04390d…
09-05 11:31:43	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf22e04…
09-05 11:31:33	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x51d5ad…
09-05 11:31:21	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3af4c5…
09-05 11:31:10	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6cdf2b…
09-05 11:31:00	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd8f4a3…
09-05 11:30:51	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb0d82b…
09-05 11:30:39	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf4628a…
09-05 11:30:28	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xabda40…
09-05 07:59:30	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc9d963…
09-05 07:59:22	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6a4224…
09-05 07:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc31ce5…
09-05 07:58:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xba7aca…
09-05 07:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe10bae…
09-05 07:55:49	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x652496…
09-05 07:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x748d21…
09-05 07:40:30	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x41cc88…
09-05 07:40:19	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c9531…
09-05 07:40:10	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf448fa…
09-05 07:40:10	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x882f35…
09-05 07:40:00	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x474dfc…
09-05 07:39:43	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b8840…
09-05 07:39:33	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf18528…
09-05 07:30:42	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8f2a79…
09-05 07:22:09	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe52b78…
09-05 03:59:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2c69f8…
08-21 15:59:01	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x635fb5…
08-21 15:58:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd4f893…
08-21 15:58:06	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe10cf5…
08-21 15:58:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x843b65…
08-21 15:57:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0b1041…
08-21 15:56:04	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe20c9e…
08-21 15:51:28	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2d62bc…
08-21 15:43:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x452e43…
08-21 15:40:19	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2c63e6…
08-21 15:31:19	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8c25ab…
08-21 15:18:27	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x4f7525…
08-21 15:18:04	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x517729…
08-21 15:17:27	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x14d4f7…
08-21 15:17:03	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x73b1b5…
08-21 10:17:33	wti closes above 84 on august 21 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6a0bfb…
08-21 10:08:45	wti closes above 84 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5c3544…
08-21 09:14:28	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xbc1bfa…
08-21 08:56:00	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260727142323915 113	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa707a3…
08-21 08:46:06	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260727142323915 113	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd45e46…
08-21 07:56:13	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc579e7…
08-21 07:47:06	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3c806f…
08-21 07:24:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 21?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8c4323…
08-21 07:23:39	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x18f41d…
08-21 07:22:52	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc3dfd6…
08-21 07:00:48	wti closes above 84 on august 21 2026	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xc4b765…
08-21 06:51:36	wti closes above 84 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x82e4b5…
08-21 06:48:03	wti closes above 84 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5e23b9…
08-21 06:43:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 21?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4a9d58…
08-21 06:42:13	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9f649f…
08-21 06:39:06	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc2eef9…
07-16 05:14:05	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x678210…
07-16 05:13:17	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x32a656…
07-16 05:12:32	untitled market 1 20260629173634756	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x10d347…
07-16 05:01:05	untitled market 1 20260629173634756	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xafa392…
07-15 19:40:11	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709162959372	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x963460…
07-15 19:39:40	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709162959369	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbf4a3c…
07-15 19:38:50	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709162959372	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xddf5c1…
07-15 13:38:47	will conagra brands say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260703161814712	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xedbf8d…
07-15 13:36:16	will conagra brands say frozen 5 times during earnings call 20260703161814713	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x79c79e…
07-15 13:35:53	will conagra brands say inflation during earnings call 20260703161814714	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7a6dac…
07-15 13:35:49	will conagra brands say inflation during earnings call 20260703161814714	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x19ba86…