Reasonable-Closet-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.26K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

205

Trades

603

lifetime

Volume

$873.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.45K

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-28 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

99% 54% +$8,454

Sports

1% 67% +$808

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+22	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	05-09 10:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$21.9K	19,453	13,372	+6,081	LGD Gaming	+$4,859	05-28 13:13
dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	6	$18.9K	19,938	8,871	+11,067	Aurora	-$1,138	06-05 17:16
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	6	$16.4K	17,101	8,855	+8,246	Team Yandex	+$1,246	06-06 14:47
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	8	$16.3K	13,153	8,806	+4,347	BetBoom Team	+$1,398	04-26 12:56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$15.8K	12,655	9,772	+2,884	Aurora	+$3,762	05-28 14:27
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	7	$15.4K	18,304	6,638	+11,665	PARIVISION	-$2,168	05-26 09:22
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	7	$15.0K	11,650	9,930	+1,720	Team Liquid	+$4,989	04-25 11:56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	6	$13.5K	12,277	6,568	+5,709	Team Falcons	-$354	05-26 16:39
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	5	$13.1K	10,238	7,313	+2,925	Xtreme Gaming	+$1,473	05-14 11:16
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	4	$13.0K	8,003	8,001	+3	Team Yandex	+$2,992	06-07 15:49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$11.4K	7,707	6,907	+800	Team Spirit	+$2,392	05-26 15:07
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	7	$10.9K	10,131	6,001	+4,130	Team Falcons	+$1,231	04-25 20:25
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	8	$10.4K	11,802	4,706	+7,096	Aurora	-$982	04-24 15:54
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24	6	$10.3K	9,129	5,741	+3,387	Aurora	+$1,188	04-24 17:12
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	5	$10.3K	9,384	4,841	+4,543	Tundra Esports	-$601	05-16 13:42
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22 game2	5	$10.2K	8,607	5,138	+3,470	MOUZ	+$96	04-22 12:10
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	4	$10.1K	10,018	4,940	+5,078	BetBoom Team	-$265	05-28 09:08
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	4	$10.1K	8,892	7,069	+1,823	Team Falcons	+$4,219	04-25 10:43
dota2 bb4 flc 2026 04 20	3	$9.8K	6,924	6,806	+118	BetBoom Team	+$3,917	04-20 16:35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	4	$9.7K	8,463	5,202	+3,261	Tundra Esports	+$697	05-26 18:32
dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	6	$9.7K	8,376	5,941	+2,435	BetBoom Team	+$2,218	06-05 10:46
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22	5	$9.6K	9,707	4,673	+5,034	South America Rejects	-$253	04-22 13:51
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	3	$9.5K	6,481	6,481	+0	LGD Gaming	+$3,475	05-27 10:28
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	5	$9.2K	9,317	4,682	+4,635	PlayTime	+$133	05-14 12:58
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	5	$9.2K	9,895	4,396	+5,499	Tundra Esports	-$409	05-22 15:10
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	5	$8.9K	5,573	5,573	+0	Aurora	+$2,267	05-19 21:25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	10	$8.8K	8,343	3,674	+4,669	Natus Vincere	-$1,496	05-16 20:46
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	3	$8.7K	5,763	5,763	+0	PARIVISION	+$2,861	05-28 17:24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	4	$8.5K	10,087	3,498	+6,589	PlayTime	-$1,506	05-22 17:59
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	5	$8.3K	7,700	3,935	+3,765	Aurora	-$357	04-26 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 14:44:01	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xb8af2b…
07-11 10:17:22	dota2 bb4 gl 2026 07 11 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb334e9…
06-09 12:52:49	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09	paiN	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x00c7c7…
06-08 15:37:28	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	211	27¢	$57	0x1db397…
06-07 17:08:54	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game3	Team Yandex	BUY	2,885	52¢	$1,500	0x6681d1…
06-07 17:07:21	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game3	Team Yandex	BUY	2,941	51¢	$1,500	0x86b72b…
06-07 17:07:07	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game3	Team Yandex	BUY	2,885	52¢	$1,500	0x0a0c22…
06-07 17:07:06	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game3	Team Yandex	BUY	2,885	52¢	$1,500	0x9fda06…
06-07 16:02:01	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	3,556	42¢	$1,500	0xfcbfdd…
06-07 15:49:39	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	8,001	100¢	$7,993	0xdea1c9…
06-07 14:30:43	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd9ccc2…
06-07 14:21:22	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	4,032	62¢	$2,500	0x3e4e89…
06-07 14:17:27	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	3,968	63¢	$2,500	0x0ead29…
06-07 13:36:36	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	SELL	3,717	100¢	$3,713	0x6a6abd…
06-07 12:54:25	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	308	59¢	$183	0xe8c56e…
06-07 12:09:09	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	3,409	44¢	$1,500	0x87d71e…
06-07 10:42:16	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	3,061	49¢	$1,500	0x69373c…
06-06 18:04:55	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	Aurora	BUY	3,616	41¢	$1,500	0x9c7d9d…
06-06 16:35:09	dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game2	Aurora	BUY	1,114	36¢	$400	0x3fcd2e…
06-06 14:47:57	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	SELL	8,855	100¢	$8,846	0xae91a9…
06-06 14:06:36	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,579	38¢	$600	0xe825cb…
06-06 13:53:46	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	BUY	4,412	34¢	$1,500	0x317b73…
06-06 13:10:46	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	3,333	45¢	$1,500	0x36f473…
06-06 13:10:39	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	3,333	45¢	$1,500	0xd8bd4c…
06-06 11:55:01	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	4,098	61¢	$2,500	0x6edda5…
06-06 10:46:01	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	BUY	4,443	56¢	$2,500	0x5dfee1…
06-05 17:28:54	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	Aurora	BUY	409	64¢	$262	0xc91ba2…
06-05 17:23:58	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	Aurora	BUY	4,032	62¢	$2,500	0x8a8cf2…
06-05 17:16:21	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	Aurora	SELL	8,871	100¢	$8,862	0xa08353…
06-05 16:13:04	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	Aurora	BUY	2,419	62¢	$1,500	0x559277…
06-05 16:12:52	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	Aurora	BUY	6,452	62¢	$4,000	0x20a04b…
06-05 16:10:54	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	3,750	40¢	$1,500	0x201b95…
06-05 16:10:43	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	3,659	41¢	$1,500	0x732e87…
06-05 16:10:37	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	3,659	41¢	$1,500	0xb80e00…
06-05 15:23:25	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game1	Aurora	BUY	2,830	53¢	$1,500	0xa8662c…
06-05 15:19:43	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game1	Aurora	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe417eb…
06-05 14:52:51	dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05 game1	Aurora	BUY	2,900	52¢	$1,500	0xabe05b…
06-05 13:27:03	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4a1136…
06-05 13:23:04	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x86921d…
06-05 10:46:25	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	BetBoom Team	SELL	5,941	100¢	$5,935	0xa6f469…
06-05 09:32:33	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	3,577	42¢	$1,500	0x790fca…
06-05 09:28:00	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2,000	30¢	$600	0x31d0be…
06-05 09:25:31	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	435	27¢	$116	0x3338e8…
06-05 09:22:51	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x130fc2…
06-05 09:22:27	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05 game1	BetBoom Team	BUY	2,363	63¢	$1,500	0xc9b0bd…
06-04 18:13:37	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	BUY	2,117	71¢	$1,500	0x7cd4a9…
06-04 18:13:36	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	BUY	2,143	70¢	$1,500	0x26fbfb…
06-04 13:52:10	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04	Team Falcons	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2bfe42…
06-04 13:49:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x87bc20…
06-04 13:38:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x79008e…
06-04 11:12:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0168cb…
06-04 10:43:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x173f27…
06-02 11:10:41	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x39f5b7…
05-30 14:36:54	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	3,409	44¢	$1,500	0x1d7c2b…
05-30 14:34:06	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	3,947	38¢	$1,500	0xffdf3a…
05-30 11:41:40	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0db61…
05-30 10:29:17	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	BUY	254	33¢	$85	0x0dafdf…
05-29 18:13:53	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x340b86…
05-29 16:55:03	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	3,077	26¢	$800	0x1e08c0…
05-29 16:50:25	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	2,500	60¢	$1,500	0x6e62da…
05-29 16:47:42	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	3,846	39¢	$1,500	0xd69a6f…
05-29 16:30:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	SELL	3,061	100¢	$3,058	0x55bbba…
05-29 16:28:44	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	2,419	100¢	$2,417	0xeeec62…
05-29 15:05:11	Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	SELL	3,125	100¢	$3,122	0x1b1dbc…
05-29 14:58:02	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	2,419	62¢	$1,500	0x0a9dd8…
05-29 14:36:04	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	2,942	51¢	$1,500	0xf8e10b…
05-29 14:14:08	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	3,061	49¢	$1,500	0xfe1633…
05-29 13:54:53	Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	3,125	48¢	$1,500	0x623638…
05-29 13:53:05	Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	3,673	49¢	$1,800	0x670f89…
05-29 13:35:01	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fe31b…
05-29 08:24:31	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	3,488	43¢	$1,500	0xdba8b6…
05-29 08:20:01	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	1,639	40¢	$658	0xe72fef…
05-29 08:17:57	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	2,900	38¢	$1,100	0x735808…
05-28 17:24:12	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	5,763	100¢	$5,758	0xff7648…
05-28 16:47:18	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	SELL	2,593	100¢	$2,590	0xc0107a…
05-28 16:47:13	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	2,586	100¢	$2,584	0x1efd43…
05-28 15:56:58	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	763	52¢	$397	0xb5f42d…
05-28 15:55:16	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	5,000	50¢	$2,500	0xbf3c70…
05-28 15:10:28	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	2,593	58¢	$1,500	0x27f653…
05-28 15:01:38	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	2,586	58¢	$1,500	0x1ee250…
05-28 14:27:51	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	SELL	9,772	100¢	$9,762	0xa57c93…
05-28 14:13:36	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x584406…
05-28 14:01:22	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	2,830	53¢	$1,500	0xe5b325…
05-28 13:33:50	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	2,884	52¢	$1,500	0x9356ad…
05-28 13:20:01	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	3,750	40¢	$1,500	0xc57989…
05-28 13:18:53	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	3,191	47¢	$1,500	0xc4decd…
05-28 13:17:36	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa7c9d3…
05-28 13:13:25	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	SELL	13,372	100¢	$13,359	0x17e1b0…
05-28 11:51:54	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	6,081	49¢	$3,000	0x24e31b…
05-28 11:37:45	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	5,580	45¢	$2,500	0x88e6a4…
05-28 11:37:03	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	4,103	39¢	$1,600	0x2da4dc…
05-28 11:36:09	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	3,689	38¢	$1,400	0xb921cf…
05-28 10:34:37	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	SELL	3,844	100¢	$3,840	0x488d16…
05-28 09:20:26	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	3,844	65¢	$2,500	0x58d366…
05-28 09:11:01	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	4,839	31¢	$1,500	0x50eee1…
05-28 09:08:38	Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	4,940	100¢	$4,935	0xcc9f42…
05-28 08:14:38	Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	4,940	81¢	$4,000	0x1c7c2f…
05-28 08:10:25	Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	2,469	24¢	$600	0x519bb6…
05-28 08:10:19	Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	2,609	23¢	$600	0xccd363…
05-27 16:50:44	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	3,191	100¢	$3,188	0x55f27d…