Arctic-Subexpression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-27 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

99% 50% -$7

Other

0% 87% +$14

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$6.3K	3,175	3,175	+0	No	-$3	06-14 02:16
ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	1	$5	7	0	+7	Caio Borralho	+$2	03-06 03:11
nba uta sac 2026 03 15	1	$4	9	0	+9	Kings	-$4	03-14 19:20
bra cha san 2026 01 28 draw	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	01-28 08:33
elc she cov 2026 02 25 she	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	+$3	02-24 19:50
fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 asm	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	+$4	04-04 10:07
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	03-06 03:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-27 10:58
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	1	$3	4	0	+4	Charles Oliveira	-$3	03-06 03:12
mls aus lag 2026 04 11 aus	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	04-09 13:21
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$3	9	0	+9	Yes	-$3	04-09 13:21
will bitcoin reach 90k august 24 30 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-25 19:46
nba ind mil 2026 03 15	1	$2	4	0	+4	Bucks	+$1	03-14 19:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-26 09:51
es2 alm and 2026 02 13 alm	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	02-12 11:11
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-30 01:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-13 21:15
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-08 16:05
will ethereum dip to 2300 august 31 september 6 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-05 08:43
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$2	200	0	+200	No	-$2	10-27 10:59
bitcoin above 66k on august 24 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-23 00:22
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-01 07:23
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-17 07:46
bra flu bot 2026 02 12 bot	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-12 11:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 16?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	08-13 21:13
fl1 ren psg 2026 02 13 psg	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	02-12 11:11
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-04 16:31
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	03-06 03:13
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	02-24 19:50
mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-30 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:59:20	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa39685…
10-27 10:58:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x661597…
09-05 08:43:37	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6c6c5d…
08-25 19:46:42	will bitcoin reach 90k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb86b61…
08-25 19:45:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x251d01…
08-23 00:22:36	bitcoin above 66k on august 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf314fe…
08-13 21:15:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2a109…
08-13 21:13:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc8e453…
08-04 16:31:51	Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x77596b…
07-30 01:35:14	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65fa29…
07-30 01:33:02	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x27aaf3…
07-17 07:46:45	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8722b7…
07-08 16:05:11	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8bc350…
07-01 07:23:20	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9b99a0…
06-14 02:16:27	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3,175	100¢	$3,169	0x5e4c54…
06-14 00:25:58	Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	3,175	100¢	$3,172	0x2af7a2…
05-26 09:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0851b9…
04-09 13:21:53	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xe1f41c…
04-09 13:21:21	mls aus lag 2026 04 11 aus	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x99f825…
04-04 10:08:07	bun ein koe 2026 04 05 koe	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2e6823…
04-04 10:07:11	fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 asm	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xdcbe7f…
03-14 19:20:01	nba uta sac 2026 03 15	Jazz	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x163f12…
03-14 19:18:47	nba ind mil 2026 03 15	Bucks	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x60cebe…
03-06 03:14:39	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x6b4ba5…
03-06 03:13:03	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb0e91c…
03-06 03:12:17	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xba3297…
03-06 03:11:31	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Caio Borralho	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x912af1…
02-24 19:50:28	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xda7620…
02-24 19:50:20	elc she cov 2026 02 25 she	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xdff089…
02-12 11:11:39	es2 alm and 2026 02 13 alm	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x404993…
02-12 11:11:23	fl1 ren psg 2026 02 13 psg	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xbdb235…
02-12 11:11:09	bra flu bot 2026 02 12 bot	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x3314c8…
01-28 08:33:03	bra cha san 2026 01 28 draw	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x1a262f…