Nippy-Vibraphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.79K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

163

Trades

1,073

lifetime

Volume

$224.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-04 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

47% 51% -$4,193

Sports

31% 56% +$7,197

Crypto

12% 67% -$184

Politics

11% 57% -$1,035

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$13	61¢	$0	-$13	10-29 17:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	09-15 13:37
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+0	$4	90¢	$0	-$4	10-28 16:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-14 17:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	63	$21.8K	31,802	31,802	+0	Yes	+$38	05-23 11:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	47	$15.1K	18,507	18,507	+0	Yes	-$201	07-23 13:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	40	$14.9K	12,188	12,188	+0	open	—	09-15 13:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	7	$11.8K	13,000	11,000	+2,000	Down	-$562	05-26 20:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	43	$10.8K	10,919	10,919	+0	Down	+$9	06-03 13:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	46	$6.4K	6,773	6,773	+0	open	—	10-29 17:31
nba mil den 2026 01 11	3	$6.1K	10,700	4,700	+6,000	Nuggets	+$3,519	01-12 00:30
nba nop mia 2026 01 04	2	$5.7K	3,300	3,300	+0	Heat	+$855	01-05 01:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	6	$5.5K	5,090	5,090	+0	No	-$312	05-24 23:29
nba was sac 2026 01 16	2	$5.4K	7,700	0	+7,700	Kings	+$2,268	01-17 03:03
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	17	$5.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$0	05-17 14:43
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$4.1K	3,000	2,689	+311	Yes	-$224	09-09 12:24
nba was den 2026 01 17	1	$4.0K	5,020	0	+5,020	Nuggets	+$1,054	01-18 02:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$3.5K	2,291	2,291	+0	No	+$5	10-23 02:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	2	$3.5K	3,264	3,264	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 02:59
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?	6	$3.3K	2,511	2,511	+0	No	+$25	05-19 17:14
nba ind cha 2026 01 08	4	$3.2K	4,535	600	+3,935	Pacers	-$2,479	01-08 23:58
nba min was 2026 01 04	1	$2.5K	3,200	0	+3,200	Timberwolves	+$704	01-04 22:46
nba den bos 2026 01 07	1	$2.5K	3,310	0	+3,310	Nuggets	-$2,482	01-07 23:07
nba lac det 2026 01 10	5	$2.5K	5,350	0	+5,350	Clippers	+$2,889	01-10 23:36
nba cle min 2026 01 08	1	$2.5K	4,300	0	+4,300	Timberwolves	+$1,849	01-09 00:14
nba den bkn 2026 01 04	6	$2.4K	4,500	1,360	+3,140	Nets	+$1,808	01-04 19:50
nba nyk det 2026 01 05	2	$2.4K	5,290	0	+5,290	Pistons	+$2,857	01-05 23:51
nba min mia 2026 01 03	1	$2.4K	4,400	0	+4,400	Timberwolves	+$1,980	01-03 21:40
nba atl den 2026 01 09	8	$2.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Hawks	-$2,415	01-10 01:38
nba lal sas 2026 01 07	2	$2.4K	3,250	0	+3,250	Spurs	+$878	01-08 02:28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	9	$2.3K	1,685	1,685	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 10:33
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	21	$2.2K	1,648	1,648	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 08:09
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	26	$2.1K	4,800	1,500	+3,300	Lakers	-$1,089	01-05 01:36
nba phx mem 2026 01 07	9	$2.1K	2,980	0	+2,980	Suns	+$930	01-08 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:15:42	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xa2cdf1…
11-04 04:12:52	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xee297c…
11-04 03:54:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0x03dbbe…
11-04 03:53:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	81	16¢	$13	0x9f55e5…
11-04 03:53:34	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	919	16¢	$147	0x98b4a6…
11-02 12:10:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	835	10¢	$84	0x25e425…
11-02 11:46:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x2e0d49…
11-02 11:46:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xcbfbe3…
11-02 11:44:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x27aaa9…
10-29 17:31:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	242	28¢	$67	0x36842c…
10-29 02:21:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x3ba076…
10-29 00:57:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x38202f…
10-29 00:56:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xaa621b…
10-28 18:55:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x64e425…
10-28 18:53:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	84	28¢	$23	0x455b14…
10-28 18:49:04	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	78	28¢	$22	0xd511db…
10-28 18:29:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xf50ca3…
10-28 18:26:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	218	28¢	$60	0x424b19…
10-28 18:18:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	104	28¢	$29	0x64ad44…
10-28 17:25:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xeedb8b…
10-28 17:24:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	41	28¢	$11	0x0a8a46…
10-28 17:20:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	158	28¢	$44	0xf31f63…
10-28 17:18:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x918f43…
10-28 16:41:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$275	0x80b198…
10-28 16:28:49	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	103	76¢	$78	0xdeb51a…
10-28 12:17:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	910	32¢	$292	0x8fef7d…
10-28 11:57:05	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0x4cbb6a…
10-28 11:46:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	90	35¢	$31	0x84fb37…
10-28 11:44:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	35¢	$346	0xb8019f…
10-28 08:00:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	986	25¢	$243	0x63fb3a…
10-28 07:55:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x31271b…
10-28 07:54:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	328	24¢	$79	0x397114…
10-28 07:54:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	672	24¢	$161	0x91e611…
10-28 07:45:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	65	26¢	$17	0x6086dc…
10-28 07:45:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0xcaf645…
10-28 07:39:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x648b9c…
10-28 07:39:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x49c009…
10-28 07:39:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	59	26¢	$15	0x5a36d0…
10-28 07:20:17	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$155	0xda68d8…
10-28 07:20:16	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	172	77¢	$133	0x7a9be2…
10-28 06:53:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	408	67¢	$272	0x4f86a2…
10-28 05:34:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	259	66¢	$171	0xc92dba…
10-28 05:33:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0xf6508b…
10-28 04:23:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	667	63¢	$419	0x800059…
10-28 04:22:28	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x1e3ef0…
10-28 04:22:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x04c7b0…
10-28 04:22:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x276982…
10-28 04:22:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x0dd605…
10-28 04:22:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	41	63¢	$26	0x55c312…
10-28 04:20:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	240	63¢	$151	0x420e9a…
10-28 04:20:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$629	0xb4208d…
10-28 01:45:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	294	66¢	$195	0xc9adf1…
10-28 01:41:59	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	227	77¢	$176	0xfce697…
10-28 01:41:50	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	380	77¢	$294	0xc08e0b…
10-28 01:05:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	98	66¢	$65	0xd203a3…
10-28 01:04:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	156	66¢	$104	0x1cd8f2…
10-28 00:51:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	547	66¢	$363	0x89605f…
10-28 00:38:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,000	63¢	$630	0xdbd799…
10-28 00:35:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$626	0xa21aa8…
10-28 00:19:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	486	60¢	$291	0x84d8ee…
10-28 00:19:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	193	60¢	$116	0x5d2392…
10-28 00:17:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	679	60¢	$406	0xbbf15b…
10-27 13:26:11	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	500	68¢	$339	0xee36c9…
10-27 13:15:21	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	68¢	$338	0xb6ac2b…
10-27 12:22:02	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x2b1886…
10-27 12:21:53	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	63	45¢	$28	0x910d0d…
10-27 12:21:35	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x61ec2d…
10-27 12:20:59	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	94	44¢	$41	0xc5d00b…
10-27 11:16:06	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	59	67¢	$40	0x798744…
10-27 10:49:36	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x693ed6…
10-27 10:49:35	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x2d4551…
10-27 10:48:18	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x4b2a69…
10-27 10:48:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x616f47…
10-27 10:47:44	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	67¢	$200	0xe7042a…
10-27 06:12:23	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	953	30¢	$283	0x2d2605…
10-27 06:11:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	953	30¢	$282	0xc84c43…
10-27 05:57:36	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	674	38¢	$256	0xfe5457…
10-27 05:16:53	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x4bd7cc…
10-27 04:59:33	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	448	38¢	$170	0xd53db3…
10-27 04:59:33	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x97323b…
10-27 04:59:33	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	192	38¢	$73	0x57031a…
10-26 08:41:14	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	969	35¢	$339	0x3df57e…
10-26 08:20:12	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x711dbb…
10-26 07:48:36	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x12f89c…
10-26 07:35:27	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x887480…
10-26 06:30:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	166	34¢	$57	0xbaf425…
10-26 06:16:02	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x3ab3c5…
10-26 06:15:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x47dde9…
10-26 06:00:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	551	64¢	$353	0x743919…
10-26 05:59:54	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x9c12d4…
10-26 05:59:53	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	623	34¢	$212	0x26cf3c…
10-26 05:52:27	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x0954aa…
10-26 05:50:30	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x180af8…
10-26 05:50:30	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	800	33¢	$264	0x046284…
10-26 05:42:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	257	64¢	$164	0x81fa82…
10-26 05:18:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	620	63¢	$391	0xad1b1a…
10-26 05:18:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	237	63¢	$149	0x927cdb…
10-25 12:25:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	76	60¢	$46	0x45916f…
10-25 10:41:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xefef1a…
10-25 10:41:06	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x726d40…