Excitable-Suit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

132

Trades

701

lifetime

Volume

$686.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$979

Open exposure

$929

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-26 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

74% 87% +$14,877

Other

17% 100% +$3,849

Sports

5% 100% +$3,092

Tech

3% 100% +$9,416

Crypto

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+1,084	$921	86¢	$929	+$8	09-05 11:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	93	$68.7K	63,708	35,516	+28,192	Yes	-$3,356	09-16 09:00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	52	$65.4K	36,124	36,124	-0	open	—	10-25 23:44
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	31	$32.2K	32,454	0	+32,454	No	+$260	10-07 21:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$32.2K	32,191	0	+32,191	Yes	+$32	09-30 20:33
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$27.1K	19,326	7,758	+11,568	Yes	+$12	07-09 19:57
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	1	$26.6K	26,909	0	+26,909	No	+$269	08-30 19:25
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	9	$26.6K	26,637	0	+26,637	Yes	+$27	08-25 23:07
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$26.5K	26,588	0	+26,588	No	+$53	08-12 07:40
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$25.6K	25,636	0	+25,636	Yes	+$26	09-29 21:58
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	27	$24.7K	24,969	0	+24,969	Yes	+$275	07-21 06:02
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	32	$23.6K	23,670	0	+23,670	Yes	+$67	07-24 23:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	42	$23.6K	23,590	0	+23,590	Yes	+$27	09-03 05:09
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	29	$22.8K	22,956	0	+22,956	No	+$121	08-04 04:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	1	$19.3K	19,307	0	+19,307	No	+$19	07-04 06:47
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$19.3K	19,288	0	+19,288	No	+$19	07-02 19:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$18.7K	19,248	0	+19,248	Yes	+$576	10-26 00:53
Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?	6	$15.7K	16,868	0	+16,868	Yes	+$1,190	08-08 03:47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$14.3K	14,694	0	+14,694	No	+$441	10-25 23:45
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	1	$13.3K	13,300	0	+13,300	Yes	+$13	06-28 10:00
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	40	$12.5K	15,821	15	+15,806	Yes	+$3,271	07-02 14:32
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	3	$11.5K	11,496	0	+11,496	Yes	+$24	09-04 19:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	17	$9.7K	6,030	6,030	+0	Yes	+$39	09-14 17:36
Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?	1	$9.5K	9,632	0	+9,632	Yes	+$108	08-08 03:45
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	4	$9.0K	9,002	0	+9,002	Yes	+$17	09-04 19:51
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	21	$8.7K	16,325	0	+16,325	No	+$7,596	09-09 15:57
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	2	$8.4K	8,487	0	+8,487	No	+$39	08-31 22:49
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	31	$7.9K	11,000	0	+11,000	Max Holloway	+$3,080	07-11 23:51
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	8	$7.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	France	+$2,250	07-09 20:01
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	1	$7.4K	7,371	0	+7,371	No	+$7	08-31 22:49
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?	5	$6.0K	7,413	0	+7,413	No	+$1,382	09-09 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:53:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x04ff11…
10-25 23:45:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14,694	97¢	$14,253	0x11a078…
10-25 23:44:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x56787c…
10-25 23:44:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	988	97¢	$959	0x822e4a…
10-25 23:44:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0x03658a…
10-25 23:44:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18,110	97¢	$17,567	0xc8403f…
10-25 23:44:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe867f1…
10-25 23:44:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	36,124	91¢	$32,873	0x050df8…
10-23 18:21:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0xc424c2…
10-14 19:23:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	511	90¢	$460	0xd5338e…
10-14 18:10:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xfe44c0…
10-14 17:47:49	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x5919b9…
10-14 17:19:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	547	90¢	$492	0xbb267a…
10-14 16:10:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x6175aa…
10-14 15:10:52	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	137	90¢	$123	0x1d233f…
10-14 15:01:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9adff1…
10-14 14:57:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x68d493…
10-14 12:47:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x109ff7…
10-14 12:00:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xce8228…
10-14 09:18:22	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x01e08e…
10-14 09:03:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x841498…
10-14 08:28:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xf42d74…
10-14 08:16:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa38f19…
10-14 07:20:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7a4b7c…
10-14 07:01:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	76	90¢	$69	0x2758f3…
10-14 06:23:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x3d473a…
10-14 06:17:07	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,024	90¢	$922	0xbc1b2c…
10-07 21:03:17	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x81cc6c…
10-04 03:46:59	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x417aba…
10-03 07:04:00	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	632	99¢	$627	0xb8e536…
10-03 07:03:54	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xa00ea7…
10-03 07:03:48	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xa8a754…
10-03 07:03:42	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x490747…
10-03 07:03:36	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xc92ab6…
10-03 07:03:32	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x67b6cf…
10-03 07:03:26	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x0fbd29…
10-03 07:03:21	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xa5d218…
10-03 07:03:15	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x3d796f…
10-03 07:03:09	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xe927a6…
10-03 07:03:05	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x29a802…
10-03 07:02:57	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x5e9a24…
10-03 07:02:53	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x0a3a32…
10-03 07:02:47	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x0e2149…
10-03 07:02:42	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xb0f308…
10-03 07:02:36	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xec6248…
10-03 07:02:32	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x73ca3c…
10-03 07:02:24	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x0a2677…
10-03 07:02:17	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x0f2027…
10-03 07:02:08	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xa30b17…
10-03 07:02:03	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xf1a318…
10-03 07:01:57	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xb5848b…
10-03 07:01:51	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x33bb1c…
10-03 07:01:47	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xda6b1d…
10-03 07:01:41	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xefd154…
10-03 07:01:33	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xc7c29b…
10-03 06:52:50	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0x1bccd7…
10-03 06:21:20	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	268	99¢	$266	0xe8af84…
10-03 03:38:35	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4093e9…
09-30 20:33:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,933	100¢	$1,931	0xd7ebd3…
09-30 20:32:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	725	100¢	$724	0x0acd9e…
09-30 20:32:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x05693b…
09-30 20:32:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	29,496	100¢	$29,466	0x13a222…
09-29 21:58:42	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	25,636	100¢	$25,611	0xcabae3…
09-16 12:31:00	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x89ef12…
09-16 09:41:21	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	864	100¢	$863	0x4e9cc0…
09-16 09:00:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x738c82…
09-16 08:50:31	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x4a1f6d…
09-16 07:41:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb1976…
09-16 06:41:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a0af0…
09-16 06:25:37	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa081a4…
09-16 06:22:46	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6bc25d…
09-16 06:21:42	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd6f4b5…
09-16 05:46:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x24001f…
09-16 05:31:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xc47726…
09-16 05:26:04	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x276084…
09-16 04:08:25	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x911fe8…
09-16 03:30:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x030902…
09-16 02:40:48	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x984d60…
09-16 02:40:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb2b3e…
09-16 02:40:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	680	100¢	$679	0x3b63b3…
09-16 02:40:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabfa09…
09-16 02:40:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc68578…
09-16 02:40:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	678	100¢	$678	0x8aab21…
09-16 02:39:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1d3b4a…
09-16 02:39:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28625b…
09-16 02:39:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	674	100¢	$674	0x5e9dd8…
09-14 17:37:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	SELL	122	95¢	$116	0x75e5ee…
09-14 17:37:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	SELL	63	92¢	$57	0x783a56…
09-14 17:36:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	SELL	4,108	93¢	$3,817	0x8e9432…
09-14 17:36:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x52ab0d…
09-14 17:30:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	SELL	1,034	92¢	$952	0xdbdc19…
09-14 16:07:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xbf7a4b…
09-14 16:05:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1,241	93¢	$1,154	0x53b105…
09-14 14:58:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1,500	90¢	$1,350	0xd412b4…
09-14 14:57:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x351584…
09-14 14:54:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2a0252…
09-14 14:54:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc26b05…
09-14 14:44:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	107	92¢	$98	0x2bed82…
09-14 13:33:01	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	83	92¢	$77	0x4c5ad0…
09-14 13:21:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x4bd500…