Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved (90d)

145

Trades (90d)

243

643 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$24.6K

$70.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-20 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

54% 90% +$37

Crypto

40% 91% -$583

Politics

5% 83% -$348

Tech

1% 71% -$77

Sports

1% 100% +$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 12?	5	$475	500	+500	Yes	+$25	08-12 06:16
xrp above 1 on august 12 2026	1	$475	500	+500	Yes	+$25	08-12 06:58
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	5	$475	500	+500	Yes	+$25	08-10 07:57
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 11?	1	$460	500	+500	Yes	+$40	08-11 06:08
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	10	$450	500	+500	Yes	+$50	08-11 03:04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 10?	3	$450	500	+500	No	-$450	08-10 07:17
spy closes above 770 on august 10 2026	2	$445	500	+500	Yes	+$55	08-10 09:21
ethereum above 1900 on august 10 2026	3	$445	500	+500	No	-$445	08-10 07:06
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	2	$440	500	+500	open	—	08-12 07:43
wti up or down on august 10 2026	3	$435	500	+500	Up	+$65	08-10 10:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$430	500	+500	Yes	+$70	08-11 08:10
Will Brad Smith be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?	1	$430	500	+500	Yes	+$70	08-11 03:48
bitcoin above 64k on july 23 2026	2	$381	400	+400	Yes	+$19	07-22 18:51
will anyone say prophecy during house of the dragon e6 s3 20260721174502946	1	$380	400	+400	Yes	+$20	07-26 22:18
rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt97	1	$380	400	+400	Yes	+$20	07-30 02:23
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	1	$380	400	+400	No	-$380	07-30 03:38
mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 4pt2	1	$380	400	+400	Yes	+$20	07-22 04:38
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 31?	2	$380	400	+400	Yes	+$20	07-31 07:44
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	1	$376	400	+400	Yes	+$24	07-31 03:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 23?	3	$375	400	+400	Yes	+$25	07-23 13:16
will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	2	$374	400	+400	Yes	+$26	07-23 01:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$374	400	+400	Yes	+$26	07-24 09:20
bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	1	$372	400	+400	Yes	+$28	07-26 23:11
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	1	$372	400	+400	Yes	+$28	08-03 01:04
bitcoin above 62k on july 29 2026	1	$372	400	+400	Yes	+$28	07-28 19:58
ethereum above 1900 on july 27 2026	1	$368	400	+400	Yes	+$32	07-26 23:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 1?	1	$364	400	+400	Yes	+$36	07-31 19:27
will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e10 s9 20260721174118148	1	$364	400	+400	Yes	+$36	07-26 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$364	400	+400	Yes	+$36	07-22 13:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?	1	$360	400	+400	No	-$360	07-23 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 17:11:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xc2b76c…
08-20 17:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	193	88¢	$168	0x018ab1…
08-20 17:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$7	0x1200f0…
08-20 17:10:00	bitcoin above 70k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xb5a87b…
08-19 17:58:51	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x5b0995…
08-19 17:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 20?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x449ac2…
08-19 17:57:45	bitcoin above 66k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xc7ba43…
08-19 17:57:10	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x901bfd…
08-19 14:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	198	93¢	$185	0x9d9ab7…
08-19 14:45:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf30946…
08-19 14:45:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0x2ccecb…
08-19 12:12:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 19?	Yes	BUY	188	90¢	$169	0x7e3082…
08-19 12:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 19?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x92845b…
08-19 11:09:22	ethereum above 1900 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xd5abbb…
08-19 04:43:18	dy quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 19 2026 3pt26	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa651fa…
08-18 18:10:40	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x7c3d5b…
08-18 17:59:22	bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0xc72d91…
08-18 17:58:48	low quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 19 2026 4pt15	Yes	BUY	168	95¢	$160	0x9f3dcf…
08-18 02:47:27	Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0xda0eeb…
08-17 11:09:49	Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	84	86¢	$72	0x70b51c…
08-17 11:01:34	Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0xa775f1…
08-17 11:01:00	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x454e2c…
08-17 10:49:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x312695…
08-17 10:48:51	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x429897…
08-17 10:37:09	wti closes above 85 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x400a40…
08-17 10:36:36	bitcoin above 64k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xce59f5…
08-17 10:36:01	Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0xd268ac…
08-17 10:36:01	Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	145	94¢	$136	0xc16c15…
08-17 10:24:19	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	BUY	114	86¢	$98	0xc4873a…
08-17 10:24:19	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	BUY	86	86¢	$74	0x38d53e…
08-17 10:23:45	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x77fa40…
08-17 10:12:06	Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x8c8106…
08-17 10:11:31	Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x58b056…
08-17 10:11:31	Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	BUY	172	90¢	$154	0x16c1a7…
08-17 10:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 17?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x08aa2a…
08-17 10:10:24	Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x5cd754…
08-14 06:50:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 14?	Yes	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x3ffe92…
08-14 06:50:00	will trump say communist or communism during remarks in new york 20260811183234688	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xff0880…
08-14 06:49:25	will trump say biden during remarks in new york 20260811183234687	Yes	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0x9d8891…
08-14 06:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 14?	Yes	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x33f6fd…
08-13 22:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6c91f0…
08-13 22:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x5ce195…
08-13 22:10:12	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	62	94¢	$59	0xc7532c…
08-13 22:04:27	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x86983e…
08-13 21:25:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 10 2026?	No	BUY	99	85¢	$84	0x477a3a…
08-13 19:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x56c093…
08-13 19:19:09	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	43	85¢	$37	0x2b605e…
08-13 17:45:40	bitcoin above 64k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x4a96ec…
08-13 17:44:24	bitcoin above 64k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0xf12722…
08-13 17:43:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xad2859…
08-13 17:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x61c2b5…
08-13 17:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x59d658…
08-13 17:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x11356f…
08-13 17:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4ff870…
08-13 17:20:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0x62db32…
08-13 17:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x435a18…
08-13 17:11:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$183	0x1d619d…
08-13 17:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0xcc7a6b…
08-13 17:10:46	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf20b65…
08-13 17:10:12	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xc03e48…
08-13 16:59:12	nmax quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 13 2026 neg0pt03	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x05e9e9…
08-13 12:28:54	bitcoin above 64k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x43b2c9…
08-13 12:28:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x45fb27…
08-13 12:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xf60340…
08-13 12:16:49	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa8f99b…
08-13 12:06:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x9d6b53…
08-13 12:06:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x838342…
08-13 12:05:54	ethereum above 1900 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3a7f7a…
08-13 12:02:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x46d627…
08-13 12:02:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xa07a3f…
08-13 12:02:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc59a51…
08-13 12:01:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x4211bb…
08-13 11:54:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x79438f…
08-13 11:54:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xe8ad9f…
08-13 07:07:36	Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x9d7a08…
08-13 07:07:01	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xad61d7…
08-12 23:19:39	amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 13 2026 3pt39	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcb600a…
08-12 21:14:21	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0xf57e4a…
08-12 20:59:54	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0839f0…
08-12 20:17:21	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x2ef66c…
08-12 20:17:15	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x63c7d0…
08-12 20:17:06	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x28a399…
08-12 20:15:06	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xf7c08c…
08-12 19:15:43	bitcoin above 62k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x754d08…
08-12 19:12:31	bitcoin above 62k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x00d62c…
08-12 16:46:31	will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048103	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9761e4…
08-12 14:08:13	will experimental be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048096	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x0e93d0…
08-12 10:12:27	will the total solar eclipse be highly visible in reykjavik 20260723014439982	No	BUY	177	92¢	$163	0xd5265d…
08-12 09:33:58	will the total solar eclipse be highly visible in reykjavik 20260723014439982	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x509ba1…
08-12 08:46:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xdf7ec5…
08-12 08:34:25	csco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 12 2026 1pt17	Yes	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x3cfa72…
08-12 08:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x48dafc…
08-12 07:43:22	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	435	88¢	$383	0xa59b4f…
08-12 07:29:19	Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xb90de2…
08-12 06:58:09	xrp above 1 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xe829bc…
08-12 06:16:51	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x687fc4…
08-12 05:27:45	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	469	95¢	$446	0xd08456…
08-12 05:26:54	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x197d22…
08-12 05:25:54	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xdc3b75…
08-12 05:25:54	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 12?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x3da5b7…