Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$545

Unrealized P&L

+$48

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

479

Trades

922

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$103

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-27 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 39% +$25

Politics

23% 24% -$507

Other

7% 18% -$58

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+204	$55	50¢	$103	+$48	10-27 11:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	24	$928	2,091	1,057	+1,033	Yes	+$0	03-09 03:00
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	5	$202	177	177	+0	No	+$45	02-08 23:24
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	9	$180	376	235	+141	No	+$21	03-09 18:26
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	6	$164	5,957	0	+5,957	No	-$164	02-05 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:45 UTC	4	$155	117	116	+2	Up	+$13	02-10 03:48
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	12	$151	1,457	1,457	+0	No	+$1	02-09 18:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:45 UTC	4	$142	93	92	+1	Up	+$23	02-10 03:58
will israel strike lebanon on february 2 2026	2	$140	77	77	+0	Yes	+$15	02-02 10:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 03:30 UTC	5	$132	119	118	+0	Up	+$100	02-07 03:45
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	2	$119	69	69	+0	Yes	+$19	02-01 12:31
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:15 UTC	8	$114	4,073	72	+4,001	Down	+$4	02-10 02:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:45 UTC	4	$111	80	79	+1	Up	+$22	02-10 02:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 04:00 UTC	2	$111	77	76	+1	Up	+$12	02-10 04:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 04:30 UTC	2	$97	81	80	+1	Down	+$10	02-10 04:34
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:15 UTC	6	$96	170	111	+59	Up	+$14	02-06 03:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	5	$96	120	70	+51	Up	+$8	02-10 01:08
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	2	$93	384	0	+384	No	-$93	02-07 05:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:45 UTC	2	$92	47	47	+0	Up	+$2	02-10 04:01
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	2	$90	81	81	+0	Up	+$70	02-05 21:30
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$85	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	10-27 11:56
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$84	200	200	+0	Yes	+$24	03-06 20:52
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$84	4,919	74	+4,845	Yes	-$34	03-25 11:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:35 UTC	3	$81	59	59	+0	Down	+$36	02-25 03:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 04:30 UTC	3	$81	118	51	+67	Down	+$8	02-10 04:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:00 UTC	7	$79	117	116	+1	Down	+$20	02-06 03:09
ethereum up or down february 7 12am et	3	$75	325	103	+222	Down	+$33	02-07 05:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 21:15 UTC	3	$75	41	40	+0	Up	+$5	02-25 21:20
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:45 UTC	4	$74	54	54	+1	Up	+$2	02-09 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:15 UTC	4	$74	73	72	+1	Down	-$6	02-24 04:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 06:00 UTC	4	$72	73	73	+1	Down	+$33	02-06 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:58:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	204	27¢	$55	0xe0ad5d…
10-27 11:57:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x7f8f61…
10-27 11:56:50	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,025	4¢	$37	0xd069e7…
10-27 05:26:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x595724…
10-27 05:25:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xffc1d0…
10-25 19:39:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x79b0a7…
10-25 19:38:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0dfd9a…
10-23 12:05:12	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,025	5¢	$48	0x687e3a…
10-20 21:45:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x23dacf…
10-11 06:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcfc25a…
10-11 06:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x06658e…
10-11 06:29:35	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 11?	No	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xe095d1…
10-11 06:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x719c22…
10-11 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe25360…
10-11 06:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbe8ad8…
04-05 06:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc6a037…
04-05 06:36:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb40a19…
04-05 06:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4c3f1a…
04-05 06:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc37bae…
04-05 06:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x270904…
04-05 06:22:31	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	102	15¢	$15	0x1de89b…
03-25 11:45:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4,690	0¢	$5	0x9f0dac…
03-23 11:47:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,207	1¢	$14	0x56749f…
03-17 05:20:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	155	26¢	$40	0x04a1c5…
03-17 00:30:43	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 22	No	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0xcf57c7…
03-17 00:23:47	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x6f80d9…
03-12 22:14:29	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	319	6¢	$20	0x2d2087…
03-12 18:53:43	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	SELL	205	10¢	$20	0xd003fa…
03-11 17:15:39	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x4bfac0…
03-10 06:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x431792…
03-10 06:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe805eb…
03-10 05:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcaccdc…
03-10 05:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4a304c…
03-10 05:36:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6d83c0…
03-10 05:34:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x0c2f67…
03-10 05:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf2e009…
03-10 05:20:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0389c1…
03-10 05:18:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbb3235…
03-10 05:18:03	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	205	8¢	$15	0x094b2e…
03-10 03:55:33	bitcoin up or down march 9 11pm et	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06ad8c…
03-10 03:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb4f210…
03-10 03:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x4ad068…
03-10 03:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3ea07f…
03-10 03:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x116f55…
03-09 18:26:21	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xe2a94e…
03-09 13:26:29	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0x30f56d…
03-09 13:25:39	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0xbf2443…
03-09 03:00:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0xf8411e…
03-09 03:00:29	will israel strike lebanon on march 9 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2d9767…
03-09 02:58:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xabd5fe…
03-09 00:03:53	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x92f769…
03-08 23:30:49	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0a438f…
03-08 18:40:21	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xbf15c5…
03-08 17:29:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	469	3¢	$15	0x705c16…
03-08 16:56:21	will iran announce a new supreme leader by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0x8c8c39…
03-08 16:55:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3d12a5…
03-08 16:55:23	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfbbed3…
03-08 16:54:55	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	209	39¢	$82	0xbb3fe2…
03-08 04:55:45	will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x96a227…
03-08 04:54:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x123568…
03-07 14:55:29	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x4014f4…
03-07 03:53:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x6bec93…
03-07 03:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x281c70…
03-07 03:46:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa635a9…
03-07 03:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x95659c…
03-07 01:40:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x40783d…
03-07 01:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x16d9bc…
03-06 20:52:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x56c566…
03-06 16:53:45	will israel strike lebanon on march 9 2026	No	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xb51a0f…
03-06 15:23:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	118	19¢	$22	0x2e2d40…
03-06 05:15:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x8c8182…
03-06 05:15:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0x85b45a…
03-06 04:46:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x76ee3a…
03-06 04:45:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	235	30¢	$70	0x3ff853…
03-06 00:26:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	189	22¢	$42	0x229705…
03-05 23:00:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1590cf…
03-05 23:00:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	69	33¢	$23	0x377b3e…
03-05 21:51:15	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xcac6c9…
03-05 20:30:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x69ee47…
03-05 20:13:03	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0661fa…
03-05 20:00:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xadd70b…
03-05 19:59:37	will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	No	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x89600c…
03-05 19:59:21	will israel strike lebanon on march 7 2026	No	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x038e13…
03-05 19:59:09	will israel strike lebanon on march 6 2026	No	BUY	297	3¢	$10	0x292a64…
03-05 19:58:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	342	34¢	$116	0x580ed3…
03-05 06:03:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xa847bc…
03-05 06:02:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd99f29…
03-04 19:32:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x1d06fa…
03-04 19:27:53	will israel strike lebanon on march 5 2026	No	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0x83418a…
03-04 19:26:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x09da36…
03-04 05:55:05	spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0x46a72d…
03-04 04:30:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	98	31¢	$30	0x7927f0…
03-04 01:48:51	will israel strike lebanon on march 5 2026	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x2a71c8…
03-04 01:48:31	will israel strike lebanon on march 4 2026	No	BUY	506	1¢	$4	0xf91414…
03-03 23:49:49	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	408	1¢	$5	0xbdf223…
03-03 22:21:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xe8beb5…
03-03 22:20:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	109	59¢	$64	0x1b37a5…
03-03 20:47:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xde85f1…
03-03 20:46:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xd92684…
03-03 18:32:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2929ae…