Unnatural-Abacus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$241

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-05 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-02 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-02 12:00
btc updown 4h 1780675200	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-05 16:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 16:22
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-12 02:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-10 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-12 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-12 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-10 10:00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-09 03:11
btc updown 4h 1780660800	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-05 13:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 11:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 12:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 12:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 23:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 15:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 16:05:04	btc updown 4h 1780675200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x088b4d…
06-05 16:04:31	eth updown 4h 1780675200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf202b3…
06-05 13:31:10	btc updown 4h 1780660800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe936d5…
06-05 05:36:03	eth updown 4h 1780632000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7a857f…
06-05 04:47:34	eth updown 4h 1780632000	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2fe3c6…
06-03 07:01:02	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x07916d…
06-02 16:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5dbb81…
06-02 12:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9ca5c5…
06-02 08:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7acee0…
05-28 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd0761d…
05-27 16:01:23	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x254645…
05-21 12:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa0c518…
05-21 12:12:06	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1bc277…
05-21 11:00:18	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda5300…
05-21 10:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xad6939…
05-20 12:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6a4cdb…
05-20 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe2cc9a…
05-20 12:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x51afa1…
05-20 12:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x123a40…
05-20 11:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc50cc5…
05-20 10:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaac249…
05-20 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa5364f…
05-20 09:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x982ab0…
05-20 09:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x61c941…
05-20 09:02:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba0498…
05-20 08:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd7e9f3…
05-20 07:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5118e…
05-20 07:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2e6c44…
05-19 04:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe6cf8…
05-19 03:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x609643…
05-18 07:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x20963e…
05-18 06:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7c624…
05-18 06:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x60e645…
05-18 06:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73ad45…
05-18 05:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3de7d1…
05-18 05:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55da9b…
05-18 03:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9f1efb…
05-18 02:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xb2ec0b…
05-18 02:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9d9c24…
05-18 02:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2d40d…
05-17 12:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xccd1ce…
05-17 12:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7093d5…
05-17 12:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa411b0…
05-17 11:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ad629…
05-17 11:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9f3a0…
05-17 10:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77e7dd…
05-17 10:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb62ff4…
05-17 10:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8245cb…
05-17 06:00:27	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01fd40…
05-17 06:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1c3712…
05-17 05:59:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1ee32…
05-17 05:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8e83fd…
05-17 05:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x761a59…
05-17 04:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1abd9f…
05-17 02:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c4d30…
05-17 01:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe75620…
05-17 01:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xb12764…
05-17 01:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc792c2…
05-17 00:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb02c63…
05-17 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78d412…
05-17 00:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x743945…
05-16 23:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc836a5…
05-16 23:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x179c62…
05-16 22:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x364e65…
05-16 19:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3281b2…
05-16 18:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfbf9cd…
05-16 16:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xceb3d1…
05-16 16:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x541405…
05-16 16:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b8d69…
05-16 15:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d4b39…
05-16 15:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c8d1e…
05-16 15:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0de394…
05-16 15:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x488e12…
05-16 15:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x379123…
05-16 15:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe261b9…
05-16 15:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5ac21a…
05-16 15:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc54187…
05-16 15:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8b613a…
05-16 14:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9cc7bb…
05-16 12:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x117ec4…
05-16 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc2279f…
05-16 11:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x379e66…
05-16 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f74b8…
05-16 11:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3aec80…
05-16 11:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8d4777…
05-14 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x25aa3c…
05-14 07:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5cb62a…
05-14 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x178fd6…
05-14 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd62b93…
05-14 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf34210…
05-12 03:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfaa7ec…
05-12 02:50:12	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x762b18…
05-12 02:50:10	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd6fd0…
05-12 02:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x289d21…
05-10 12:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb9b65a…
05-10 10:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x1038d7…
05-10 09:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x4c58d0…
05-09 16:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x050a5b…
05-09 16:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xcd0b37…
05-09 16:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x831b56…