Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-28 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 89% -$13

Other

6% 25% -$1

Politics

5% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	8	$40	55	55	+0	open	—	09-29 09:19
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$36	105	105	+0	open	—	09-29 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	10-27 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Up	+$1	10-27 08:03
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$31	46	46	+0	open	—	09-29 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	10-27 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	10-27 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$29	31	0	+31	Down	+$2	10-27 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$12	16	0	+16	Up	-$12	10-26 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	10-26 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	10-26 04:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	2	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	09-29 06:10
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	09-29 06:10
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	09-29 06:11
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	2	$10	59	59	+0	Yes	-$1	09-29 06:09
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	4	$10	44	44	+0	open	—	09-29 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	-$10	10-26 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-26 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	10-26 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-26 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	10-26 13:09
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	10-26 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	10-26 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	10-26 11:53
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	2	$9	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	10-26 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	10-26 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	10-26 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	10-26 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd03f6…
10-28 01:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd19e6e…
10-28 01:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc94d76…
10-28 00:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ef85a…
10-27 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd82317…
10-27 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb5d4af…
10-27 19:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdf97e7…
10-27 17:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7377fd…
10-27 17:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1aeb8…
10-27 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x31bab1…
10-27 16:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaba832…
10-27 16:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3b5171…
10-27 08:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0xebe1cb…
10-27 08:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x4d10b2…
10-27 07:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x985912…
10-27 05:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x29cc3c…
10-27 03:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xf43591…
10-27 02:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe2a37f…
10-27 02:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x751265…
10-27 02:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x98818e…
10-27 02:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2b9171…
10-27 01:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45a0b2…
10-27 01:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x815dc8…
10-27 01:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf918a5…
10-26 14:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x58807f…
10-26 14:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb21662…
10-26 14:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x03bf65…
10-26 13:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x7c97df…
10-26 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x470e2a…
10-26 13:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x506dfc…
10-26 13:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x38d66e…
10-26 13:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xe067ea…
10-26 12:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb53c06…
10-26 12:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3658b6…
10-26 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3801f4…
10-26 08:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x583651…
10-26 08:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x3bedc5…
10-26 07:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0ffa8d…
10-26 07:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x87fd6c…
10-26 06:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3c4146…
10-26 06:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8913ad…
10-26 04:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x26c6c9…
10-26 04:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x18197a…
10-26 03:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe317ec…
10-26 03:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xaa4f10…
10-26 03:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1a934f…
10-26 02:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x714779…
10-26 02:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x816795…
10-26 02:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x71af89…
10-26 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76dcd0…
10-26 02:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa287c0…
09-30 02:07:56	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x57a459…
09-30 02:07:47	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x90d5b1…
09-29 13:32:18	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	17¢	$10	0x8a5e5a…
09-29 13:32:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	33¢	$13	0xc225c5…
09-29 09:50:50	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x85a35a…
09-29 09:25:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x154dd8…
09-29 09:19:53	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x270a43…
09-29 09:19:39	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x52e1a5…
09-29 09:18:51	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x3fb851…
09-29 09:18:44	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x560565…
09-29 09:18:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xb57ad6…
09-29 09:18:27	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x7bd43c…
09-29 09:18:08	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x0ec2bc…
09-29 08:21:50	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x4488be…
09-29 08:19:06	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x8a4d45…
09-29 07:39:23	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xb1c007…
09-29 07:27:48	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x58c861…
09-29 06:42:38	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x8c765b…
09-29 06:22:47	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x053440…
09-29 06:22:44	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6748cd…
09-29 06:13:33	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x5aacb0…
09-29 06:13:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x923e9f…
09-29 06:13:14	Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xe2ab54…
09-29 06:13:05	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x87a72a…
09-29 06:12:59	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x845022…
09-29 06:12:51	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	77	5¢	$4	0xff396d…
09-29 06:12:44	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xb09165…
09-29 06:11:14	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xe51809…
09-29 06:11:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x22cd7c…
09-29 06:11:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x6f35c2…
09-29 06:10:51	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xadca70…
09-29 06:10:44	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x703e00…
09-29 06:10:33	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xb5de55…
09-29 06:09:21	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	No	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xec678e…
09-29 03:16:51	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x00d554…
09-29 02:58:21	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2e0b1c…
09-29 02:55:57	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x59d950…
09-29 02:53:53	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0xe39e38…
09-29 02:52:53	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	No	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x31e457…
09-29 02:49:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xb44bee…
09-29 02:49:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa9c895…
09-29 02:41:24	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x143cee…
09-29 02:40:50	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x3ee7c0…
09-29 02:33:12	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xcd3540…
09-29 02:22:41	Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xd81130…
09-29 02:22:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x135727…
09-29 02:20:05	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0x4e01c7…
09-29 02:12:14	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xf3b03f…
09-29 01:25:27	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x811910…