Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved
606
Trades
1,228
lifetime
Volume
$16.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
67% 81% +$185
Politics
16% 80% -$43
Sports
15% 87% -$97
Tech
1% 75% +$2
Crypto
1% 78% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +126 $126 100¢ $126 $0 09-04 14:20
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 $0 09-04 10:12
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +88 $88 100¢ $88 +$0 09-09 22:59
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +90 $87 94¢ $84 -$3 09-14 01:10
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +71 $70 100¢ $71 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +65 $64 100¢ $64 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +64 $62 98¢ $63 +$2 09-13 17:34
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +65 $63 98¢ $63 +$1 09-13 21:15
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 $0 09-08 12:32
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $58 100¢ $59 +$0 09-09 23:15
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +55 $55 99¢ $54 $0 09-07 23:27
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? No +55 $54 99¢ $54 +$1 09-04 13:56
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +54 $54 99¢ $53 $0 09-08 12:47
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +53 $53 100¢ $53 +$0 09-13 17:36
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 09-14 21:13
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +47 $45 100¢ $47 +$2 09-18 01:02
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-07 23:18
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 $0 09-13 21:16
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +38 $37 99¢ $37 +$0 09-09 13:16
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $38 90¢ $36 -$2 09-13 00:56
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +33 $33 94¢ $31 -$2 09-13 03:26
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 96¢ $31 -$1 09-13 00:54
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 09-09 13:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +101 $20 29¢ $29 +$9 09-13 21:11
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 $0 09-13 00:50
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 97¢ $24 +$1 09-13 21:16
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 09-14 03:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +28 $25 83¢ $23 -$2 09-01 18:04