Stormy-Rethinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

399

Trades

997

lifetime

Volume

$9.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-14 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

53% 56% -$8

Politics

42% 53% -$37

Crypto

3% 73% -$64

Sports

1% 40% +$11

Tech

1% 50% -$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	2	$690	617	617	+0	Yes	+$542	07-04 23:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	40	$546	701	701	+0	Yes	-$29	06-20 03:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	35	$459	729	729	+0	Yes	-$25	06-20 20:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$259	219	219	+0	No	+$8	06-19 23:14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	11	$230	243	243	+0	Yes	+$78	06-18 00:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	6	$229	221	221	+0	Ann Li	+$29	05-05 18:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	22	$179	180	180	+0	No	+$8	06-15 00:17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	14	$140	354	354	+0	No	-$14	06-17 04:13
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	14	$119	81	81	+0	Yes	+$4	06-09 18:39
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	3	$109	789	478	+311	No	-$33	07-04 17:28
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	11	$106	106	106	+0	Yes	-$21	06-17 19:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$95	133	133	+0	No	-$5	07-04 17:25
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	2	$86	375	375	+0	No	-$4	07-05 20:08
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?	2	$86	391	391	+0	No	$0	07-06 00:58
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?	2	$82	554	80	+474	No	-$62	07-06 00:39
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	13	$81	102	69	+33	No	-$8	06-21 20:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$80	259	259	+0	No	$0	06-17 16:46
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	10	$78	45	45	+0	No	+$1	06-13 18:19
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?	1	$74	740	0	+740	No	-$74	07-04 17:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	9	$74	42	42	+0	No	-$1	06-11 14:00
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	1	$73	1,043	0	+1,043	No	-$73	07-05 14:58
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	7	$73	61	37	+24	No	+$10	06-11 16:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$72	42	42	+0	No	+$2	06-24 04:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$67	46	46	+0	No	-$7	06-14 20:35
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	3	$65	69	69	+0	No	-$10	06-16 01:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	5	$64	44	44	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 20:45
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	6	$64	193	193	+0	No	-$10	06-26 17:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	3	$63	143	43	+100	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$21	05-07 16:07
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$58	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	06-19 09:07
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$57	269	269	+0	Yes	-$17	07-01 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 04:46:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xad0852…
07-14 04:46:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x5cb4bc…
07-14 04:45:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x37c943…
07-14 04:45:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x72eab3…
07-14 04:45:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe4c751…
07-14 04:44:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x2f44bf…
07-14 04:44:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xbace50…
07-14 04:44:35	Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x52760b…
07-14 04:44:13	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x0b220f…
07-14 04:42:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x96775e…
07-14 04:42:46	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xb3a0e1…
07-14 04:42:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x1a6a19…
07-14 04:42:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xab710a…
07-14 04:42:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xd22805…
07-14 04:42:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x32ccb5…
07-14 04:41:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x2761d8…
07-14 04:41:07	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x2411ed…
07-14 04:40:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x15cfa6…
07-14 04:40:04	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x6302d8…
07-14 04:39:55	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xd43d99…
07-14 04:39:46	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x93fb06…
07-14 04:39:34	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x4a81a0…
07-14 04:39:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0x4e71fa…
07-14 04:39:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	19¢	$16	0xbe3e1a…
07-13 23:36:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x76ee24…
07-13 23:00:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x3e68b3…
07-13 22:21:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xebc124…
07-13 21:43:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x05d3d0…
07-13 21:23:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0577a9…
07-13 21:13:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xc8a67a…
07-13 20:34:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x008cb3…
07-13 18:20:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x452ae1…
07-13 15:14:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xb3417e…
07-13 14:33:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x22bc0a…
07-13 14:28:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x08d439…
07-13 14:02:25	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x9b5baf…
07-13 02:50:55	Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3d1eac…
07-12 19:58:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1cde9f…
07-12 15:37:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xae279b…
07-12 05:03:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc8fc14…
07-12 00:52:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x75feec…
07-11 18:17:11	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x732d1a…
07-11 17:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x8cdbe9…
07-11 15:43:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5a4563…
07-11 12:38:17	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xdab4dc…
07-11 10:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xe14882…
07-11 09:54:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeb2866…
07-10 15:10:08	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0xce340a…
07-10 15:07:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x939714…
07-10 11:16:49	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x81e88f…
07-10 10:59:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa6fe51…
07-09 16:44:32	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x3faf88…
07-09 14:28:37	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x2fcb85…
07-09 00:50:40	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x24a5dd…
07-09 00:36:29	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe113a4…
07-09 00:21:40	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x39f5ac…
07-08 23:23:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe130a5…
07-08 19:32:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x60565d…
07-08 16:15:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x0ab131…
07-08 16:11:44	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x735b7b…
07-08 10:06:14	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x47a1e3…
07-08 03:13:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xb9d220…
07-08 03:08:59	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x0120fe…
07-08 02:02:44	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe9f118…
07-08 01:17:16	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0d2f87…
07-07 22:20:35	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x85f9f1…
07-07 20:34:59	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x7f2005…
07-07 03:32:35	will trump say affordable or affordability in july 20260629200910971	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdef299…
07-07 02:23:58	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x586a7a…
07-06 16:06:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x292dbe…
07-06 16:02:07	will trump say future president in july 20260629200910961	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd11e03…
07-06 12:18:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8d7b83…
07-06 12:18:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x552fc9…
07-06 11:22:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcc0c0c…
07-06 00:58:07	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?	Yes	SELL	391	11¢	$43	0xe38f3d…
07-06 00:39:32	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x396ba8…
07-05 20:08:17	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	375	11¢	$41	0x872239…
07-05 15:16:23	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	554	13¢	$72	0x2715cd…
07-05 15:15:44	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	269	16¢	$43	0xca21bd…
07-05 15:15:10	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	391	11¢	$43	0x038b83…
07-05 15:14:37	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	1,483	3¢	$43	0x50700e…
07-05 15:02:22	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	375	12¢	$45	0x63d926…
07-05 15:00:17	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	321	14¢	$45	0xfcac28…
07-05 14:59:20	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	409	11¢	$45	0x79ccaa…
07-05 14:58:17	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,043	7¢	$73	0xb30cea…
07-05 14:57:37	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	900	5¢	$45	0x7c857f…
07-05 06:59:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x44902b…
07-04 23:39:14	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe6b980…
07-04 23:06:23	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	SELL	617	100¢	$616	0x764388…
07-04 22:14:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x7392bc…
07-04 17:28:46	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	1,167	2¢	$28	0x8eab03…
07-04 17:28:31	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	311	9¢	$28	0xe29222…
07-04 17:27:55	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	SELL	478	8¢	$38	0x4c6742…
07-04 17:27:19	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	478	9¢	$43	0x8b26b2…
07-04 17:25:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9aa698…
07-04 17:25:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xa84721…
07-04 17:25:11	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0cd960…
07-04 17:24:35	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	740	10¢	$74	0xbadfba…
07-04 17:24:04	will trump say world war during tribute to america rally 20260630160620573	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x9fc0c5…
07-04 17:23:53	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x8040f2…