Stormy-Rethinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

719

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-14 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

42% 44% +$6

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	39	$527	646	701	-55	open	—	06-20 03:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	32	$421	670	698	-28	open	—	06-20 20:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	15	$243	219	190	+30	open	—	06-19 23:14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	6	$229	221	221	+0	Ann Li	+$29	05-05 18:58
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	21	$167	180	166	+14	open	—	06-15 00:17
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	11	$106	106	106	+0	open	—	06-17 19:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$95	133	133	+0	open	—	07-04 17:25
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	7	$73	61	37	+24	open	—	06-11 16:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	9	$71	45	37	+7	open	—	06-11 00:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	8	$69	37	42	-6	open	—	06-11 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$67	36	42	-6	open	—	06-24 04:50
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	6	$64	193	193	+0	open	—	06-26 17:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	3	$63	143	43	+100	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$21	05-07 16:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$60	140	259	-119	open	—	06-17 16:46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$58	41	41	+0	open	—	06-19 09:07
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$57	269	269	+0	open	—	07-01 14:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	7	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	06-16 19:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$54	40	37	+3	open	—	06-14 20:27
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$51	22	44	-22	open	—	06-14 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	05-21 16:46
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	5	$49	38	38	+0	open	—	07-13 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$48	58	0	+58	open	—	05-21 15:12
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	5	$45	35	35	+0	open	—	06-09 22:46
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	3	$45	48	30	+17	open	—	06-14 19:37
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	06-27 20:28
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	06-11 17:48
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	06-18 11:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	3	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	06-14 05:21
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	6	$42	37	37	+0	open	—	06-30 14:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	06-16 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 04:46:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xad0852…
07-14 04:45:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x37c943…
07-14 04:45:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe4c751…
07-14 04:44:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x2f44bf…
07-14 04:44:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xbace50…
07-14 04:44:13	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x0b220f…
07-14 04:42:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x96775e…
07-14 04:42:46	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xb3a0e1…
07-14 04:42:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xd22805…
07-14 04:42:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x32ccb5…
07-14 04:41:07	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x2411ed…
07-14 04:40:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x15cfa6…
07-14 04:40:04	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x6302d8…
07-14 04:39:55	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xd43d99…
07-14 04:39:46	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x93fb06…
07-14 04:39:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0x4e71fa…
07-14 04:39:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	19¢	$16	0xbe3e1a…
07-13 23:36:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x76ee24…
07-13 23:00:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x3e68b3…
07-13 22:21:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xebc124…
07-13 21:43:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x05d3d0…
07-13 21:23:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0577a9…
07-13 21:13:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xc8a67a…
07-13 20:34:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x008cb3…
07-13 18:20:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x452ae1…
07-13 15:14:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xb3417e…
07-13 14:33:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x22bc0a…
07-13 14:28:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x08d439…
07-13 14:02:25	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x9b5baf…
07-12 19:58:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1cde9f…
07-12 15:37:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xae279b…
07-12 05:03:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc8fc14…
07-12 00:52:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x75feec…
07-11 18:17:11	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x732d1a…
07-11 17:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x8cdbe9…
07-11 12:38:17	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xdab4dc…
07-11 10:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xe14882…
07-11 09:54:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeb2866…
07-10 15:10:08	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0xce340a…
07-10 15:07:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x939714…
07-10 11:16:49	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x81e88f…
07-10 10:59:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa6fe51…
07-09 14:28:37	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x2fcb85…
07-09 00:36:29	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe113a4…
07-08 23:23:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe130a5…
07-08 19:32:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x60565d…
07-08 16:15:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x0ab131…
07-08 16:11:44	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x735b7b…
07-08 10:06:14	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x47a1e3…
07-08 03:08:59	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x0120fe…
07-08 02:02:44	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe9f118…
07-07 22:20:35	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x85f9f1…
07-07 20:34:59	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x7f2005…
07-07 03:32:35	will trump say affordable or affordability in july 20260629200910971	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdef299…
07-06 16:02:07	will trump say future president in july 20260629200910961	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd11e03…
07-04 23:39:14	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe6b980…
07-04 22:14:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x7392bc…
07-04 17:25:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9aa698…
07-04 17:25:11	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0cd960…
07-04 17:24:04	will trump say world war during tribute to america rally 20260630160620573	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x9fc0c5…
07-04 17:23:53	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x8040f2…
07-04 17:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0xfadb37…
07-04 14:45:52	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xb12e7a…
07-04 02:40:20	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0b300d…
07-03 20:36:59	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x93c205…
07-03 15:28:58	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xc1c36f…
07-03 11:43:17	cs2 b8 all 2026 07 03	B8	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7cd474…
07-03 09:00:20	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe143d2…
07-03 08:39:31	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x782898…
07-03 07:27:17	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8baa4a…
07-02 22:26:46	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x90f08c…
07-02 16:35:29	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x604afa…
07-02 15:43:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xd5d1f9…
07-02 10:57:52	cs2 lg6 lvg 2026 07 02	Luminosity	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x259825…
07-02 07:50:07	cs2 3dmax eye 2026 07 02	EYEBALLERS	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x79dbb2…
07-02 07:49:37	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x46cad4…
07-02 06:21:13	will trump say new york during tribute to america rally 20260630160620574	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x1ab910…
07-02 04:16:07	will trump say new york during tribute to america rally 20260630160620574	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x4b3088…
07-02 03:20:37	will trump say moon during tribute to america rally 20260630160620561	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xd4d4ce…
07-02 00:02:11	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x01e136…
07-01 21:23:55	will trump say roof this week 20260626175002251	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd57c8a…
07-01 20:13:22	will trump say world war during tribute to america rally 20260630160620573	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x52194b…
07-01 19:54:07	will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbddb08…
07-01 19:42:31	will trump say affordable or affordability in july 20260629200910971	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd21b39…
07-01 19:08:52	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaef935…
07-01 18:29:13	will trump say roosevelt during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547086	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0f824e…
07-01 17:44:40	cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	BIG	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x78cba2…
07-01 16:23:19	cs2 big5 lvg 2026 07 01	BIG	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd5cfa8…
07-01 15:50:49	cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	Team Nemesis	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf24819…
07-01 15:10:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x1eefdb…
07-01 14:16:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x414f86…
07-01 14:14:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8bb8a8…
07-01 14:09:58	cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 07 01	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x41ee82…
07-01 10:55:35	cs2 9z eye 2026 07 01	9z	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd9fc81…
07-01 10:19:29	cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x037ec8…
07-01 09:43:13	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	T1	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x341599…
07-01 09:35:43	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xd76d50…
07-01 08:40:28	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc90fb7…
07-01 08:34:01	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xa0eb65…
07-01 07:57:44	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	T1	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdf951e…