Plaintive-Nibble — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,710 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.86K

$123.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-07 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Other

81% 58% -$1,289

Sports

17% 64% +$254

Politics

1% 60% +$5

Crypto

0% 56% -$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	3	$1.5K	767	767	-0	No	-$16	10-31 02:41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$1.5K	791	791	+0	No	+$3	11-05 17:20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	36	$1.4K	754	754	+0	Yes	+$36	10-30 12:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$1.4K	737	737	+0	No	+$36	11-04 03:56
nba lac sac 2026 04 05	2	$1.4K	725	724	+1	Clippers	+$18	04-06 03:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	3	$1.4K	739	739	+0	No	+$13	11-07 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	12	$1.4K	742	742	+0	No	+$19	10-28 14:26
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	2	$1.2K	634	632	+2	Lucknow Super Giants	+$69	04-05 15:46
lol g2 th 2026 04 04	2	$1.1K	547	547	+0	G2 Esports	+$16	04-04 16:54
cs2 g2 bb3 2026 04 04	2	$1.1K	537	537	+0	G2	+$15	04-04 19:49
cs2 mglz bcg 2026 04 04	2	$1.0K	532	531	+0	TheMongolz	+$15	04-04 14:49
lol t1a nsea 2026 04 07	4	$1.0K	743	741	+2	T1 Academy	-$337	04-07 10:35
lol drx dk 2026 04 04	2	$1.0K	513	512	+1	Dplus KIA	+$20	04-04 12:46
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	3	$1.0K	513	512	+1	No	+$22	04-07 07:32
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	2	$971	494	493	+0	Spurs	+$16	04-07 02:34
cs2 b8 wc1 2026 04 04	2	$961	494	493	+1	B8	+$25	04-04 11:40
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	2	$947	478	478	+0	Cavaliers	+$9	04-07 02:18
lol wb al 2026 04 04	2	$892	471	469	+1	Anyone's Legend	+$47	04-04 11:17
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	2	$878	446	446	+0	Magic	+$12	04-04 02:46
lol we nip 2026 04 04	2	$874	440	440	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$5	04-04 12:56
cs2 prv fut 2026 04 06	2	$869	443	442	+0	FUT Esports	+$15	04-06 17:12
nba atl bkn 2026 04 03	2	$858	434	433	+0	Hawks	+$9	04-04 02:13
nba chi nyk 2026 04 03	2	$829	426	426	+1	Knicks	+$20	04-04 00:30
cs2 fut ice 2026 04 04	2	$826	425	424	+1	FUT Esports	+$22	04-04 09:37
lol tes ig1 2026 04 04	2	$789	403	403	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$16	04-04 09:09
cs2 g2 gl1 2026 04 03	3	$742	377	377	+0	G2	+$4	04-03 21:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	9	$734	757	0	+757	No	+$23	11-01 10:40
cs2 hero nip 2026 04 03	2	$729	370	369	+0	Heroic	+$9	04-03 16:23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	1	$714	729	0	+729	No	+$15	11-06 06:29
cs2 nrg eye 2026 04 06	2	$687	375	373	+2	EYEBALLERS	+$60	04-06 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 05:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	739	97¢	$716	0xc9a81d…
11-07 03:37:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0xfee5b3…
11-07 03:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	656	95¢	$623	0xe444f0…
11-06 09:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x0b1064…
11-06 06:29:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	729	98¢	$714	0xba3ad1…
11-05 20:45:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xef6eb8…
11-05 17:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	791	93¢	$739	0x2c6133…
11-05 14:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x750e29…
11-05 14:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	753	93¢	$700	0x9eab2f…
11-04 03:56:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	737	100¢	$736	0x7965d3…
11-04 02:54:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0x67daaf…
11-03 08:22:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0x71e6ba…
11-03 08:00:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	737	95¢	$700	0xfa996c…
11-01 10:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x32b3f4…
11-01 10:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x4e0307…
11-01 10:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xb679fe…
11-01 10:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb793b6…
11-01 10:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x095cdc…
11-01 10:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xd6def1…
11-01 10:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x6d0058…
11-01 10:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd217c1…
11-01 10:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x89d3a1…
10-31 02:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	767	96¢	$735	0x40ea9a…
10-31 01:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	221	98¢	$216	0x1536e1…
10-31 01:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	546	98¢	$535	0x01307a…
10-30 16:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	95¢	$156	0xf1dc15…
10-30 12:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x067c68…
10-30 12:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xf17d09…
10-30 12:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5caa5c…
10-30 12:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x005dc2…
10-30 12:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc4260e…
10-30 12:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd0dade…
10-30 12:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x67caea…
10-30 12:49:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x8b526f…
10-30 12:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xfd4398…
10-30 12:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xccebaf…
10-30 12:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x1b7ff4…
10-30 12:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x7fbab1…
10-30 12:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x168ea8…
10-30 12:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8d54c0…
10-30 12:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd68591…
10-30 12:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xc30121…
10-30 12:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xfdc2e2…
10-30 12:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xaecfe4…
10-30 12:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x9cdf05…
10-30 12:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8cd504…
10-30 12:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc1f2b5…
10-30 12:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6756bf…
10-30 12:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x345643…
10-30 12:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1f741d…
10-30 12:30:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x070ed5…
10-30 12:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x08fc6a…
10-30 12:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x98eae3…
10-30 12:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa16f19…
10-30 12:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc81535…
10-30 05:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x6d8fe0…
10-29 05:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xcf9d43…
10-29 05:35:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x54b89d…
10-28 15:50:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbe149c…
10-28 15:40:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	94¢	$102	0x24b9b0…
10-28 15:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0x391022…
10-28 14:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x192ee6…
10-28 14:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe30a83…
10-28 14:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0xfe3048…
10-28 14:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	93¢	$233	0x8a6d4d…
10-28 14:41:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0x83b3ca…
10-28 14:41:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xc98381…
10-28 14:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	742	96¢	$713	0xce1cef…
10-28 08:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0xe22ec0…
10-28 08:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0xcbbce9…
10-28 00:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	136	95¢	$129	0x34bb5c…
10-28 00:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfe0574…
10-28 00:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x89f9c4…
10-28 00:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xfaecff…
10-28 00:40:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x38d1c0…
10-28 00:39:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x08dfe6…
10-28 00:39:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x7a95ec…
10-28 00:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd93fc3…
10-28 00:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	356	94¢	$334	0x998967…
10-27 09:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x9ef108…
10-26 20:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa46450…
10-26 20:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x608f06…
10-25 02:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x1da252…
10-25 02:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x1f02d8…
10-24 02:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x47a2f1…
10-24 02:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xb097c9…
10-24 02:30:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x87dd22…
10-24 02:30:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x47f584…
10-24 02:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x550b0e…
10-24 02:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x74e1ba…
10-24 02:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x871942…
10-24 02:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xf8e9a6…
10-23 02:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x006fb2…
10-23 02:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x308b7b…
10-22 01:42:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x436e9a…
10-22 01:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xa7cf03…
10-21 18:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x1ec9cb…
10-21 18:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$3	0x555c2e…
10-21 00:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x4007d1…
10-21 00:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	22¢	$25	0x29a708…