Mean-Treasure-Kingdom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$5.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 08-22 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

74% 39% $-29

Other

19% 33% +$129

Sports

7% 100% +$19

Crypto

0% 0% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	4	$908	593	593	+0	open	—	08-19 06:04
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	13	$819	808	757	+51	No	+$37	06-14 19:09
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	3	$367	244	244	+0	No	+$87	07-24 09:22
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$319	276	276	+0	Yes	+$15	06-07 19:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$244	152	152	+0	No	+$44	06-20 17:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	2	$241	143	143	+0	No	+$41	07-02 15:38
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	2	$230	143	143	+0	open	—	08-22 21:26
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	2	$228	132	132	+0	No	+$28	07-09 14:52
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$226	127	127	+0	No	+$26	06-14 13:27
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$222	124	124	+0	No	+$22	06-28 11:45
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	2	$221	440	57	+383	open	—	08-16 17:01
will the announcers say var during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716373	2	$218	119	119	+0	Yes	+$18	07-14 19:43
will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	2	$201	119	119	+0	Yes	+$1	07-15 20:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	3	$141	363	363	+0	No	$-69	07-20 13:05
israel closes its airspace by june 12	5	$130	588	588	+0	No	$-82	06-11 01:11
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$98	164	164	+0	Yes	$-2	06-07 19:21
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$86	71	71	+0	Yes	$-14	06-05 11:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$78	126	126	+0	No	$-22	06-08 15:17
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$71	96	96	+0	Yes	$-29	06-02 11:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	4	$63	351	114	+236	open	—	08-19 15:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$57	91	91	+0	Yes	$-3	06-04 10:02
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	5	$48	106	106	+0	Yes	$-12	05-28 08:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$43	56	56	+0	No	+$23	05-22 21:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$37	214	214	+0	No	$-3	06-16 00:30
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$35	56	56	+0	No	$-5	06-10 23:10
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3	$35	100	100	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$31	05-28 12:55
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	4	$34	49	49	+0	No	+$10	06-14 18:55
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	3	$33	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$33	0	83	-83	No	+$33	05-31 15:04
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	2	$31	66	66	+0	No	$-9	06-11 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 21:26:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0x569b8c…
08-20 11:05:07	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x903cd4…
08-19 15:29:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x994a94…
08-19 06:04:00	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	593	94¢	$558	0x185db7…
08-16 17:02:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc1692f…
08-16 17:01:46	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	SELL	57	36¢	$21	0x09bfe7…
08-16 12:05:28	will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x64eeda…
08-13 18:43:39	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	440	45¢	$200	0xbcab28…
08-09 17:31:30	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	386	65¢	$250	0x3964d9…
08-08 17:39:21	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xad5719…
08-07 11:58:42	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x32786c…
07-29 23:31:12	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	211	0¢	$1	0xf4860f…
07-29 23:31:09	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x5bc5b8…
07-28 13:26:31	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x6af966…
07-28 10:06:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x91bb48…
07-28 08:06:30	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x302689…
07-28 08:05:09	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xfa6c67…
07-28 08:05:07	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0xaf2936…
07-24 16:30:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7d4813…
07-24 09:22:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	244	93¢	$227	0xa49f1b…
07-20 15:28:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0xbe6e75…
07-20 13:05:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	363	10¢	$36	0xb349bb…
07-19 20:17:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 4pt5	Spain	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23ff43…
07-15 21:13:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2c8e90…
07-15 20:55:26	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	Yes	SELL	119	85¢	$101	0x556594…
07-15 10:27:16	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x390284…
07-14 19:43:59	will the announcers say var during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716373	Yes	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x0e1109…
07-14 10:10:31	will the announcers say var during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716373	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x9e0af5…
07-14 00:08:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x1e2593…
07-11 23:44:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5147b7…
07-10 11:29:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	273	1¢	$2	0x420f0c…
07-09 17:47:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	74	14¢	$10	0x4ededb…
07-09 14:52:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	132	97¢	$128	0x24b4af…
07-08 14:40:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x7bbed6…
07-08 10:17:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xa6347d…
07-07 13:44:50	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x10c968…
07-06 22:10:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x54b0bf…
07-02 15:38:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	143	99¢	$141	0xaa22af…
07-01 12:11:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x3f1627…
06-29 14:51:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x232dad…
06-28 11:45:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	124	98¢	$122	0x5a8d39…
06-23 08:29:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x52e79b…
06-20 17:40:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	152	95¢	$144	0x77a013…
06-19 15:08:41	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	SELL	85	14¢	$12	0x648493…
06-19 08:07:38	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x698693…
06-17 15:14:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	101	16¢	$16	0xd14479…
06-16 17:44:17	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xe1c828…
06-16 00:30:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	10¢	$8	0x8e767a…
06-15 19:19:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x6ad13f…
06-15 16:52:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x708b6a…
06-15 15:29:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	184	16¢	$30	0x265a64…
06-15 14:27:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x2417db…
06-15 08:07:24	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x882495…
06-14 20:33:13	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x978879…
06-14 19:09:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	101	17¢	$17	0x79c1aa…
06-14 19:06:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	101	21¢	$21	0x5a52bf…
06-14 18:55:42	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x10180f…
06-14 18:53:39	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x15bbfc…
06-14 18:06:55	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x5ad44b…
06-14 17:30:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x385cc4…
06-14 16:24:19	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x60e989…
06-14 16:11:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x32aa83…
06-14 13:27:54	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0xdc5fc0…
06-14 13:27:51	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x9e30ac…
06-12 06:43:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0xa59b03…
06-11 13:34:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x07fe1e…
06-11 13:24:48	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	66	17¢	$11	0xde834d…
06-11 01:11:58	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0x4bda49…
06-11 01:11:25	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	97	6¢	$6	0x698e92…
06-10 23:10:19	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0xcf2cb4…
06-10 22:52:13	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	97	15¢	$15	0x7e18ab…
06-10 22:35:48	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x8baa9d…
06-10 22:18:25	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x61da81…
06-10 13:30:46	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x639e2e…
06-10 13:04:46	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2cd416…
06-10 10:33:40	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	SELL	559	4¢	$20	0xd15898…
06-09 18:49:37	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	221	23¢	$50	0xab27f1…
06-09 18:10:01	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	338	15¢	$50	0x35352e…
06-08 15:17:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	126	22¢	$28	0xb7dcff…
06-08 12:21:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x3645fc…
06-08 01:23:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	114	62¢	$71	0x54be73…
06-08 01:23:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xa4693c…
06-08 01:23:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0x842215…
06-08 01:23:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	63	62¢	$39	0x415909…
06-08 00:41:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x130c50…
06-07 20:04:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x480785…
06-07 19:49:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	221	52¢	$115	0x93d0b9…
06-07 19:29:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0x484b5d…
06-07 19:21:25	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	61	70¢	$43	0xc582a8…
06-07 19:18:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	250	72¢	$181	0xdeab7d…
06-07 19:14:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x9b6d64…
06-07 19:11:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x0413ee…
06-07 19:06:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	241	62¢	$149	0xa18b45…
06-07 19:02:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	241	62¢	$150	0x8aabe7…
06-07 18:35:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0x91936f…
06-07 12:25:24	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x5be785…
06-07 11:53:06	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	103	5¢	$5	0x8bd540…
06-05 12:01:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x65a0e1…
06-05 12:00:45	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xbcb526…
06-05 11:59:18	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	71	50¢	$36	0xa2f99f…