Realized P&L
+$261
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
47
Trades
149
lifetime
Volume
$5.75K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$571
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 12:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
73% 28% +$445
Other
19% 7% -$178
Sports
8% 33% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,042 $170 18¢ $182 +$12 09-09 00:11
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +32,742 $180 0¢ $115 -$65 10-09 12:39
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,965 $70 1¢ $75 +$5 09-21 20:34
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,720 $100 2¢ $71 -$29 09-21 20:31
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,538 $40 3¢ $39 -$1 10-28 12:35
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 09-22 18:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +107 $30 32¢ $35 +$5 10-26 20:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +108 $30 14¢ $15 -$15 07-19 07:34
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -312 -$2 1¢ $-2 $0 07-23 08:29