Political-Midline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,211

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-10 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 62% $-31

Other

21% 0% $-0

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772923500	10	$1.5K	2,231	2,203	+27	open	—	03-07 22:55
btc updown 15m 1772586900	6	$1.4K	1,102	1,089	+13	open	—	03-04 01:29
btc updown 15m 1772926200	2	$885	935	921	+14	open	—	03-07 23:36
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	2	$662	1,666	1,666	+0	open	—	03-08 09:30
btc updown 15m 1772565300	5	$503	753	685	+68	open	—	03-03 19:28
btc updown 5m 1772569200	2	$464	236	236	+0	open	—	03-03 20:25
btc updown 15m 1772572500	5	$454	507	500	+8	open	—	03-03 21:20
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	2	$377	235	235	+0	open	—	03-07 14:33
btc updown 15m 1772586000	7	$354	695	687	+7	open	—	03-04 01:14
btc updown 15m 1772566200	2	$345	308	303	+5	open	—	03-03 19:38
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	2	$320	200	200	+0	open	—	03-07 21:58
btc updown 15m 1772924400	3	$292	1,192	89	+1,103	open	—	03-07 23:05
btc updown 15m 1772925300	3	$267	670	591	+78	open	—	03-07 23:28
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 cel	2	$243	143	143	+0	open	—	03-06 21:57
btc updown 5m 1772895900	2	$239	260	257	+3	open	—	03-07 15:09
btc updown 15m 1772568900	4	$216	234	231	+3	open	—	03-03 20:18
btc updown 15m 1772884800	4	$213	190	188	+3	open	—	03-07 12:04
lal mad rso 2026 03 07 spread home 1pt5	2	$199	119	119	+0	open	—	03-07 19:42
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	5	$173	1,900	900	+1,000	open	—	03-10 15:16
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	5	$169	95	164	-69	open	—	03-03 14:17
btc updown 5m 1772806200	2	$142	115	114	+2	open	—	03-06 14:11
btc updown 15m 1772894700	6	$135	152	106	+46	open	—	03-07 14:55
btc updown 5m 1772922900	5	$130	187	185	+2	open	—	03-07 22:40
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 3pm et	12	$122	200	199	+2	open	—	03-16 19:47
btc updown 15m 1772564400	7	$119	143	141	+2	open	—	03-03 19:09
bitcoin up or down march 13 12pm et	6	$106	105	104	+2	open	—	03-13 16:45
btc updown 15m 1772584200	2	$104	100	98	+2	open	—	03-04 00:31
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	4	$100	98	98	+0	open	—	03-13 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	7	$99	108	108	+0	Up	$-21	05-09 18:59
btc updown 5m 1772920800	4	$99	69	68	+1	open	—	03-07 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:45:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x2533a3…
05-10 15:48:20	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x06481a…
05-10 10:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x24fd6b…
05-10 10:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdbd711…
05-10 10:39:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0xf82a24…
05-09 23:56:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xabf684…
05-09 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	86¢	$16	0x5e265d…
05-09 23:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x1799a4…
05-09 23:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x577747…
05-09 23:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb51b52…
05-09 23:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x796f04…
05-09 23:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x92fc7f…
05-09 23:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x87fe27…
05-09 23:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xc7a6f3…
05-09 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x6f403a…
05-09 23:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3926d1…
05-09 23:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0x5e4aa8…
05-09 23:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xd44031…
05-09 23:14:59	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	39	46¢	$18	0x43bc57…
05-09 19:04:40	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x247f28…
05-09 18:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x394bc2…
05-09 18:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd1da5d…
05-09 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x06df44…
05-09 18:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x874821…
05-09 18:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x58c13c…
05-09 18:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	50¢	$19	0xa66367…
05-09 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb1e675…
05-09 18:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x17a3e4…
05-09 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9c909f…
05-09 18:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xbe723d…
05-09 18:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x61359e…
05-07 22:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xca6766…
05-07 22:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xa8815c…
05-07 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8af90b…
05-07 22:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x15207a…
05-07 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0e97cf…
05-07 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0a1dcd…
05-07 22:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x4053e1…
05-07 22:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x760cce…
05-07 22:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x27ce5f…
05-07 22:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x4a7078…
05-07 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xcbf9c4…
05-07 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x0cd03c…
05-07 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x8d1198…
05-07 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x509404…
05-06 20:18:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x8c77e2…
05-06 19:31:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xb46db7…
05-06 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0xfa5cee…
05-06 18:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0xd201d7…
04-28 12:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x25aa0f…
04-28 12:46:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd95220…
04-27 00:10:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x938678…
04-26 23:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb9a1a3…
04-26 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x24b05d…
04-26 23:04:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x62d977…
04-26 20:46:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xe39080…
04-24 18:41:06	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x1c3898…
04-24 15:56:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x6c5beb…
04-24 15:50:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaf2ba9…
04-24 15:03:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd0bd8a…
04-24 15:00:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x9b2b17…
04-24 10:52:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x4caaa5…
04-23 15:51:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x567f46…
04-23 15:50:58	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x01df0e…
04-23 15:47:28	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc59155…
04-23 15:46:22	Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Patrick Kypson	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xc4ceca…
04-23 15:42:48	Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Patrick Kypson	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcaf455…
04-23 15:42:24	Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x95c472…
04-23 15:41:52	Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe91a4f…
04-23 15:39:22	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf8aba4…
04-23 15:39:00	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x2e2105…
04-23 15:38:12	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x173dcf…
04-23 15:34:10	btc updown 15m 1776958200	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x143425…
04-23 15:33:18	btc updown 15m 1776958200	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc3ff55…
04-23 15:32:16	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x875397…
04-23 15:31:22	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe3a126…
04-23 15:31:02	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x63bd08…
04-23 15:29:06	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdf1234…
04-23 15:22:26	btc updown 5m 1776957600	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xfed31b…
04-23 15:21:36	btc updown 5m 1776957600	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe9f10d…
04-23 15:21:22	btc updown 5m 1776957600	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xec344a…
04-23 15:19:40	btc updown 5m 1776957600	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x027173…
04-23 15:16:48	btc updown 5m 1776957300	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x1b81e3…
04-23 15:16:20	btc updown 5m 1776957300	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8cdb2d…
04-23 15:15:32	btc updown 5m 1776957300	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x836773…
04-23 15:15:22	btc updown 5m 1776957300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf19263…
04-23 15:14:54	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x038897…
04-23 15:13:00	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x849045…
04-23 15:12:30	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x8e5352…
04-23 15:10:52	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0f9e80…
04-23 15:10:02	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xa284a4…
04-23 15:09:52	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xb2053b…
04-23 15:09:46	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x42c3c9…
04-23 15:09:34	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xde7978…
04-23 15:09:22	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x74756b…
04-23 15:09:14	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x778c76…
04-23 15:08:28	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x89e7b2…
04-23 15:06:50	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3f93e0…
04-23 15:06:34	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x0fde9a…
04-23 15:06:14	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xd2f2e5…