Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$134

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-11 22:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

80% 58% +$2

Politics

19% 42% $0

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	+7	$2	20¢	$1	-$1	11-11 05:29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	+2	$1	63¢	$1	+$0	11-10 09:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	+1	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	11-11 05:27
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	+4	$1	14¢	$1	$0	11-11 22:36
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	08-18 16:53
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	11-11 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 22:36:12	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2acab7…
11-11 14:35:16	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x27052f…
11-11 05:29:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x69dc99…
11-11 05:29:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5cc2dd…
11-11 05:27:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdd7439…
11-10 09:26:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9f1c2f…
11-10 01:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x806a7b…
11-07 17:10:51	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf70bd4…
11-07 09:10:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc428f3…
11-06 22:53:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x04efd5…
11-06 12:39:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf3f29e…
11-06 01:22:52	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x71f674…
11-05 13:21:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbc4fa1…
11-05 02:47:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0dd37a…
11-04 12:18:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0b6c80…
11-04 03:20:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbafc40…
11-03 18:28:19	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x115ee5…
11-03 07:49:48	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd3f1d0…
11-02 11:49:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3d69a8…
11-02 03:48:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x769fb5…
11-01 19:37:01	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf68b69…
11-01 05:50:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xca48e7…
10-25 09:15:21	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xefddfc…
10-25 00:06:59	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd70ffc…
10-24 00:15:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe51467…
10-23 15:02:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe58dcd…
10-18 17:18:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x394bc9…
10-17 04:26:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe86090…
10-16 17:46:11	spy closes above 765 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa192c8…
10-16 08:18:46	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x440b65…
10-15 12:04:41	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x980149…
10-15 03:57:17	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8d3108…
10-14 19:56:42	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 17	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb2b824…
10-14 11:21:44	will googl reach 365 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x08921f…
10-14 02:35:29	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9aab6a…
10-13 18:28:42	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2a4637…
10-11 09:39:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xecf912…
10-11 01:18:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x061447…
10-10 11:26:45	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcb10b9…
10-09 11:27:39	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0fdc86…
10-09 03:27:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeff975…
10-08 19:27:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb5f1f4…
10-08 09:57:09	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4e2a7d…
10-08 01:17:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x17a65d…
10-07 17:16:58	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf1c2ad…
10-06 20:46:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe82172…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1cf7ae…
10-06 20:45:24	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc9c55…
10-06 12:27:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xecf6ce…
10-06 04:27:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6c5c7c…
10-05 15:08:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x30d9aa…
10-05 00:12:17	will coin dip to 182 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x59e946…
10-02 12:35:56	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x70b3ee…
10-02 03:09:33	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x511368…
10-01 16:31:50	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2e10d2…
10-01 08:31:26	wti closes above 91 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd6b3bb…
09-30 23:36:57	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xffc224…
09-30 13:38:27	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x18b019…
09-30 05:03:26	will wti reach 95 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2a121a…
09-26 07:03:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0c024b…
09-25 22:13:51	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc66e33…
09-25 02:13:39	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa741af…
09-24 15:36:35	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x275a45…
09-21 07:12:29	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc58e7c…
09-20 22:52:17	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x328dfc…
09-20 22:28:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x087ece…
09-19 07:43:24	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa56fd3…
09-14 05:40:33	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x29b13a…
09-13 21:39:22	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x52072a…
09-08 14:33:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe77dd9…
09-07 23:39:25	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1557be…
09-02 17:33:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xeba51e…
09-02 00:16:27	will xagusd reach 67 by august 31 2026 from september 1	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd2416b…
09-01 09:07:09	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x7a822b…
09-01 01:06:27	will spy reach 775 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x4c00e2…
08-30 13:32:10	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0e88ef…
08-29 16:30:40	will coin reach 185 in august 2026 from august 28	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x74abac…
08-29 08:28:39	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb56ac2…
08-24 02:19:36	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x43de2f…
08-18 16:53:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x3c321e…
08-17 20:48:52	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x94267f…
08-17 11:49:25	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xad1183…
08-17 03:45:46	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x635f05…
08-12 17:11:46	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xad978c…
08-12 08:55:07	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2b51fc…
08-12 00:54:40	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd33e58…
08-11 16:53:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc5557b…
08-11 08:36:18	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x53e9bb…
08-11 00:35:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x310eb4…
08-10 14:58:54	will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x8dc27f…
08-10 06:51:52	xagusd up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0fc5ef…
08-09 22:51:22	will nvda reach 236 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xbb93a7…
08-09 14:06:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xedc6f2…
08-09 03:45:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf5a040…
08-08 18:58:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb78806…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	3	$3	9	+9	open	—	11-11 05:29
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 07:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-20 22:28
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-21 07:12
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-07 23:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-02 17:33
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	09-14 05:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-09 14:06
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-13 21:39
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-20 22:52
will nvda reach 236 by august 10 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 22:51
spy up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	08-11 08:36
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 20:48
will spy reach 775 by august 31 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-01 01:06
xagusd up or down on august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-10 06:51
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-11 00:35
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-12 08:55
will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 03:45
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-12 17:11
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-01 09:07
will coin reach 185 in august 2026 from august 28	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	08-29 16:30
will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-12 00:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	08-18 16:53
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-08 18:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-09 03:45
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-29 08:28
will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-10 14:58
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 02:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 16:53
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-30 13:32