Kind-Allegation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$789

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

763

Trades

1,593

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-27 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

86% 36% -$785

Sports

11% 48% -$14

Politics

2% 36% -$3

Crypto

0% 67% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	7	$207	147	118	+28	Yes	+$10	05-29 14:20
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	5	$194	335	503	-168	Yes	-$74	05-24 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 2?	2	$174	115	115	+0	Yes	+$56	09-02 18:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	21	$174	117	117	+0	Yes	+$59	08-31 18:54
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	8	$173	298	244	+54	Yes	+$36	05-14 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 1?	2	$170	109	109	+0	Yes	+$48	09-01 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	10	$157	101	101	+0	Yes	+$41	09-03 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 31?	10	$154	118	118	+0	Yes	+$83	08-31 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?	4	$153	116	116	+0	Yes	+$79	09-01 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 31?	2	$139	118	118	+0	Yes	+$97	08-31 18:54
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$120	70	70	+0	open	—	10-27 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$109	182	182	+0	No	-$19	04-18 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23?	3	$97	67	67	+0	Yes	+$37	09-23 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?	2	$88	73	73	+0	Yes	+$58	09-28 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 29?	2	$86	57	57	+0	Yes	+$27	08-29 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 29?	2	$86	60	60	+0	Yes	+$35	08-29 16:23
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$85	536	536	+0	No	-$37	04-29 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?	7	$81	65	65	+0	Yes	+$49	09-10 18:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10?	2	$79	65	65	+0	Yes	+$51	09-10 18:25
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$79	86	86	+0	No	+$1	05-30 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	3	$75	64	64	+0	Yes	+$52	09-06 20:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	8	$75	56	56	+0	Yes	+$35	08-25 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 13?	6	$73	54	54	+0	Yes	+$36	09-13 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11?	2	$73	50	50	+0	Yes	+$27	09-11 19:45
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	10	$72	356	356	+0	No	+$29	04-28 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 7?	7	$71	50	50	+0	Yes	+$29	09-07 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	2	$69	55	55	+0	Yes	+$40	09-07 16:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?	2	$69	55	55	+0	Yes	+$41	08-25 17:14
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$68	42	42	+0	Yes	+$14	03-01 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 9?	2	$67	45	45	+0	Yes	+$23	09-09 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:07:30	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x54169e…
10-27 19:54:20	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x014cfe…
10-26 17:50:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	150	9¢	$13	0x990988…
10-26 17:38:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	156	8¢	$13	0x7e52b5…
10-25 22:50:14	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd56888…
10-25 20:32:47	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x86fb07…
10-25 20:21:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9895c9…
10-25 15:07:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x4a47cd…
10-25 14:12:03	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4e3f64…
10-24 11:43:21	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0x3c63f5…
10-24 11:43:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x544769…
10-24 11:42:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x487eca…
10-20 20:23:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6cde85…
10-20 20:23:32	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0xcc58ca…
10-20 20:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x72cd40…
10-20 20:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xc10404…
10-20 20:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0a2cd1…
10-20 20:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x36deba…
10-20 19:28:14	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xabb5b1…
10-20 19:21:53	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x42def6…
10-20 19:08:05	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x63f492…
10-18 14:32:29	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x868c89…
10-14 20:15:39	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa69ec…
10-10 17:50:19	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x73fc1f…
10-10 17:46:15	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x081785…
10-10 17:31:27	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x703abb…
10-03 10:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xd2cd92…
10-02 10:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9a201a…
10-02 10:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6d8740…
10-01 21:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xcfa5b9…
10-01 20:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa4354f…
10-01 20:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x01240f…
10-01 20:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe3b89d…
10-01 19:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x55175e…
09-30 20:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x643c50…
09-30 20:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x18e3a3…
09-30 20:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xf357f6…
09-30 20:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xb87001…
09-30 17:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x8e8f0a…
09-30 11:00:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8f2e8a…
09-30 10:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x14854f…
09-30 10:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xeb1ec1…
09-30 10:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xaab1ea…
09-30 10:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xacc919…
09-30 10:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x69c35a…
09-29 20:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xeb47f3…
09-29 20:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb6f72b…
09-29 20:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x1f8eb2…
09-29 20:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xc9f655…
09-29 20:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x9f8893…
09-29 20:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xcfa0fb…
09-29 16:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x8c3fd8…
09-29 16:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x3c7a92…
09-29 11:00:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x0cb230…
09-29 10:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0xbab84f…
09-29 10:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9500ad…
09-29 10:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xd97c10…
09-29 10:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$9	0xb089f5…
09-29 10:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0xbe2b5b…
09-28 21:16:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x01b5d3…
09-28 21:00:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xed5d5c…
09-28 20:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xa012ee…
09-28 20:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x53d8ec…
09-28 20:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x92b93d…
09-28 20:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x0d33dd…
09-28 13:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x7699a0…
09-28 12:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa0d7c3…
09-28 12:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8d797b…
09-28 10:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x2cbca3…
09-27 21:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xd8e2f0…
09-27 21:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	73	20¢	$15	0xc30ce1…
09-27 21:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x4191a9…
09-27 21:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x27b7a0…
09-27 21:00:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x5b91ce…
09-27 20:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4bc619…
09-27 20:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x89d022…
09-27 20:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xbb2135…
09-27 10:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	507	2¢	$8	0x740b7d…
09-27 10:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xe97bed…
09-27 10:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x9dd4fa…
09-27 10:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x4dfd11…
09-26 21:00:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xe9d86c…
09-26 20:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x4c43a1…
09-26 20:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x42c1b9…
09-26 20:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4b1f19…
09-26 20:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x89b225…
09-26 19:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe9f6d6…
09-26 14:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x3657aa…
09-26 14:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xad81b8…
09-26 10:59:53	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xdb26f9…
09-26 10:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x02cb3d…
09-26 10:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xa218fa…
09-26 10:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xb7d721…
09-26 10:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x79ebed…
09-25 21:00:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xb25a68…
09-25 20:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xfa056c…
09-25 20:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x19d0e3…
09-25 20:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x7ec2bf…
09-25 20:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	61	25¢	$15	0x922101…
09-25 20:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x6e2c2a…