Heartfelt-Trolley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.27K

Unrealized P&L

+$242

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

1,160

Trades

1,987

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$742

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-06 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 50% -$935

Other

24% 70% +$41

Politics

5% 56% +$545

Sports

4% 60% +$4,805

Tech

1% 50% -$189

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+758	$500	98¢	$742	+$242	04-30 05:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	33	$3.1K	4,248	3,719	+529	No	-$835	03-08 15:07
googl above 320 on january 30 2026	3	$739	1,081	0	+1,081	Yes	+$341	01-12 14:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$706	385	382	+2	No	+$54	04-30 05:47
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$549	1,109	11	+1,098	No	+$571	03-31 21:57
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$500	758	0	+758	open	—	04-30 05:48
will aapl reach 284 in february	1	$480	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$520	02-11 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$475	266	266	+0	No	+$55	04-30 05:47
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	14	$373	1,575	0	+1,575	Yes	+$1,202	01-14 07:13
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$373	4,008	0	+4,008	Yes	+$3,635	05-06 17:36
will googl dip to 300 in february	1	$340	500	0	+500	Yes	-$340	02-11 09:35
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$319	433	0	+433	Yes	+$115	02-11 09:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$308	400	0	+400	No	+$92	03-08 15:09
googl above 300 on february 27 2026	1	$306	360	0	+360	Yes	+$54	02-11 09:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$301	202	198	+4	Yes	+$99	04-30 05:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$300	380	0	+380	No	+$80	03-08 15:20
googl above 340 on february 27 2026	1	$292	325	0	+325	No	+$33	02-11 09:38
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11 total 44pt5	1	$279	535	0	+535	Under	+$256	01-09 14:29
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$276	394	0	+394	Yes	-$276	02-11 09:15
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	1	$264	711	0	+711	Yes	-$264	03-05 15:43
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$260	400	0	+400	Yes	+$140	03-08 15:09
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	4	$242	450	0	+450	No	+$208	03-04 15:08
googl above 310 on february 27 2026	1	$237	338	0	+338	Yes	+$101	02-11 09:38
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$231	420	0	+420	No	-$231	02-14 21:00
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$228	296	0	+296	Yes	-$228	02-25 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$217	293	0	+293	No	+$76	04-09 17:04
will trump say drill baby drill during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$192	305	0	+305	Yes	-$192	02-24 14:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$191	229	0	+229	Yes	+$38	02-19 16:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$174	207	0	+207	No	+$33	04-10 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$152	202	0	+202	No	+$50	04-10 11:05
xrp up or down january 1 5pm et	8	$150	180	180	+0	Up	-$33	01-01 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 17:36:08	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,008	9¢	$373	0x5904ad…
05-06 17:34:29	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x43ea26…
05-06 17:34:22	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xe69621…
05-06 17:34:18	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x3dd518…
04-30 05:50:14	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0x471221…
04-30 05:48:20	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	455	66¢	$300	0xc1d090…
04-30 05:48:12	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x1a3606…
04-30 05:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	382	99¢	$379	0xaffba1…
04-30 05:47:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x0108ba…
04-30 05:47:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x1bdc0f…
04-10 11:50:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	138	80¢	$110	0xa07c97…
04-10 11:05:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xea73e2…
04-10 11:05:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0x4f853b…
04-10 11:05:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xe2b0dd…
04-10 11:05:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x28ef21…
04-10 11:04:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd09c2a…
04-10 11:04:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	170	75¢	$128	0x82f3d7…
04-10 07:07:09	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xab51b8…
04-10 07:02:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xb50123…
04-10 06:51:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	207	84¢	$174	0x777d86…
04-09 17:06:51	cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x9011c1…
04-09 17:04:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	385	85¢	$327	0x77101d…
04-09 17:04:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	293	74¢	$217	0xadc8bc…
04-09 17:03:59	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x9ef10c…
03-31 21:57:39	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfeb761…
03-29 23:46:12	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	153	74¢	$113	0xf66ef3…
03-29 23:45:54	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x523f9d…
03-10 13:16:01	googl up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	86	55¢	$47	0x47d7cc…
03-09 07:48:09	will gold gc hit low 5000 by end of march	No	BUY	271	46¢	$123	0x5c28d2…
03-09 07:47:27	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of march	No	BUY	32	67¢	$22	0x80db9f…
03-08 15:20:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xd9691f…
03-08 15:10:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	131	54¢	$71	0x607dd4…
03-08 15:09:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xe71cae…
03-08 15:09:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	400	77¢	$308	0xf6106c…
03-08 15:09:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x6b8160…
03-08 15:07:53	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,492	14¢	$205	0xea3f4a…
03-05 15:43:59	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	711	37¢	$264	0x38c51a…
03-05 15:37:49	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0xddc8f0…
03-04 17:27:41	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xddc9a8…
03-04 17:26:41	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x3e0cc7…
03-04 17:26:27	nhl tor nj 2026 03 04	Maple Leafs	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x1576dd…
03-04 15:08:49	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	85	54¢	$46	0x77066c…
03-04 15:00:47	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x1b25d7…
03-04 14:52:35	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	1,109	49¢	$538	0xf82666…
03-04 14:51:25	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	BUY	85	77¢	$65	0x3583be…
03-04 14:50:33	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x3582fd…
03-04 14:50:03	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xcad6ec…
02-25 13:47:56	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	296	77¢	$228	0xff6b4d…
02-24 14:36:46	will trump say drill baby drill during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	305	63¢	$192	0x552784…
02-23 19:25:44	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	109	63¢	$68	0xa2f2f1…
02-23 19:25:06	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	648	35¢	$227	0x7f279f…
02-19 16:29:08	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	229	83¢	$191	0x280380…
02-16 12:59:43	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xbc269b…
02-16 11:26:23	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9ef42b…
02-16 11:24:37	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x0789a2…
02-16 06:39:27	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x6b1337…
02-15 21:45:57	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	145	46¢	$67	0x2b102f…
02-15 20:37:37	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	217	46¢	$100	0xf1e3e9…
02-14 23:25:45	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	25	46¢	$11	0x48500f…
02-14 21:01:21	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	BUY	218	41¢	$89	0x9d3df8…
02-14 21:00:19	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	420	55¢	$231	0xd51017…
02-14 20:54:19	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	217	46¢	$100	0xfcd610…
02-14 20:34:41	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x4abf3d…
02-14 20:33:21	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x138aa2…
02-14 08:14:49	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	87	46¢	$40	0x5af17e…
02-14 06:13:21	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xed8f9a…
02-14 01:34:33	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	731	46¢	$336	0x562a49…
02-13 19:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x250ba9…
02-13 15:47:23	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0x1a948c…
02-13 14:02:17	sp 500 all time high by february 20 2026	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x6dc2fd…
02-13 14:01:53	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	72	37¢	$27	0x0843db…
02-13 14:01:51	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xd0dec1…
02-11 09:39:59	bitcoin up or down february 11 5am et	Up	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0x8f07a4…
02-11 09:38:55	googl above 310 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	338	70¢	$237	0xee2ed9…
02-11 09:38:47	googl above 340 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	325	90¢	$292	0x24ac37…
02-11 09:38:33	googl above 300 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	360	85¢	$306	0x6a032a…
02-11 09:37:27	aapl above 270 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x169722…
02-11 09:37:19	aapl above 280 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	62	70¢	$43	0xfc7108…
02-11 09:36:31	aapl above 290 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x777f77…
02-11 09:36:17	aapl above 260 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf51a27…
02-11 09:35:35	will googl dip to 300 in february	No	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x468f5a…
02-11 09:32:57	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	433	74¢	$319	0xf948be…
02-11 09:32:37	will aapl reach 284 in february	No	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x0a60cf…
02-11 09:15:49	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	143	63¢	$90	0xfa3ca0…
02-11 09:15:39	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x888b12…
02-11 09:15:25	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0xf0dc3f…
02-09 07:24:15	Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x15d619…
02-09 07:24:13	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0x5cd978…
01-14 07:13:22	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	575	24¢	$138	0xc1c306…
01-12 18:30:13	nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	Texans	BUY	138	59¢	$81	0xbe2206…
01-12 15:21:46	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x77f142…
01-12 15:21:40	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x2c9d5c…
01-12 15:21:34	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x596ba9…
01-12 15:21:28	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xd7887e…
01-12 15:21:24	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	71	23¢	$17	0x5ce853…
01-12 15:21:18	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	101	23¢	$24	0x709d44…
01-12 15:21:14	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	144	23¢	$34	0xa36baa…
01-12 15:21:08	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa3a4d5…
01-12 14:37:02	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9720d7…
01-12 14:35:24	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	118	24¢	$28	0xc6601d…