Pricey-Few — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,265

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-09 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

65% 83% $-15

Crypto

22% 100% +$7

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$69	911	911	-0	open	—	02-06 08:33
cwbb char duke 2026 03 20	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-20 14:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 26 2026 25corbelow	5	$48	620	620	+0	open	—	02-25 16:53
highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 11corhigher	9	$47	153	77	+76	open	—	02-14 03:40
will player 195 win beast games season 2 696	4	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	02-24 15:16
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-03 07:47
cwbb gb minnst 2026 03 20	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	03-20 23:00
will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	03-20 21:00
highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 82 83f	2	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	03-23 19:30
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	03-20 04:00
cwbb colst mst 2026 03 20	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	03-21 00:30
will the slovenian democratic party sds win 35 39 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	03-22 16:30
highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 50 51f	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	03-21 14:30
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	03-19 10:00
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	03-23 18:30
mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game2	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 20:00
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	2	$33	20	17	+3	open	—	03-22 19:00
khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	2	$31	20	19	+1	open	—	03-23 15:00
nba uta den 2026 03 27	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	03-28 03:00
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 22 2026 29c	2	$29	21	12	+9	open	—	03-22 14:30
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	7	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	02-12 13:31
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	5	$28	368	368	+0	open	—	02-06 08:32
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	03-24 13:30
mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	2	$26	20	9	+11	open	—	03-20 14:00
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 160 179	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-18 01:08
nyc mayor of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 40 59	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-18 13:05
fif arg zam 2026 03 31 arg	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-31 23:09
nba mil det 2026 04 08	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-08 21:05
highest temperature in milan on april 13 2026 15c	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-13 11:03
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 74forhigher	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-16 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:02:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x409438…
06-09 19:03:40	will trump say ufc this week 20260605142537494	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x4916e5…
06-09 09:02:31	will system be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x4d417f…
06-09 01:03:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xd376d8…
06-08 21:02:48	ethereum above 1500 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xb571b3…
06-08 03:02:52	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xb2a85a…
06-05 21:08:00	ethereum above 1800 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x813dac…
06-04 21:02:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x7694ae…
06-04 09:02:39	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x396c5d…
06-03 03:04:09	2026 the memorial tournament presented by workday top5 kurt kitayama	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x98a9c8…
06-01 23:06:01	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x224677…
06-01 23:04:21	Will Wendy Huang advance from the CA-14 primary election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9e5f60…
06-01 21:05:17	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xf3815d…
06-01 19:07:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0c6813…
06-01 19:06:10	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x319d7b…
06-01 19:05:20	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfdc914…
06-01 15:04:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8a71fb…
06-01 09:07:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8691a3…
05-31 23:06:12	Will Grace Avelli be cast on Love Island UK: Season 13?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x3ff0d8…
05-31 03:06:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xda1a11…
05-28 19:02:26	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xcdbc9a…
05-27 11:04:47	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xb3d9ed…
05-25 05:02:20	Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdbd48f…
05-24 21:02:14	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x330120…
05-24 01:03:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4d8d33…
05-24 01:02:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb9319d…
05-23 15:03:31	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe10a98…
05-23 13:02:58	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb1f890…
05-21 15:02:00	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7cd677…
05-20 11:02:17	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xcac1a9…
05-19 01:03:46	Will Jason Steele be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x50c78a…
05-19 01:02:56	Will SD Eibar achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3a60e2…
05-18 23:05:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x93f9a3…
05-18 21:11:29	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4771ef…
05-18 21:10:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3237e2…
05-18 21:09:46	Will FEARX qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0a417c…
05-18 21:08:06	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4639e2…
05-18 21:06:25	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x817ce6…
05-18 21:05:34	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbd204b…
05-18 21:04:43	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc28689…
05-18 01:01:27	Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd08afa…
05-17 13:01:18	Will Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf1a77f…
05-15 07:00:46	Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6a505b…
05-15 01:01:15	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x19a856…
05-13 19:05:03	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Team Secret Whales	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe70986…
05-10 03:05:06	Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1248ca…
05-09 09:03:06	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Ofner	Sinner	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x93d277…
05-09 05:03:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfff05d…
05-09 03:03:11	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xabf132…
05-07 19:06:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x7be389…
05-07 19:05:54	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2783cc…
05-07 19:05:03	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xadf360…
05-07 03:03:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9e04ec…
05-07 01:03:49	Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 6, 10PM ET?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x1c8bda…
05-05 23:03:58	Will "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xa87a7b…
05-05 19:05:10	Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 5, 4PM ET?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6b6013…
05-04 07:03:16	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x455d4f…
05-03 23:04:28	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1c0384…
05-03 19:05:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa5ee4a…
05-03 01:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x682b01…
05-02 21:03:54	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0bc99c…
05-02 03:03:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0530cb…
05-02 01:04:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4b1799…
05-01 19:05:24	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x17de03…
05-01 13:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb32568…
04-30 19:07:58	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of April?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x6ec533…
04-30 07:06:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf2e9d8…
04-29 23:05:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4da497…
04-29 21:05:46	Bitcoin above 75,000 on April 29, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x808176…
04-29 05:04:34	Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa47595…
04-29 03:04:06	Jiujiang: Aoran Wang vs Alex Bolt	Alex Bolt	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0c68b3…
04-29 01:04:06	Will Ryo Hisatsune finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x57bc58…
04-28 23:04:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Friendship" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x678dd1…
04-27 11:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf8a179…
04-27 07:04:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x09f885…
04-27 03:03:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x477fa5…
04-26 23:03:58	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6f852f…
04-26 03:03:38	Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xec9f72…
04-25 23:03:56	Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x17e1bd…
04-25 11:03:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86f70d…
04-25 07:03:38	Will Russia enter Myrne by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7d34b3…
04-25 05:03:28	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9d9220…
04-25 01:06:02	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc0c992…
04-25 01:05:10	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe505b8…
04-25 01:04:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x13c2dd…
04-24 11:03:44	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x00f9a9…
04-24 07:04:42	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1a34bf…
04-24 05:06:02	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8102f4…
04-24 05:05:12	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x55ce3e…
04-24 03:04:58	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfcf4c3…
04-23 23:04:14	will trump wear a yellow tie today	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xcf5a9e…
04-23 21:06:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb2cf16…
04-23 21:05:16	Will the Rolex Index hit $11,950 (LOW) by April 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xee7c97…
04-23 19:06:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc65e51…
04-23 19:05:10	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x06449f…
04-23 11:04:18	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x60ab91…
04-23 09:03:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x62e5c7…
04-23 05:03:40	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xef4066…
04-22 23:04:02	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe7b77d…
04-22 21:05:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf5baa4…