Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,532
lifetime
Volume
$3.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$1.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-09 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% -$17
Politics
28% 50% -$1
Tech
9% 0% -$6
Sports
5% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$1
Crypto
1% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +155 $116 69¢ $107 -$9 11-08 19:24
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m? No +84 $53 92¢ $77 +$24 11-08 23:10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $64 97¢ $75 +$11 11-03 13:09
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +89 $60 84¢ $75 +$15 11-03 11:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +119 $45 61¢ $72 +$27 11-03 14:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +105 $76 64¢ $67 -$9 11-09 02:44
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +70 $37 82¢ $57 +$20 10-30 16:09
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +81 $51 64¢ $52 +$1 11-03 14:00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +119 $74 39¢ $47 -$28 11-02 23:09
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +150 $37 31¢ $47 +$10 11-08 13:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +55 $28 78¢ $43 +$16 11-03 06:17
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +79 $36 54¢ $42 +$6 11-08 23:04
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +85 $48 46¢ $40 -$9 11-09 01:33
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +100 $29 36¢ $36 +$7 11-09 03:01
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +40 $31 78¢ $31 +$1 11-08 23:45
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +38 $32 80¢ $31 -$1 10-26 20:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +81 $33 36¢ $30 -$3 11-03 13:40
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +35 $24 76¢ $27 +$3 11-02 20:08
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? Yes +35 $5 77¢ $27 +$22 11-07 08:24
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +30 $22 90¢ $27 +$5 11-03 13:57
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 11-03 13:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +30 $20 73¢ $22 +$2 11-02 08:36
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +32 $20 69¢ $22 +$2 11-03 13:59
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $25 73¢ $22 -$3 11-08 19:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $16 66¢ $20 +$3 10-29 23:11
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$6 10-17 13:20
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +20 $16 90¢ $18 +$2 11-03 08:58
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +24 $17 74¢ $18 +$1 11-08 22:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026? No +30 $21 55¢ $16 -$4 11-09 03:19
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +25 $18 62¢ $16 -$2 11-09 01:31