(anonymous) 0x376eef…6d4c04 Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$159
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
318
1,532 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$777
$3.61K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$1.15K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-09 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
56% 42% -$26
Politics
28% 53% -$1
Tech
9% 0% -$6
Sports
5% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$1
Crypto
1% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +155 $116 64¢ $98 -$18 11-08 19:24
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +89 $60 98¢ $87 +$27 11-03 11:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +119 $45 72¢ $86 +$41 11-03 14:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +105 $76 69¢ $73 -$4 11-09 02:44
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +70 $37 92¢ $64 +$27 10-30 16:09
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +150 $37 36¢ $55 +$18 11-08 13:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +81 $51 66¢ $54 +$3 11-03 14:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +55 $28 86¢ $47 +$20 11-03 06:17
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +85 $48 50¢ $42 -$6 11-09 01:33
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +79 $36 50¢ $40 +$4 11-08 23:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +38 $32 96¢ $37 +$5 10-26 20:54
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +40 $31 88¢ $35 +$5 11-08 23:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +119 $74 28¢ $33 -$42 11-02 23:09
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +35 $24 92¢ $32 +$8 11-02 20:08
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +100 $29 31¢ $31 +$2 11-09 03:01
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +30 $24 98¢ $30 +$6 11-03 13:57
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $25 98¢ $29 +$4 11-08 19:23
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +81 $33 34¢ $27 -$5 11-03 13:40
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +30 $22 88¢ $26 +$5 11-03 13:57
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +32 $13 82¢ $26 +$13 11-03 07:23
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? Yes +35 $5 72¢ $25 +$20 11-07 08:24
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +24 $17 96¢ $23 +$6 11-08 22:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +30 $20 74¢ $22 +$2 11-02 08:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $16 72¢ $21 +$5 10-29 23:11
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$6 10-17 13:20
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? Yes +20 $14 91¢ $18 +$4 11-03 10:46
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +20 $16 89¢ $18 +$1 11-03 08:58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +20 $13 80¢ $16 +$3 10-30 14:59
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +25 $18 62¢ $16 -$2 11-09 01:31
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 11-08 08:37