Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$97.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.48K

Open exposure

$5.47K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

53% 85% -$1,962

Crypto

32% 100% +$2,051

Politics

15% 50% +$3,120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		+5,772	$5,000	86¢	$5.0K	-$36	09-14 17:13
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+625	$500	80¢	$501	+$1	10-29 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	2	$11.7K	11,944	0	+11,944	Yes	+$200	03-03 11:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$10.3K	5,259	5,259	+0	No	+$254	05-29 19:08
will uae strike iran by march 31	11	$9.9K	13,602	0	+13,602	No	+$3,657	03-23 11:18
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	3	$6.6K	6,997	0	+6,997	No	+$379	02-06 22:31
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$5.0K	5,772	0	+5,772	open	—	09-14 17:13
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$4.8K	7,079	0	+7,079	Yes	-$4,777	01-04 13:31
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$4.6K	54,659	54,659	+0	No	-$537	01-18 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$4.4K	2,403	2,403	+0	No	+$400	05-12 14:58
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	1	$4.3K	4,358	0	+4,358	No	+$79	02-05 22:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$4.2K	2,212	2,212	+0	No	+$197	01-31 22:02
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$4.2K	4,615	0	+4,615	No	-$4,200	06-15 15:35
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	5	$4.2K	8,062	1,384	+6,679	No	+$4,648	02-05 07:35
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$3.7K	2,325	2,325	+0	No	+$497	02-06 22:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$3.7K	4,662	0	+4,662	No	+$962	05-16 10:14
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	2	$3.1K	1,621	1,621	+0	No	+$103	01-31 22:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	1	$3.0K	3,067	0	+3,067	No	+$67	05-12 15:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$3.0K	3,371	0	+3,371	No	+$371	05-12 15:04
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	1	$2.0K	2,174	0	+2,174	No	+$174	03-07 05:30
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	7	$1.9K	2,974	1,458	+1,516	No	+$276	01-02 22:04
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$500	625	0	+625	open	—	10-29 06:51
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	1	$500	561	0	+561	No	+$61	03-02 07:18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$500	555	0	+555	No	+$55	04-18 08:17
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$352	360	0	+360	No	+$8	02-05 22:50
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	1	$350	371	0	+371	No	+$21	04-18 08:16
will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	1	$250	259	0	+259	No	+$9	02-06 22:29
will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	1	$250	271	0	+271	No	+$21	02-06 22:29
xauusd up or down on july 7 2026	1	$200	435	0	+435	Down	+$235	07-07 12:51
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$100	137	0	+137	No	+$37	04-30 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	04-28 10:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$25	30	0	+30	No	+$5	04-28 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:51:22	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0xcdae13…
09-14 17:13:27	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5,772	87¢	$5,000	0x962071…
07-07 12:51:55	xauusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x9c094b…
06-15 15:35:09	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	4,615	91¢	$4,200	0xa85345…
05-29 19:08:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	5,259	100¢	$5,254	0x652054…
05-16 10:14:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	4,662	79¢	$3,700	0xfca356…
05-12 15:06:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	3,067	98¢	$3,000	0x6daeee…
05-12 15:04:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	3,371	89¢	$3,000	0x8d0d82…
05-12 15:04:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	5,259	95¢	$5,000	0x066765…
05-12 14:58:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2,403	100¢	$2,400	0xf4ed76…
04-30 13:03:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x62f2d0…
04-28 13:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4363ec…
04-28 10:56:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x6b3d70…
04-22 12:46:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x78a05a…
04-20 09:36:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x1ff7da…
04-18 08:17:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	555	90¢	$500	0x103902…
04-18 08:16:02	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	BUY	371	94¢	$350	0x6bf2d9…
03-23 11:18:27	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	7,830	88¢	$6,907	0x00580b…
03-08 12:04:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x35c7ed…
03-08 11:41:17	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	440	45¢	$200	0x62484f…
03-08 11:40:55	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	494	40¢	$200	0xaff272…
03-08 11:38:03	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x17611e…
03-08 11:36:27	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xe585cd…
03-08 11:30:23	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xe48d74…
03-08 11:20:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xb54208…
03-08 11:12:23	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	626	32¢	$200	0x4b7103…
03-08 11:11:43	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	39¢	$79	0x56f39d…
03-07 08:56:29	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,009	85¢	$1,709	0x848d85…
03-07 05:30:03	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0x55e7c2…
03-03 11:24:03	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	11,373	99¢	$11,245	0xa9662b…
03-02 07:18:05	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	561	89¢	$500	0xc4d14c…
03-02 07:17:53	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	572	87¢	$500	0x44805a…
02-06 22:31:25	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,734	93¢	$1,618	0x79fa5d…
02-06 22:29:59	will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0x208d82…
02-06 22:29:41	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	271	92¢	$250	0x757690…
02-06 22:21:13	Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	2,325	91¢	$2,115	0x4d2de8…
02-05 22:51:19	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	BUY	4,358	98¢	$4,279	0x92caeb…
02-05 22:50:09	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	360	98¢	$352	0x7cc279…
02-05 22:49:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	4,211	95¢	$4,000	0x75662f…
02-05 22:48:23	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x19e3c2…
02-05 07:35:51	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	1,384	78¢	$1,079	0x2f9771…
02-04 17:41:29	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	460	65¢	$300	0xfe704a…
02-04 17:41:19	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0xcacc9d…
02-04 17:40:05	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0xfd1fc0…
01-31 22:05:44	Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	2,325	70¢	$1,618	0x3c1f7c…
01-31 22:05:04	infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	No	SELL	1,621	100¢	$1,619	0x604be3…
01-31 22:02:50	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	6,679	33¢	$2,210	0xa0991e…
01-31 22:02:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	2,212	100¢	$2,210	0x6dfaac…
01-20 18:30:50	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	2,212	91¢	$2,013	0x91169c…
01-18 20:14:40	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	34,654	2¢	$813	0xa4854a…
01-18 19:46:22	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	3,451	6¢	$207	0xd6447c…
01-18 19:40:44	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xdfc0ba…
01-18 19:40:22	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	16,541	6¢	$992	0xa44b92…
01-10 15:47:26	infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	No	BUY	1,621	94¢	$1,516	0x1a9b92…
01-04 13:31:15	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	4,904	84¢	$4,097	0xfc8318…
01-03 02:04:25	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	1,548	31¢	$480	0xcc5c4a…
01-02 22:04:17	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0x10e8de…
01-02 22:03:33	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	626	32¢	$200	0x23b888…
01-02 20:27:57	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1,409	4¢	$50	0x9f1cd3…
01-02 19:16:15	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	1,259	79¢	$1,000	0xd8f6d3…
01-02 19:16:01	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,380	21¢	$292	0x3ab419…
01-02 19:05:25	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	61	24¢	$15	0xe8743a…
01-02 19:04:29	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x8ab06d…
01-02 18:27:53	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xe7f143…
01-02 18:14:55	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,250	24¢	$300	0xd0ea91…
01-02 14:41:31	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	53,250	5¢	$2,500	0x657ffc…